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406 South  George St Multi-family
C+ Composite 61.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

406 South George St · Rome, NY 13440
7 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,080 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1890 Est $116k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

VERY NICE MULTI-FAMILY BOTH UNITS VERY CLEAN NEAT. SEPARATE UTILITIES. 3 STALL DETACHED GARAGE 39`X20`, WORKSHOP 24`X14`, SEPARATE ENTRIES. MONEY MAKER FOR INVESTOR OR LIVE IN ONE UNIT LET THE OTHER UNIT PAY THE MORTGAGE

Key facts

  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1890
  • Listed 86 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 7-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $958 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 5.7% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $145k implies a 268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.23%
Cash-on-cash
28.34%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,480
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
147 River St 0.74mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,259 (+9%) 11mo $25,000 $11 37
149 River St 0.75mi 6/2.0 (-1) 2,308 (+11%) 8mo $129,000 $56 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$37,519
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
3.74×
Total profit
$111,161
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13440

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
278
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,365 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$958

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,152
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,040 -5% $999 +0% $958 +5% $917 +10% $876
Rent -10% $771 -5% $865 +0% $958 +5% $1,051 +10% $1,145
Rate -1.0pp $1,031 -0.5pp $995 base $958 +0.5pp $921 +1.0pp $882

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,365

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-29
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-01-16
    listed $144,900 Active
  4. 2025-09-12
    historical
  5. 2025-03-19
    listed $164,900 Active
  6. 2002-08-16
    soldstatus $39,400 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    VERY NICE MULTI-FAMILY BOTH UNITS VERY CLEAN NEAT. SEPARATE UTILITIES. 3 STALL DETACHED GARAGE 39`X20`, WORKSHOP 24`X14`, SEPARATE ENTRIES. MONEY MAKER FOR INVESTOR OR LIVE IN ONE UNIT LET THE OTHER UNIT PAY THE MORTGAGE

  7. 2002-08-16
    soldstatus $39,400
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    VERY NICE MULTI-FAMILY BOTH UNITS VERY CLEAN NEAT. SEPARATE UTILITIES. 3 STALL DETACHED GARAGE 39`X20`, WORKSHOP 24`X14`, SEPARATE ENTRIES. MONEY MAKER FOR INVESTOR OR LIVE IN ONE UNIT LET THE OTHER UNIT PAY THE MORTGAGE

  8. 2001-12-21
    listed $41,500 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    VERY NICE MULTI-FAMILY BOTH UNITS VERY CLEAN NEAT. SEPARATE UTILITIES. 3 STALL DETACHED GARAGE 39`X20`, WORKSHOP 24`X14`, SEPARATE ENTRIES. MONEY MAKER FOR INVESTOR OR LIVE IN ONE UNIT LET THE OTHER UNIT PAY THE MORTGAGE

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,765 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$684/yr (+$57/mo · 63.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,380
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$1,080
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,270
− Management
−$2,270
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$9,702
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,329
After-tax cash flow
$9,168/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rome City School District
NCES district ID
3624900
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$46,406
Composite
34.52/100
National rank
#5178
State rank
#516 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#722
US rank
#13676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rome, NY
City population
41,418
Population (ZIP)
41,273

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.58%
Current HPI
339.3589
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+249.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-03-29 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $144,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-09-12 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-03-19 Listed $164,900 CNYIS
  • 2002-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $39,400 Public Records
  • 2002-08-16 Sold (MLS) $39,400 CNYIS
  • 2001-12-21 Listed $41,500 CNYIS

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,080 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…