1436 W 130th St. Spc 8 · Gardena, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover some of the most affordable housing in Southern California, located in a welcoming 55+ community within Grandview Mobile Home Park. This home was beautifully renovated in 2018 and features an insulated ceiling for year-round comfort, stylish laminate and tile flooring, and energy-efficient dual-pane windows. This home has a one car assigned parking. With a remarkably low space lease of just $605 per month, this is an incredible opportunity. Come see for yourself the comfort, value, and lifestyle this home has to offer.
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Tile flooring
- Insulated ceiling
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 2.9% in Gardena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#604 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.17%
- DSCR
- 2.65
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $14,000
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- 471.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13713 S Vermont Ave #15 | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 | 432 (-4%) | 3mo | $14,000 | $32 | 58 |
| 13525 Vermont #11 | 0.62mi | 1/1.0 | 506 (+12%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $148 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $31,246
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.76×
- Total profit
- $84,202
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90249
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,578 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $694
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $749 | -5% $721 | +0% $694 | +5% $666 | +10% $638 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $569 | -5% $631 | +0% $694 | +5% $756 | +10% $818 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $734 | -0.5pp $714 | base $694 | +0.5pp $673 | +1.0pp $652 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1914 W El Segundo Blvd Unit 1914_09 Gardena, CA | — | 1.0 | 256 | $1,395 | $5.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 13921 S Normandie Ave Gardena, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 360 | $1,445 | $4.01 | 0d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 13921 S Normandie Ave Gardena, CA | — | 1.0 | 360 | $1,455 | $4.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1261 W Rosecrans Ave Gardena, CA | — | 1.0 | 235 | $1,600 | $6.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 14417 Vermont Ave Unit 0142 Gardena, CA | — | 1.0 | 325 | $1,400 | $4.31 | 16d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1709 Marine Ave Unit 1 Gardena, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 370 | $1,750 | $4.73 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-03-30status Active 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Discover some of the most affordable housing in Southern California, located in a welcoming 55+ community within Grandview Mobile Home Park. This home was beautifully renovated in 2018 and features an insulated ceiling for year-round comfort, stylish laminate and tile flooring, and energy-efficient dual-pane windows. This home has a one car assigned parking. With a remarkably low space lease of just $605 per month, this is an incredible opportunity. Come see for yourself the comfort, value, and lifestyle this home has to offer.
-
2026-03-16status Pending Sale 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Discover some of the most affordable housing in Southern California, located in a welcoming 55+ community within Grandview Mobile Home Park. This home was beautifully renovated in 2018 and features an insulated ceiling for year-round comfort, stylish laminate and tile flooring, and energy-efficient dual-pane windows. This home has a one car assigned parking. With a remarkably low space lease of just $605 per month, this is an incredible opportunity. Come see for yourself the comfort, value, and lifestyle this home has to offer.
-
2026-01-30$80,000 Active 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Discover some of the most affordable housing in Southern California, located in a welcoming 55+ community within Grandview Mobile Home Park. This home was beautifully renovated in 2018 and features an insulated ceiling for year-round comfort, stylish laminate and tile flooring, and energy-efficient dual-pane windows. This home has a one car assigned parking. With a remarkably low space lease of just $605 per month, this is an incredible opportunity. Come see for yourself the comfort, value, and lifestyle this home has to offer.
-
2023-02-01historical
-
2023-01-05price $50,000
-
2022-12-06$52,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,515
- − Management
- −$1,515
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $7,498
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,799
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,526/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 55+ community home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed for a fresh look and increased value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Gardena
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #604
- US rank
- #19337
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gardena, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 73,343
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,290
- Household income
- $89,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1117.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 23% Two or more races 18% Asian 15% White 11% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 33% Vietnamese 3% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -796.51%
- Current HPI
- 387.1566
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+53.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $80,000 CRMLS
- 2023-02-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-01-05 Price Changed $50,000 CRMLS
- 2022-12-06 Listed $52,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…