2403 Parkview Cir · Conway, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful updated 3 bedroom 1 bath home. Great neighborhood close to Tucker Creek Walking Trail and Gatlin Park. Totally updated in 2018. Call or Text 501-932-7815 for more info or to schedule a viewing.
Key facts
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($243/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (18.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Conway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#71 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Conway School District (urban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #36 of 238 in AR (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Faulkner County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Faulkner County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $140k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.62%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,336
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2403 Parkview | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (0%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $150 | 100 |
| 2210 Arkansas Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+7%) | 9mo | $156,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 2106 Lookout | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+2%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $163 | 72 |
| 2330 Tyler St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 982 (+5%) | 11mo | $142,500 | $145 | 68 |
| 2115 Hairston St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,027 (+10%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 2005 Weems St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+6%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $147 | 61 |
| 1934 Lee Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+8%) | 3mo | $157,500 | $156 | 59 |
| 31 Brierwood Cir | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,066 (+14%) | 1mo | $164,500 | $154 | 56 |
| 27 Brierwood Cir | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,066 (+14%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $145 | 49 |
| 2017 Hairston St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-10%) | 12mo | $129,000 | $154 | 47 |
| 1502 Davis St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,032 (+10%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $145 | 37 |
| 1927 Weems | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (+14%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $117 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-24,781
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-33,005
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72034
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,143 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,081/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $99 | -5% $60 | +0% $20 | +5% $-19 | +10% $-59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-70 | -5% $-25 | +0% $20 | +5% $65 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $91 | -0.5pp $56 | base $20 | +0.5pp $-16 | +1.0pp $-53 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1404 Donaghey Ave Conway, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,125 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2017 Hairston St Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,400 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1230 Clifton St Unit 3 Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 881 | $880 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2400 Market Plaza Dr Conway, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $850 | $1.11 | 15d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 2905 Billy Jack Dr Conway, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,245 | $1.11 | 15d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 1835 Ott Memorial Dr Conway, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 857 | $912 | $1.06 | 15d | 5 | 0.94mi |
| 2415 Washington Ave Unit A-4 Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 885 | $850 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2415 Washington Ave Unit C-2 Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 885 | $825 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2515 Martin St Conway, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 15d | 5 | 1.25mi |
| 867 Fendley Dr Conway, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,198 | $1.25 | 15d | 5 | 1.41mi |
| 3400 Irby Dr Conway, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $985 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 407 B Mildred St Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2006-05-01soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,081 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,081 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,714
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,081
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,097
- − Management
- −$1,097
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$2,176
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$522
- After-tax cash flow
- $765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conway School District
- NCES district ID
- 0504590
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 38.27/100
- National rank
- #4236
- State rank
- #36 of 238 in AR
Livability — Conway
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #8673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Conway, AR
- County
- Faulkner County · 103,634 people
- City population
- 84,754
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,285
- Household income
- $65,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2282.0
Population outlook (Faulkner County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,985 people
- By 2030
- 148,264 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 166,010 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 183,362 · +31.9%
- By 2075
- 224,593 · +61.6%
- By 2100
- 250,603 · +80.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Faulkner
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.3) · D 32.6% · R 64.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.3pp · 2024: -32.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.3 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+31.6 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+25.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.99%
- Current HPI
- 225.7805
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.28%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,081 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…