🏷️ Likely Rental
401-409 Brock East Ave · Crestview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS DREAM, CALLING ON ALL LOCAL INVESTORS * * 2 small homes on one lot. the first on is 401 Brock, 724 sf cooled, 3 bdrm/1 bath. 409 - 680 sf cooled, 1 bdrm/1 bath. 409 has been re-roofed with metal in 2019. The home on 401 is being rented month by month for $600/month and 409 is vacant. Good resale if both homes get flipped. .. .. ITS A 2 FER!!
Key facts
- Re-roofed with metal
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 526 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 354 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 15% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $150k implies a 971% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 354 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.59%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $244,850
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -38.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 E Chestnut Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 730 (+1%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $89 | 49 |
| 299 Carl Pl | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 618 (-15%) | 11mo | $97,000 | $157 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,431
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $7,310
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32539
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,674 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,227/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $456 | -5% $413 | +0% $371 | +5% $328 | +10% $286 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $239 | -5% $305 | +0% $371 | +5% $437 | +10% $503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $446 | -0.5pp $409 | base $371 | +0.5pp $332 | +1.0pp $292 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475 Aplin Rd Crestview, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 764 | $999 | $1.31 | 45d | 5 | 0.46mi |
| 650 Blakely Ave Crestview, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 344 DOM
-
2025-12-09status Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
INVESTORS DREAM, CALLING ON ALL LOCAL INVESTORS * * 2 small homes on one lot. the first on is 401 Brock, 724 sf cooled, 3 bdrm/1 bath. 409 - 680 sf cooled, 1 bdrm/1 bath. 409 has been re-roofed with metal in 2019. The home on 401 is being rented month by month for $600/month and 409 is vacant. Good resale if both homes get flipped. .. .. ITS A 2 FER!!
-
2025-10-21status Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
INVESTORS DREAM, CALLING ON ALL LOCAL INVESTORS * * 2 small homes on one lot. the first on is 401 Brock, 724 sf cooled, 3 bdrm/1 bath. 409 - 680 sf cooled, 1 bdrm/1 bath. 409 has been re-roofed with metal in 2019. The home on 401 is being rented month by month for $600/month and 409 is vacant. Good resale if both homes get flipped. .. .. ITS A 2 FER!!
-
2025-10-09status Pending 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
INVESTORS DREAM, CALLING ON ALL LOCAL INVESTORS * * 2 small homes on one lot. the first on is 401 Brock, 724 sf cooled, 3 bdrm/1 bath. 409 - 680 sf cooled, 1 bdrm/1 bath. 409 has been re-roofed with metal in 2019. The home on 401 is being rented month by month for $600/month and 409 is vacant. Good resale if both homes get flipped. .. .. ITS A 2 FER!!
-
2025-06-08price $150,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
INVESTORS DREAM, CALLING ON ALL LOCAL INVESTORS * * 2 small homes on one lot. the first on is 401 Brock, 724 sf cooled, 3 bdrm/1 bath. 409 - 680 sf cooled, 1 bdrm/1 bath. 409 has been re-roofed with metal in 2019. The home on 401 is being rented month by month for $600/month and 409 is vacant. Good resale if both homes get flipped. .. .. ITS A 2 FER!!
-
2025-06-08$130,000 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
INVESTORS DREAM, CALLING ON ALL LOCAL INVESTORS * * 2 small homes on one lot. the first on is 401 Brock, 724 sf cooled, 3 bdrm/1 bath. 409 - 680 sf cooled, 1 bdrm/1 bath. 409 has been re-roofed with metal in 2019. The home on 401 is being rented month by month for $600/month and 409 is vacant. Good resale if both homes get flipped. .. .. ITS A 2 FER!!
-
1983-03-01soldstatus $14,000
-
1981-01-01soldstatus $7,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,227 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$18/yr (+$2/mo · 1.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,227
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,607
- − Management
- −$1,607
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,127
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$511
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Crestview
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crestview, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 58,889
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,290
- Household income
- $74,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 371.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.52%
- Current HPI
- 261.1557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.12%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1900.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-09 Relisted — ECAR
- 2025-10-21 Relisted — ECAR
- 2025-10-09 Pending — ECAR
- 2025-06-08 Price Changed $150,000 ECAR
- 2025-06-08 Listed $130,000 ECAR
- 1983-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 1981-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,227 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…