1906 Damon Ave · Kissimmee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you looking for a well kept 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Kissimmee? This home features tile flooring throughout with an open living room/kitchen floor plan, inside utility, enclosed, air conditioned front porch and a bonus room located off the kitchen. There is also a nice sized backyard for you to enjoy and a carport.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Nice sized backyard
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.5% in Kissimmee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#181 in FL, #2,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, employment D-.
- Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 554 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.52%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $323,136
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1906 Damon Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,224 (0%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $155 | 100 |
| 2164 RJ Cir | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+1%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $264 | 77 |
| 2195 Wind Jammer Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-1%) | 2mo | $291,000 | $239 | 63 |
| 1110 Seminole Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-4%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $272 | 59 |
| 2123 Sand Run Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,303 (+6%) | 3mo | $339,900 | $261 | 50 |
| 1343 Rocky Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,108 (-10%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $284 | 50 |
| 301 Lesesne St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,375 (+12%) | 1mo | $242,500 | $176 | 50 |
| 1375 Springfield St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,272 (+4%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $275 | 48 |
| 1135 Cherokee Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,358 (+11%) | 14mo | $216,000 | $159 | 45 |
| 1212 Cherokee Ct | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 1,380 (+13%) | 15mo | $369,000 | $267 | 44 |
| 1383 Springfield St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+8%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $246 | 42 |
| 1360 Springfield St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,060 (-13%) | 13mo | $333,000 | $314 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,103
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $19,243
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34744
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 554
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,337 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,662/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $581
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 880 E Columbia Ave Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 2154 Rj Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 409 E Cherry St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,980 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1225 Utica Dr Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1210 | $2,790 | $2.30 | 1d | 38 | 0.47mi |
| 1500 Neo Landings Loop Unit NEO1540114 Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,268 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1500 Neo Landings Loop Unit NEO1600112 Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,179 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 413 Fountainhead Cir #231 Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 500 Spencer Ave Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $2,224 | $2.26 | 1d | 15 | 0.84mi |
| 2426 Mill Run Blvd Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $2,100 | $1.84 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 851 Lake Tivoli Blvd Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $2,036 | $1.94 | 1d | 30 | 0.95mi |
| 834 Angela Ln Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,800 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2408 Temple Grove Ln Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1384 | $1,795 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 507 W Sumner St Apt 3 Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,395 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 700 Aultman St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1075 | $2,983 | $2.77 | 1d | 21 | 1.19mi |
| 1615 Sunburst Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,285 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1209 Bermuda Lakes Ln Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $2,166 | $2.41 | 3d | 8 | 1.24mi |
| 2482 Temple Grove Ln Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1629 Sunburst Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,005 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1003 June St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,733 | $1.57 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 110 Lakeview Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $2,772 | $2.87 | 3d | 18 | 1.35mi |
| 2627 N Beaumont Ave Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,925 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 724 Lincoln St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $1,725 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2305 Cutler Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,979 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1365 W Donegan Ave Kissimmee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $2,190 | $2.25 | 1d | 10 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-09-10status Pending
-
2025-09-02$199,000 Active
-
2016-09-23soldstatus $135,000
-
2016-09-22soldstatus $135,000 Sold 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Are you looking for a well kept 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Kissimmee? This home features tile flooring throughout with an open living room/kitchen floor plan, inside utility, enclosed, air conditioned front porch and a bonus room located off the kitchen. There is also a nice sized backyard for you to enjoy and a carport.
-
2016-08-24status Pending 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Are you looking for a well kept 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Kissimmee? This home features tile flooring throughout with an open living room/kitchen floor plan, inside utility, enclosed, air conditioned front porch and a bonus room located off the kitchen. There is also a nice sized backyard for you to enjoy and a carport.
-
2016-08-10price $144,900 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Are you looking for a well kept 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Kissimmee? This home features tile flooring throughout with an open living room/kitchen floor plan, inside utility, enclosed, air conditioned front porch and a bonus room located off the kitchen. There is also a nice sized backyard for you to enjoy and a carport.
-
2016-08-09status Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Are you looking for a well kept 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Kissimmee? This home features tile flooring throughout with an open living room/kitchen floor plan, inside utility, enclosed, air conditioned front porch and a bonus room located off the kitchen. There is also a nice sized backyard for you to enjoy and a carport.
-
2016-08-03status Pending 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Are you looking for a well kept 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Kissimmee? This home features tile flooring throughout with an open living room/kitchen floor plan, inside utility, enclosed, air conditioned front porch and a bonus room located off the kitchen. There is also a nice sized backyard for you to enjoy and a carport.
-
2016-07-01$149,900 Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
Are you looking for a well kept 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Kissimmee? This home features tile flooring throughout with an open living room/kitchen floor plan, inside utility, enclosed, air conditioned front porch and a bonus room located off the kitchen. There is also a nice sized backyard for you to enjoy and a carport.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,662 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,662 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,662
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,244
- − Management
- −$2,244
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $3,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$952
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osceola
- NCES district ID
- 1201470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,528
- Composite
- 35.7/100
- National rank
- #4865
- State rank
- #60 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kissimmee
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #2841
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kissimmee, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 410,217 people
- City population
- 196,187
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,582
- Household income
- $74,537
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2462.0
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,624 people
- By 2030
- 511,823 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 642,986 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 774,552 · +73.0%
- By 2075
- 1,078,144 · +140.9%
- By 2100
- 1,269,660 · +183.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 23% White 21% Black 8% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 32% Cuban 4% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 53% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.17%
- Current HPI
- 277.404
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.54%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+32.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-02 Listed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-22 Sold (MLS) $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-10 Price Changed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-09 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-01 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,662 · +20.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…