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207 W Church St
B- Composite 69.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$115,000

207 W Church St · Walstonburg, NC 27888
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1953 0.31 ac lot Est $184k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a corner lot in the heart of Walstonburg! This property features a large separate laundry room, a sunroom/bonus space, dining nook, and a spacious 0.31 acre lot with fenced-in backyard. Outside, you'll also find two large storage sheds offering plenty of storage or workshop space. Convenient in-town location with small-town charm. Also available separately or together is an additional approximately 1/4 acre lot located one lot over at the corner of Whitley St and W Railroad St.

Key facts

  • In town location
  • Sunroom bonus space
  • Large storage sheds

Tags

CORNER LOTSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOMSUNROOM BONUS SPACEFENCED IN BACKYARDLARGE STORAGE SHEDSIN TOWN LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.31 acres
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-story house; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Patio; Storage structure; Workshop

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas pack heating; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Laundry room; Patio
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#517 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Greene County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #151 of 178 in NC (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Greene County Intermediate (math 22% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,101 of 1,410 statewide, top 79%, 358 students, 99% FRL); Greene County Middle (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #381 of 475 statewide, top 81%, 680 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 77% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $115k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.13%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$183,976
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
404 N Wilson St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,406 (-7%) 7mo $40,000 $28 65
204 E Railroad St 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,635 (+8%) 17mo $200,000 $122 52
412 N Wilson St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-11%) 22mo $200,000 $149 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$33,425
Equity at exit
$57,749
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$92,769
Equity at exit
$94,010

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27888

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,243/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $955
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $283 -5% $251 +0% $218 +5% $186 +10% $153
Rent -10% $121 -5% $170 +0% $218 +5% $267 +10% $316
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $247 base $218 +0.5pp $188 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $115,000 Pending 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-05-22
    listed $115,000 Active 526-char remark
    Show marketing remark (526 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a corner lot in the heart of Walstonburg! This property features a large separate laundry room, a sunroom/bonus space, dining nook, and a spacious 0.31 acre lot with fenced-in backyard. Outside, you'll also find two large storage sheds offering plenty of storage or workshop space. Convenient in-town location with small-town charm. Also available separately or together is an additional approximately 1/4 acre lot located one lot over at the corner of Whitley St and W Railroad St.

  12. 2026-05-22
    listed $115,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (526 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a corner lot in the heart of Walstonburg! This property features a large separate laundry room, a sunroom/bonus space, dining nook, and a spacious 0.31 acre lot with fenced-in backyard. Outside, you'll also find two large storage sheds offering plenty of storage or workshop space. Convenient in-town location with small-town charm. Also available separately or together is an additional approximately 1/4 acre lot located one lot over at the corner of Whitley St and W Railroad St.

  13. 2005-12-02
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,777
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,243
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$807
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$194
After-tax cash flow
$2,425/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene County Schools
NCES district ID
3701830
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$38,566
Composite
23.84/100
National rank
#7806
State rank
#151 of 178 in NC

Livability — Walstonburg

Score
60/100
State rank
#517
US rank
#18947

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Walstonburg, NC
City population
1,904
Population (ZIP)
1,904

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,070 people
By 2030
20,745 · -1.5%
By 2040
19,582 · -7.1%
By 2050
18,104 · -14.1%
By 2075
14,181 · -32.7%
By 2100
9,573 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Hispanic / Latino 31% Black 24% Two or more races 12% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 30%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+18.1) · D 40.7% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -5.9pp · 2024: -18.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.1 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+9.8 2012: R+7.7 2008: R+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.92%
Current HPI
196.7633
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $115,000 TMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $115,000 Hive MLS
  • 2005-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,243 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…