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732 Lincoln Ave NW
D+ Composite 48.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

732 Lincoln Ave NW · Minot, ND 58703
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1928 Est $242k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Do you need A LOT of bedrooms, SIX to be exact, this home is perfect! This home is located on a corner lot and has been completely remodeled. On the main floor there is a large mud room, living area, dining room, and a smaller kitchen. However, the kitchen is right off a large dining room that you could add cabinets in or remove the wall between it and make a HUGE kitchen!! There are also 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bedrooms and another bath downstairs. A total of 6 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a laundry room with lots of cabinets, and a few storage rooms! There is also an attached garage with additional parking next to it, and a fenced yard! The roof is BRAND new as of July 2022, fresh paint upstairs, and it is ready for you to move in!

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1928
  • Listed 66 days

Tags

CLEANUP AND COSMETIC UPDATESFRONT DECK REPLACEMENTESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway/parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Below-grade finished area (basement) present
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Zoned R3B

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range / Oven; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Finished full basement; Dishwasher; Microwave; Range / Oven; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-369/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (3.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.4% in Minot — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#21 in ND, #3,953 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Minot 1 (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #24 of 53 in ND (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mckinley Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #204 of 236 statewide, top 91%, 81 students, 60% FRL); Erik Ramstad Middle School (math 45% / reading 49%, grade D+, #11 of 35 statewide, top 29%, 689 students, 32% FRL); Magic City Campus High School (933 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 123 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ward County population projected at +76% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $148,083 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.75%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$242,208
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
431 7th St NW 0.11mi 4/3.0 1,899 (-9%) 1mo $336,000 $177 77
718 3rd St NW 0.34mi 4/2.0 2,011 (-4%) 2mo $210,000 $104 74
909 2nd Ave NW 0.38mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,117 (+1%) 5mo $245,000 $116 69
907 2nd st St NE 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,068 (-1%) 3mo $275,000 $133 62
908 1st Ave Ave NW 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,244 (+8%) 1mo $265,000 $118 60
807 8th St NW 0.13mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,384 (+14%) 4mo $250,000 $105 60
523 16th St NW 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 2,086 (-0%) 1mo $226,450 $109 58
804 11th St NW 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,359 (+13%) 1mo $186,500 $79 56
917 4th Ave. Ave NW 0.27mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,387 (+14%) 2mo $164,000 $69 55
800 17th St NW 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,824 (-13%) 1mo $282,000 $155 44
1000 17th St NW 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,880 (-10%) 3mo $280,000 $149 41
9 Shirley Ct 0.57mi 3/1.8 (-1) 1,824 (-13%) 4mo $210,000 $115 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-26,107
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-6,983
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58703

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,520/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$-31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,520
Max offer price $169,561
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $68 -5% $19 +0% $-31 +5% $-80 +10% $-130
Rent -10% $-148 -5% $-89 +0% $-31 +5% $28 +10% $86
Rate -1.0pp $57 -0.5pp $14 base $-31 +0.5pp $-76 +1.0pp $-122

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    price $175,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,900 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    listed $189,900 Active
  17. 2023-03-30
    soldstatus 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    Do you need A LOT of bedrooms, SIX to be exact, this home is perfect! This home is located on a corner lot and has been completely remodeled. On the main floor there is a large mud room, living area, dining room, and a smaller kitchen. However, the kitchen is right off a large dining room that you could add cabinets in or remove the wall between it and make a HUGE kitchen!! There are also 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bedrooms and another bath downstairs. A total of 6 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a laundry room with lots of cabinets, and a few storage rooms! There is also an attached garage with additional parking next to it, and a fenced yard! The roof is BRAND new as of July 2022, fresh paint upstairs, and it is ready for you to move in!

  18. 2023-03-24
    soldstatus $154,900
  19. 2023-01-05
    listed $159,900 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    Do you need A LOT of bedrooms, SIX to be exact, this home is perfect! This home is located on a corner lot and has been completely remodeled. On the main floor there is a large mud room, living area, dining room, and a smaller kitchen. However, the kitchen is right off a large dining room that you could add cabinets in or remove the wall between it and make a HUGE kitchen!! There are also 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bedrooms and another bath downstairs. A total of 6 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a laundry room with lots of cabinets, and a few storage rooms! There is also an attached garage with additional parking next to it, and a fenced yard! The roof is BRAND new as of July 2022, fresh paint upstairs, and it is ready for you to move in!

  20. 2012-03-26
    soldstatus
  21. 2006-07-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,520 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,520 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,770
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,520
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,422
− Management
−$1,422
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$3,362
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$807
After-tax cash flow
$437/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minot 1
NCES district ID
3813030
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$54,224
Composite
37.79/100
National rank
#4341
State rank
#24 of 53 in ND

Livability — Minot

Score
75/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#3953

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minot, ND
County
Ward County · 55,225 people
City population
55,225
Metro
Minot, ND
Population (ZIP)
22,139
Household income
$82,728
Rent vs Own
39.0% rent · 61.0% own
Severe rent burden
543.0

Population outlook (Ward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
92,683 people
By 2030
104,825 · +13.1%
By 2040
131,945 · +42.4%
By 2050
163,134 · +76.0%
By 2075
256,561 · +176.8%
By 2100
354,426 · +282.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 20% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ward

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.5% · R 72.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-28.2pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.01%
Current HPI
138.9083
Rent YoY
▲ 5.74%
Metro
Minot, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $189,900 MMLS
  • 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) MMLS
  • 2023-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $154,900 Public Records
  • 2023-01-05 Listed $159,900 MMLS
  • 2012-03-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-07-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,520 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…