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16098 Crestview Dr
C+ Composite 60.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

16098 Crestview Dr · Gulfport, MS 39503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1960 0.29 ac lot $145/sqft · 6% above area Est $132k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this cozy 3 bedroom 1 bath home before it's too late! This would make the perfect first home or investment property. If you're looking for something close to town this one is for you!

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 0.29 acre
  • HOA & community: Community features: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Direct access parking (see remarks)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl, concrete, and wood siding construction; Slab foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Built (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Fenced yard (type: Other)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Washer/Dryer included; Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Microwave; Accessibility features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.43%
Cash-on-cash
11.21%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,683
List price
$139,000
Delta
5.56%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,895
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$63,749
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
763
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $543/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,053
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15373 Saint Charles St Gulfport, MS 3.0 1.0–3.0 1075 $1,350 $1.26 43d 2 0.52mi
11213 Dobson Rd Gulfport, MS 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 1.14mi
15235 Oneal Rd Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.0 1101 $1,200 $1.09 13d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 425-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $139,000 Active 425-char remark
  3. 2023-09-21
    soldstatus Closed 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Check out this cozy 3 bedroom 1 bath home before it's too late! This would make the perfect first home or investment property. If you're looking for something close to town this one is for you!

  4. 2023-09-21
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Check out this cozy 3 bedroom 1 bath home before it's too late! This would make the perfect first home or investment property. If you're looking for something close to town this one is for you!

  5. 2023-08-17
    status Pending 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Check out this cozy 3 bedroom 1 bath home before it's too late! This would make the perfect first home or investment property. If you're looking for something close to town this one is for you!

  6. 2023-08-11
    listed $125,000 Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Check out this cozy 3 bedroom 1 bath home before it's too late! This would make the perfect first home or investment property. If you're looking for something close to town this one is for you!

  7. 2022-09-27
    soldstatus
  8. 2016-01-13
    soldstatus
  9. 2007-04-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$543 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,098 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$555/yr (+$46/mo · 102.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,162
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$543
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,453
− Management
−$1,453
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$2,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$525
After-tax cash flow
$3,838/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+11.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $139,000 MLSU
  • 2023-09-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-09-21 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-08-17 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-08-11 Listed $125,000 MLSU
  • 2022-09-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-01-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-04-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $543 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…