CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
146 Evelyn St
C- Composite 51.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

146 Evelyn St · Buffalo, NY 14207
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,342 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1910 3,210 sqft lot $123/sqft · 19% below area Est $203k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 146 Evelyn St. , a well-maintained single-family home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, offering a functional layout ideal for both comfortable living and strong investment potential. Currently rented, this home provides immediate income for investors or the opportunity for future owner occupancy. The property includes vinyl siding for low-maintenance exterior care and durable vinyl flooring throughout. Inside, you’ll find solid mechanics and a full basement, offering excellent storage or additional usable space. Off-street parking adds convenience for tenants or occupants alike. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and everyday amenities, this is a perfect opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio or a future homeowner planning ahead. Don’t miss out on this versatile and income-producing property!

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • Off street parking
  • Full basement

Tags

VINYL SIDINGVINYL FLOORINGFULL BASEMENTOFF STREET PARKINGPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONSHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (10.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $165k implies a 583% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,084 (10.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$202,584
List price
$164,900
Delta
-18.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
50 Philadelphia St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,276 (-5%) 1mo $155,000 $121 81
136 Newfield St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,198 (-11%) 2mo $167,000 $139 70
186 Crowley Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,333 (-1%) 2mo $215,000 $161 68
62 Chadduck Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,240 (-8%) 2mo $155,000 $125 68
82 Beatrice Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,166 (-13%) 2mo $165,000 $142 61
502 W Hazeltine Ave 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,481 (+10%) 1mo $248,000 $167 60
136 Crowley Ave 0.56mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,394 (+4%) 2mo $100,000 $72 59
38 Wyandotte Ave 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-11%) 2mo $150,000 $125 57
430 Washington Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,233 (-8%) 2mo $217,000 $176 50
38 Heward Ave 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,474 (+10%) 1mo $256,000 $174 48
446 Victoria Blvd 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-15%) 2mo $265,000 $232 46
145 Hoover Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,143 (-15%) 2mo $155,000 $136 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-17,500
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$22,065
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,471 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $79 +0% $22 +5% $-35 +10% $-92
Rent -10% $-94 -5% $-36 +0% $22 +5% $80 +10% $139
Rate -1.0pp $105 -0.5pp $64 base $22 +0.5pp $-20 +1.0pp $-64

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Beatrice Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 15d 1 0.20mi
480 W Hazeltine Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 989 $1,900 $1.92 24d 1 0.35mi
2075 Kenmore Ave Unit 611 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 981 $1,950 $1.99 3d 1 0.39mi
239 Crowley Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 966 $1,025 $1.06 4d 1 0.45mi
62 Seabrook St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 3d 1 0.50mi
158 Chadduck Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 24d 1 0.51mi
68 Laforce Pl Unit U Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,099 $1.22 45d 1 0.62mi
118 Rano St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 22d 1 0.64mi
52 Greeley St Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1804 $1,000 $0.55 24d 1 0.79mi
15 Ontario St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 3d 1 1.00mi
172 Tremont Ave Kenmore, NY 3.0 1.5 1569 $2,500 $1.59 11d 1 1.06mi
155 Germain St Apt 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 11d 1 1.08mi
72 Reservation St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 24d 1 1.12mi
237 W Girard Blvd Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1329 $4,000 $3.01 24d 1 1.20mi
2099 Niagara St Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,197 $1.20 45d 1 1.22mi
68 Peter St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 1.25mi
293 Grote St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 817 $2,345 $2.87 3d 1 1.25mi
62 Germain St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,250 $0.95 24d 1 1.26mi
2522 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,625 $1.41 3d 1 1.28mi
2514 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 3d 1 1.29mi
244 Hartwell Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 4d 1 1.38mi
3113 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1083 $1,200 $1.11 24d 1 1.46mi
52 Somerton Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 24d 1 1.46mi
20 Avery Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 15d 1 1.46mi
139 Fordham Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1453 $1,700 $1.17 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $164,900 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,900 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $164,900 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,900 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $164,900 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $189,900 Active 921-char remark
    Show marketing remark (921 chars)

    Welcome to 146 Evelyn St. , a well-maintained single-family home located in the City of Buffalo! This property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, offering a functional layout ideal for both comfortable living and strong investment potential. Currently rented, this home provides immediate income for investors or the opportunity for future owner occupancy. The property includes vinyl siding for low-maintenance exterior care and durable vinyl flooring throughout. Inside, you’ll find solid mechanics and a full basement, offering excellent storage or additional usable space. Off-street parking adds convenience for tenants or occupants alike. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, and everyday amenities, this is a perfect opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio or a future homeowner planning ahead. Don’t miss out on this versatile and income-producing property!

  17. 2006-10-06
    soldstatus $24,152
  18. 1994-03-18
    soldstatus $26,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,650
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$2,474
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,412
− Management
−$1,412
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable loss
−$2,506
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$601
After-tax cash flow
$870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+616.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS
  • 2006-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $24,152 Public Records
  • 1994-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $275 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…