15811 Villaire Ave · Clinton, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home that blends comfort, style, and smart design. The bright open layout creates an inviting atmosphere with space that feels both functional and easy to personalize. The kitchen shines with a versatile island featuring a sink, dishwasher, built in cabinetry, and seating along one side, ideal for everyday meals or gatherings. Enjoy abundant storage throughout, including a spacious walk in closet and an additional linen closet in the secondary bathroom. Both bedrooms offer comfortable flexibility for a variety of living needs, and the primary suite includes a private bath for added convenience. A separate laundry area keeps routines simple and organized. This home offers thoughtful design and practical features in one welcoming package. Schedule your tour today and see how perfectly it fits your lifestyle!
Key facts
- Bright open layout
- Versatile island
- Private bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $66k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 3.2% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.92%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,882
- List price
- $65,900
- Delta
- -60.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15995 Villaire Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+4%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $35 | 86 |
| 38924 E Windmill Pointe Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (-2%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $207 | 77 |
| 15376 Enchante Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+10%) | 0mo | $56,000 | $53 | 70 |
| 38718 Barnstable Ln | 0.95mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (0%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $172 | 63 |
| 38568 Capetown Ct | 0.88mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (0%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $184 | 62 |
| 38969 Golfview Dr W | 1.11mi | 2/1.5 | 966 (+1%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $178 | 61 |
| 37102 Aberdeen Dr #10 | 1.18mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (+2%) | 0mo | $122,500 | $124 | 60 |
| 38726 Golfview Dr #23 | 1.10mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (+4%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $185 | 56 |
| 38951 E Golfview Dr | 1.10mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (+4%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $170 | 56 |
| 14140 Merriweather St | 1.15mi | 2/2.0 | 884 (-8%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $133 | 51 |
| 13900 Camelot Dr #84 | 1.25mi | 2/1.5 | 884 (-8%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $136 | 49 |
| 13900 Camelot Dr #84 | 1.25mi | 2/1.5 | 884 (-8%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $136 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $23,550
- Equity at exit
- $9,826
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $54,563
- Equity at exit
- $5,698
Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 32 active
- Months of supply
- 192.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $55,400 ($54/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 107 d
- This list price
- 66% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +221.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 48038
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $598
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $644 | -5% $621 | +0% $598 | +5% $576 | +10% $553 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $493 | -5% $546 | +0% $598 | +5% $651 | +10% $704 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $632 | -0.5pp $615 | base $598 | +0.5pp $581 | +1.0pp $564 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,475
- Closing costs
- $1,977
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15811 Villaire Ave Unit 643 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 93d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 15881 Villaire Ave Unit 658 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 15882 Villaire Ave Unit 455 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 38136 Ducharme Dr Unit 467 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 0d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 15929 Villaire Ave Unit 668 Clinton Twp, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 38171 Ducharme Dr Unit 639 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 15962 Villaire Ave Unit 448 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 38100 Ducharme Dr Unit 476 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 15974 Villaire Ave Unit 445 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,199 | $1.56 | 26d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 15386 Danseur Dr Unit 822 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 93d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 16011 Villaire Ave Unit 682 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 15377 Dominique Dr Unit 828 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 16016 Villaire Ave Unit 402 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,249 | $1.30 | 42d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 15836 Croatia Dr Unit 544 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,349 | $1.61 | 93d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 16035 Villaire Ave Unit 688 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 93d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 38060 Leverette Ave Unit 435 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 38055 Leverette Ave Unit 491 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 15368 Dominique Dr Unit 868 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 93d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 15353 Dominique Dr Unit 834 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 73d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 38099 Johannes Dr Unit 550 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,399 | $1.51 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 38049 Ducharme Dr Unit 608 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 0d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 38051 Saint Tropez Dr Unit 990 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,549 | $1.38 | 52d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 15329 Danseur Dr Unit 795 Clinton Twp, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 38019 Leverette Ave Unit 500 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 38013 Chilver Ave Unit 381 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 93d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15322 Danseur Dr Unit 806 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 38105 Orleans St Unit 114 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,219 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 38017 Le Chateau Blvd Unit 285 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 38033 Ducharme Dr Unit 604 Clinton Twp, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,499 | $1.56 | 93d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 16137 Normandy St Unit 98 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,229 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 38056 Johannes Dr Unit 524 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,399 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 16151 Notre Dame St Unit 245 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 38044 Johannes Dr Unit 521 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 16152 Notre Dame St Unit 199 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,249 | $1.30 | 42d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 38053 Orleans St Unit 124 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,249 | $1.30 | 42d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 16142 Normandy St Unit 249 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 15868 Marentette Dr Unit 339 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 38071 Cordon Ct Unit 961 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 15835 Marentette Dr Unit 512 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 93d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 15856 Marentette Dr Unit 336 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,229 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.29mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-03-22price $65,900 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home that blends comfort, style, and smart design. The bright open layout creates an inviting atmosphere with space that feels both functional and easy to personalize. The kitchen shines with a versatile island featuring a sink, dishwasher, built in cabinetry, and seating along one side, ideal for everyday meals or gatherings. Enjoy abundant storage throughout, including a spacious walk in closet and an additional linen closet in the secondary bathroom. Both bedrooms offer comfortable flexibility for a variety of living needs, and the primary suite includes a private bath for added convenience. A separate laundry area keeps routines simple and organized. This home offers thoughtful design and practical features in one welcoming package. Schedule your tour today and see how perfectly it fits your lifestyle!
-
2026-02-21$62,900 Active 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home that blends comfort, style, and smart design. The bright open layout creates an inviting atmosphere with space that feels both functional and easy to personalize. The kitchen shines with a versatile island featuring a sink, dishwasher, built in cabinetry, and seating along one side, ideal for everyday meals or gatherings. Enjoy abundant storage throughout, including a spacious walk in closet and an additional linen closet in the secondary bathroom. Both bedrooms offer comfortable flexibility for a variety of living needs, and the primary suite includes a private bath for added convenience. A separate laundry area keeps routines simple and organized. This home offers thoughtful design and practical features in one welcoming package. Schedule your tour today and see how perfectly it fits your lifestyle!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,691
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$1,917
- Taxable income
- $6,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This well-maintained single-family home offers a good balance of comfort and style, with a bright and open layout. It is ready for a new owner or renter with minor updates that can significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Replace the pet bed with a more durable one — A more durable pet bed will reduce maintenance costs and improve the home's rental appeal. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chippewa Valley Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2609570
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,964
- Composite
- 39.61/100
- National rank
- #3922
- State rank
- #133 of 540 in MI
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #315
- US rank
- #7703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Macomb County · 925,296 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,422
- Household income
- $78,567
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.31%
- Current HPI
- 261.3877
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.92%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+4.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $65,900 Zillow
- 2026-02-21 Listed $62,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…