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486 103rd St
C- Composite 51.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

486 103rd St · Niagara Falls, NY 14304
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1940 10,400 sqft lot $68/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming single-family home in Wheatfield near Niagara Falls, offering spacious living and dining areas perfect for everyday comfort and entertaining. This property features a generously sized bathroom and sits on a nice-sized lot, providing plenty of outdoor potential. Lot size more then10000 square feet Recently updated with new electrical panels for added peace of mind. Ideal opportunity for first-time home buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio. Don’t miss this versatile and well-located home!

Key facts

  • Nice-sized lot
  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

GENEROUSLY SIZED BATHROOMNICE-SIZED LOTNEW ELECTRICAL PANELS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (5.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara-Wheatfield Central School District (rural): math 64% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #163 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $135k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.89%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,303
List price
$135,000
Delta
-53.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9115 Griffon Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,825 (-8%) 12mo $271,000 $148 40
9129 Rivershore Dr 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,716 (-14%) 19mo $520,000 $303 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-12,095
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,974
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14304

Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,271 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,034/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,076
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1004 87th St Niagara Falls, NY 1.0 1.0 2145 $1,200 $0.56 2d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-04-06
    listed $135,000 Active 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    Charming single-family home in Wheatfield near Niagara Falls, offering spacious living and dining areas perfect for everyday comfort and entertaining. This property features a generously sized bathroom and sits on a nice-sized lot, providing plenty of outdoor potential. Lot size more then10000 square feet Recently updated with new electrical panels for added peace of mind. Ideal opportunity for first-time home buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio. Don’t miss this versatile and well-located home!

  15. 2023-04-13
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed Sale or Rented 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  16. 2023-04-13
    soldstatus $55,000
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  17. 2022-08-25
    status Pending Sale 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  18. 2022-08-19
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  19. 2022-08-15
    price $59,900 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  20. 2022-08-15
    status Active 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  21. 2022-08-01
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  22. 2022-06-14
    price $85,000 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

  23. 2022-05-23
    listed $99,000 Active 581-char remark
    Show marketing remark (581 chars)

    Character & potential abounds in this 1900+ sq ft INVESTOR SPECIAL. This 3 beds, 1.5 bath home is located in the Niagara-Wheatfield School District. Entertain guests with the large kitchen and living area with an abundance of natural light and high ceilings throughout. Sit on the back deck sipping your morning coffee in the secluded, fully fenced yard. Live worry free with the newer, high efficiency furnace. Sitting on the edge of Niagara Falls, this LOW TAXED property is just minutes away from the Niagara Falls International Airport, Grand Island, and North Tonawanda.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,034 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,658 · $138/mo
Expected delta
+$624/yr (+$52/mo · 60.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,257
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,034
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,221
− Management
−$1,221
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$382
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$92
After-tax cash flow
$1,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara-Wheatfield Central School District
NCES district ID
3620850
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$57,051
Composite
57.53/100
National rank
#1067
State rank
#163 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
29,208
Household income
$66,660
Rent vs Own
24.9% rent · 75.1% own
Severe rent burden
698.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -231.77%
Current HPI
280.3295
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $135,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-13 Sold (MLS) $55,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-19 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-15 Price Changed $59,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-15 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-01 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-06-14 Price Changed $85,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-05-23 Listed $99,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,034 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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