831 Burnett Ferry Rd SW · Rome, GA 30165

$125,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1980 $125/sqft · 50% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.6/30.0
• DSCR +9.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.4/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Home flippers dream! Home has great potential! 1 mile from Alto Park and Alto Park Elementary School! Close to town for shopping and entertainment!

Key facts

• Close to town
• Built 1980
• Listed 14 days

Tags

• 1 MILE FROM ALTO PARK
• ALTO PARK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
• CLOSE TO TOWN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.3% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#266 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Floyd County (rural): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #45 of 174 in GA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 355 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $29k; list at $125k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.52%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.53%
• DSCR: 1.51
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $251,722
• List price: $125,000
• Delta: -50.34%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6 Holland Dr	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,134 (+13%)	10mo	$217,000	$191	44
4 Holland Dr	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,134 (+13%)	10mo	$217,000	$191	44
53 Willowrun Dr	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,119 (+12%)	20mo	$250,000	$223	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.98×
• Total profit: $-696
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.56×
• Total profit: $19,552
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30165

• Home prices YoY: -24.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.7%
• Active inventory: 369
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,430 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$86 /mo · $1,028/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$300
• Net cashflow: $336

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,004

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-12
   listed $125,000 Active 147-char remark
2. 2004-09-16
   soldstatus $29,260

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,028 · $86/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,150 · $96/mo
• Expected delta: +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 11.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,157
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$1,028
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,373
• − Management: −$1,373
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $2,120
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$509
• After-tax cash flow: $3,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Floyd County
• NCES district ID: 1302190
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $47,083
• Composite: 34.64/100
• National rank: #5143
• State rank: #45 of 174 in GA

Livability — Rome

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #266
• US rank: #14459

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Floyd County · 77,706 people
• City population: 77,706
• Metro: Rome, GA
• Population (ZIP): 43,001
• Household income: $68,089
• Rent vs Own: 40.8% rent · 59.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1311.0

Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 96,321 people
• By 2030: 95,532 · -0.8%
• By 2040: 93,332 · -3.1%
• By 2050: 90,850 · -5.7%
• By 2075: 84,989 · -11.8%
• By 2100: 76,097 · -21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Floyd

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.0) · D 28.8% · R 70.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -42.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -82.79%
• Current HPI: 254.3732
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.71%
• Metro: Rome, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2004-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $29,260 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,028 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.