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1024 Raven Dr
B- Composite 69.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

1024 Raven Dr · Auburn, MI 48706
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Other · 8 Days on market
Built 1989

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable 3-bedroom home Fairfield Manor Mobile Home Park. Move-In Ready! Located at 1024 Raven Drive, this well maintained corner lot double wide manufactured home offers 1100 square feet of comfortable living space with open concept thru out. Features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, spacious open concept living and dining area to full views of kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space. Great size bathrooms with master bathroom offering double vanity sinks. Updated appliances in kitchen with washer and dryer hook up. Shed is located on the property and included with fire pit. This listing is for the mobile home and doesn& apos; t include the land/lot. Monthly lot fee is $510.0

Key facts

  • Double vanity
  • Front and side porch
  • Fire pit area

Tags

CORNER LOTFRONT AND SIDE PORCHLARGE WALK IN SHOWERDOUBLE VANITYSHED ON PROPERTYFIRE PIT AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#210 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bay City School District (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #317 of 540 in MI (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
15.78%
Cash-on-cash
33.89%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$22,224
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$61,583
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48706

Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$514

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on marketlisting id $65,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 695-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,631
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,170
− Management
−$1,170
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,458
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,310
After-tax cash flow
$4,858/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay City School District
NCES district ID
2604260
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,833
Composite
28.47/100
National rank
#6743
State rank
#317 of 540 in MI

Livability — Auburn

Score
73/100
State rank
#210
US rank
#5234

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
38,756

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
101,476 people
By 2030
98,152 · -3.3%
By 2040
89,711 · -11.6%
By 2050
80,614 · -20.6%
By 2075
60,544 · -40.3%
By 2100
41,603 · -59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 9% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
R (+14.7) · D 42.0% · R 56.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: -14.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.7 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+12.6 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.29%
Current HPI
203.6444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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