146 Evelyn St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 146 Evelyn St. , a well-maintained single-family home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, offering a functional layout ideal for both comfortable living and strong investment potential. Currently rented, this home provides immediate income for investors or the opportunity for future owner occupancy. The property includes vinyl siding for low-maintenance exterior care and durable vinyl flooring throughout. Inside, you’ll find solid mechanics and a full basement, offering excellent storage or additional usable space. Off-street parking adds convenience for tenants or occupants alike. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and everyday amenities, this is a perfect opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio or a future homeowner planning ahead. Don’t miss out on this versatile and income-producing property!
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Off street parking
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $165k implies a 583% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.58%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $202,584
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -18.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Philadelphia St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,276 (-5%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $121 | 81 |
| 136 Newfield St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,198 (-11%) | 2mo | $167,000 | $139 | 70 |
| 186 Crowley Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,333 (-1%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $161 | 68 |
| 62 Chadduck Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,240 (-8%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $125 | 68 |
| 82 Beatrice Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,166 (-13%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $142 | 61 |
| 502 W Hazeltine Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,481 (+10%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $167 | 60 |
| 136 Crowley Ave | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,394 (+4%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $72 | 59 |
| 38 Wyandotte Ave | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $125 | 57 |
| 430 Washington Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,233 (-8%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $176 | 50 |
| 38 Heward Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,474 (+10%) | 1mo | $256,000 | $174 | 48 |
| 446 Victoria Blvd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-15%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $232 | 46 |
| 145 Hoover Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,143 (-15%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $136 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-17,500
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $22,065
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,471 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $136 | -5% $79 | +0% $22 | +5% $-35 | +10% $-92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-94 | -5% $-36 | +0% $22 | +5% $80 | +10% $139 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $105 | -0.5pp $64 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-20 | +1.0pp $-64 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Beatrice Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 480 W Hazeltine Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2075 Kenmore Ave Unit 611 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 981 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 239 Crowley Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,025 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 62 Seabrook St Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 158 Chadduck Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 68 Laforce Pl Unit U Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 118 Rano St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 52 Greeley St Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1804 | $1,000 | $0.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15 Ontario St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 172 Tremont Ave Kenmore, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1569 | $2,500 | $1.59 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 155 Germain St Apt 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 72 Reservation St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 237 W Girard Blvd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1329 | $4,000 | $3.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2099 Niagara St Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,197 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 68 Peter St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 293 Grote St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 817 | $2,345 | $2.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 62 Germain St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,250 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2522 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2514 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 244 Hartwell Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3113 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1083 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 52 Somerton Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 20 Avery Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 139 Fordham Dr Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $164,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $164,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $164,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-22$189,900 Active 921-char remark
Show marketing remark (921 chars)
Welcome to 146 Evelyn St. , a well-maintained single-family home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, offering a functional layout ideal for both comfortable living and strong investment potential. Currently rented, this home provides immediate income for investors or the opportunity for future owner occupancy. The property includes vinyl siding for low-maintenance exterior care and durable vinyl flooring throughout. Inside, you’ll find solid mechanics and a full basement, offering excellent storage or additional usable space. Off-street parking adds convenience for tenants or occupants alike. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and everyday amenities, this is a perfect opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio or a future homeowner planning ahead. Don’t miss out on this versatile and income-producing property!
-
2006-10-06soldstatus $24,152
-
1994-03-18soldstatus $26,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,650
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$2,474
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,412
- − Management
- −$1,412
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$2,506
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$601
- After-tax cash flow
- $870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+616.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS
- 2006-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $24,152 Public Records
- 1994-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $275 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…