🏗️ New Construction
Yucca III B Plan · Sterlington, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$298,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 109 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $299k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-579 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (4.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.73%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $369,012
- List price
- $298,990
- Delta
- -18.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9293 Desiard Trce | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 2,298 (+24%) | 7mo | $501,569 | $218 | 47 |
| 111 Cassie Dr | 1.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,004 (+8%) | 5mo | $307,000 | $153 | 40 |
| 111 Brook Orchard Blvd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-9%) | 18mo | $137,000 | $82 | 30 |
| 102 Maison Dr | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,289 (+24%) | 4mo | $410,000 | $179 | 30 |
| 881 Highway 134 | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,593 (-14%) | 16mo | $145,000 | $91 | 29 |
| 300 Cassie Dr | 1.37mi | 4/3.0 | 2,163 (+17%) | 12mo | $335,000 | $155 | 28 |
| 107 Maison Dr | 1.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,232 (+21%) | 10mo | $326,000 | $146 | 27 |
| 204 Zachary Way | 1.44mi | 4/3.0 | 2,250 (+22%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $156 | 24 |
| 105 Brook Orchard Cir | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 2,149 (+16%) | 19mo | $340,000 | $158 | 23 |
| 499 Cliff Bullock Dr | 1.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,606 (-13%) | 33mo | $228,000 | $142 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $164,128
- Equity at exit
- $332,435
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $512,409
- Equity at exit
- $716,910
Cash invested: $103,323 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active
- Median asking
- $323,990 ($161/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 110 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +24.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 71280
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,935
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$461 /mo · $5,535/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $-579
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-324 | -5% $-452 | +0% $-579 | +5% $-707 | +10% $-834 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-776 | -5% $-678 | +0% $-579 | +5% $-481 | +10% $-382 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-393 | -0.5pp $-485 | base $-579 | +0.5pp $-675 | +1.0pp $-772 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,253
- Closing costs
- $11,070
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 492 Cliff Bullock Dr Sterlington, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,495 | $1.66 | 93d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Listing status: ActiveInventory type: Plan
- Financial info
- List price $298,990
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design
- Yucca III B planLocated in Sterlington, LA
- Exterior features
- Living area listed as 1,851
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features
- Plan-based new construction (Yucca III B)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $298,990 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $298,990 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $298,990 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $298,990 Active 107 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $298,990 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $298,990 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $298,990 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $298,990 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $298,990 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $298,990 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $298,990 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $298,990 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $298,990 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $298,990 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $298,990 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $298,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $298,990 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $298,990 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $298,990 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $298,990 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $298,990 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $298,990 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $298,990 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $298,990 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $298,990 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $298,990 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $298,990 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $298,990 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $298,990 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $298,990 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $298,990 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $298,990 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $298,990 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $298,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $298,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $298,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $298,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $298,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $298,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $298,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $298,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $298,990 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $298,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $298,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $298,990 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $298,990 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $298,990 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $298,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $298,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $298,990 Active 48 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,670
- − Property taxes
- −$5,535
- − Insurance
- −$1,845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,395
- − Management
- −$2,395
- − Depreciation
- −$10,735
- Taxable loss
- −$13,636
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,273
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-family home in Sterlington, LA, presents as move-in ready with good condition and no visible repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value enhancement through painting, landscaping, and kitchen/bathroom updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Updating the kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizing these spaces can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ouachita Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201200
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,316
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5791
- State rank
- #26 of 98 in LA
Livability — Sterlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #7741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Union · 163,370 people
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,999
- Household income
- $75,768
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,370 people
- By 2030
- 165,520 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 167,652 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 166,699 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 156,348 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 134,102 · -17.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.14%
- Current HPI
- 283.4492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…