732 Lincoln Ave NW · Minot, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Do you need A LOT of bedrooms, SIX to be exact, this home is perfect! This home is located on a corner lot and has been completely remodeled. On the main floor there is a large mud room, living area, dining room, and a smaller kitchen. However, the kitchen is right off a large dining room that you could add cabinets in or remove the wall between it and make a HUGE kitchen!! There are also 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bedrooms and another bath downstairs. A total of 6 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a laundry room with lots of cabinets, and a few storage rooms! There is also an attached garage with additional parking next to it, and a fenced yard! The roof is BRAND new as of July 2022, fresh paint upstairs, and it is ready for you to move in!
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1928
- Listed 66 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway/parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Below-grade finished area (basement) present
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Zoned R3B
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range / Oven; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Dishwasher; Microwave; Range / Oven; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-369/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (15.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $148k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.4% in Minot — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#21 in ND, #3,953 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Minot 1 (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #24 of 53 in ND (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mckinley Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #204 of 236 statewide, top 91%, 81 students, 60% FRL); Erik Ramstad Middle School (math 45% / reading 49%, grade D+, #11 of 35 statewide, top 29%, 689 students, 32% FRL); Magic City Campus High School (933 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 123 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ward County population projected at +76% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.75%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $242,208
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431 7th St NW | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 | 1,899 (-9%) | 1mo | $336,000 | $177 | 77 |
| 718 3rd St NW | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,011 (-4%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $104 | 74 |
| 909 2nd Ave NW | 0.38mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,117 (+1%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $116 | 69 |
| 907 2nd st St NE | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,068 (-1%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 908 1st Ave Ave NW | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,244 (+8%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $118 | 60 |
| 807 8th St NW | 0.13mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,384 (+14%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 523 16th St NW | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,086 (-0%) | 1mo | $226,450 | $109 | 58 |
| 804 11th St NW | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,359 (+13%) | 1mo | $186,500 | $79 | 56 |
| 917 4th Ave. Ave NW | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,387 (+14%) | 2mo | $164,000 | $69 | 55 |
| 800 17th St NW | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,824 (-13%) | 1mo | $282,000 | $155 | 44 |
| 1000 17th St NW | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,880 (-10%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $149 | 41 |
| 9 Shirley Ct | 0.57mi | 3/1.8 (-1) | 1,824 (-13%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $115 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-26,107
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,983
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58703
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,520/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $-31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $68 | -5% $19 | +0% $-31 | +5% $-80 | +10% $-130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-31 | +5% $28 | +10% $86 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $57 | -0.5pp $14 | base $-31 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-122 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13price $175,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13$189,900 Active
-
2023-03-30soldstatus 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Do you need A LOT of bedrooms, SIX to be exact, this home is perfect! This home is located on a corner lot and has been completely remodeled. On the main floor there is a large mud room, living area, dining room, and a smaller kitchen. However, the kitchen is right off a large dining room that you could add cabinets in or remove the wall between it and make a HUGE kitchen!! There are also 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bedrooms and another bath downstairs. A total of 6 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a laundry room with lots of cabinets, and a few storage rooms! There is also an attached garage with additional parking next to it, and a fenced yard! The roof is BRAND new as of July 2022, fresh paint upstairs, and it is ready for you to move in!
-
2023-03-24soldstatus $154,900
-
2023-01-05$159,900 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Do you need A LOT of bedrooms, SIX to be exact, this home is perfect! This home is located on a corner lot and has been completely remodeled. On the main floor there is a large mud room, living area, dining room, and a smaller kitchen. However, the kitchen is right off a large dining room that you could add cabinets in or remove the wall between it and make a HUGE kitchen!! There are also 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bedrooms and another bath downstairs. A total of 6 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a laundry room with lots of cabinets, and a few storage rooms! There is also an attached garage with additional parking next to it, and a fenced yard! The roof is BRAND new as of July 2022, fresh paint upstairs, and it is ready for you to move in!
-
2012-03-26soldstatus
-
2006-07-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,520 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,520 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,520
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,422
- − Management
- −$1,422
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$3,362
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$807
- After-tax cash flow
- $437/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minot 1
- NCES district ID
- 3813030
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,224
- Composite
- 37.79/100
- National rank
- #4341
- State rank
- #24 of 53 in ND
Livability — Minot
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #3953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minot, ND
- County
- Ward County · 55,225 people
- City population
- 55,225
- Metro
- Minot, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,139
- Household income
- $82,728
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 543.0
Population outlook (Ward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 92,683 people
- By 2030
- 104,825 · +13.1%
- By 2040
- 131,945 · +42.4%
- By 2050
- 163,134 · +76.0%
- By 2075
- 256,561 · +176.8%
- By 2100
- 354,426 · +282.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 20% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ward
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.5% · R 72.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.01%
- Current HPI
- 138.9083
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Metro
- Minot, ND
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+18.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $189,900 MMLS
- 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) — MMLS
- 2023-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $154,900 Public Records
- 2023-01-05 Listed $159,900 MMLS
- 2012-03-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-07-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,520 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…