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15811 Villaire Ave
B Composite 71.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,900

15811 Villaire Ave · Clinton, MI 48038
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 109 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $69/sqft · 59% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home that blends comfort, style, and smart design. The bright open layout creates an inviting atmosphere with space that feels both functional and easy to personalize. The kitchen shines with a versatile island featuring a sink, dishwasher, built in cabinetry, and seating along one side, ideal for everyday meals or gatherings. Enjoy abundant storage throughout, including a spacious walk in closet and an additional linen closet in the secondary bathroom. Both bedrooms offer comfortable flexibility for a variety of living needs, and the primary suite includes a private bath for added convenience. A separate laundry area keeps routines simple and organized. This home offers thoughtful design and practical features in one welcoming package. Schedule your tour today and see how perfectly it fits your lifestyle!

Key facts

  • Bright open layout
  • Versatile island
  • Private bath

Tags

BRIGHT OPEN LAYOUTVERSATILE ISLANDABUNDANT STORAGESPACIOUS WALK IN CLOSETPRIVATE BATHSEPARATE LAUNDRY AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $66k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $59,969 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.16%
Cash-on-cash
42.38%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,282
List price
$65,900
Delta
-59.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38021 Orleans St. St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+10%) 7mo $41,000 $39 58
37539 Palmer Woods Blvd 0.57mi 2/1.0 884 (-8%) 10mo $160,000 $181 48
37474 Utica Rd 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-6%) 8mo $178,818 $199 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$26,739
Equity at exit
$9,826
10-year hold
IRR
40.8%
Equity multiple
4.30×
Total profit
$60,941
Equity at exit
$5,698

Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48038

Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
257
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,401 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$346
Tax est. 1.5%
$82 /mo · $988/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$652

Break-even live

Break-even rent $576
Max offer price $65,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $697 -5% $674 +0% $652 +5% $629 +10% $606
Rent -10% $541 -5% $596 +0% $652 +5% $707 +10% $762
Rate -1.0pp $685 -0.5pp $668 base $652 +0.5pp $635 +1.0pp $617

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,475
Closing costs
$1,977
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15811 Villaire Ave Unit 643 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 44d 1 0.03mi
38100 Ducharme Dr Unit 476 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 3d 1 0.09mi
15974 Villaire Ave Unit 445 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,319 $1.72 3d 1 0.10mi
15386 Danseur Dr Unit 822 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 44d 1 0.11mi
16011 Villaire Ave Unit 682 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 2d 1 0.12mi
15377 Dominique Dr Unit 828 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 2d 1 0.13mi
16016 Villaire Ave Unit 402 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 5d 1 0.14mi
15836 Croatia Dr Unit 544 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 840 $1,349 $1.61 44d 1 0.14mi
16035 Villaire Ave Unit 688 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 44d 1 0.15mi
38055 Leverette Ave Unit 491 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 5d 1 0.16mi
15368 Dominique Dr Unit 868 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 44d 1 0.16mi
15353 Dominique Dr Unit 834 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 25d 1 0.18mi
38051 Saint Tropez Dr Unit 990 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,549 $1.38 3d 1 0.21mi
15329 Danseur Dr Unit 795 Clinton Twp, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 3d 1 0.22mi
38019 Leverette Ave Unit 500 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,389 $1.45 2d 1 0.22mi
38013 Chilver Ave Unit 381 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 44d 1 0.23mi
38033 Ducharme Dr Unit 604 Clinton Twp, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,499 $1.56 44d 1 0.25mi
38056 Johannes Dr Unit 524 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 0d 1 0.26mi
16151 Notre Dame St Unit 245 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,309 $1.36 44d 1 0.26mi
38044 Johannes Dr Unit 521 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 44d 1 0.27mi
16152 Notre Dame St Unit 199 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,329 $1.38 0d 1 0.27mi
38053 Orleans St Unit 124 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,499 $1.56 15d 1 0.27mi
16142 Normandy St Unit 249 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 44d 1 0.28mi
15868 Marentette Dr Unit 339 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 13d 1 0.28mi
15835 Marentette Dr Unit 512 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 44d 1 0.28mi
15856 Marentette Dr Unit 336 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,399 $1.46 0d 1 0.29mi
16196 Notre Dame St Unit 210 Clinton Township, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,549 $1.47 0d 1 0.33mi
38029 Versailles St Unit 49 Clinton Township, MI 2.0 2.0 960 $1,369 $1.43 5d 1 0.42mi
38271 Fairway Ct Unit 100A Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 25d 1 0.79mi
38271 Fairway Ct Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,188 $1.28 44d 2 0.79mi
38290 Fairway Ct Clinton Township, MI 1.0 1.0 625 $912 $1.46 11d 2 0.82mi
38280 Fairway Ct Unit 140B Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.82mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,250 $1.30 44d 2 0.84mi
17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI 2.0 1.0 962 $1,325 $1.38 15d 2 0.84mi
38255 Fairway Ct Clinton Twp, MI 2.0 1.0 923 $1,250 $1.35 13d 1 0.86mi
36607 Holiday Cir E Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $1,249 $1.61 44d 2 1.12mi
17001 Eleanor Dr S Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 790 $1,200 $1.52 44d 1 1.23mi
0 Woodland MDWS Update, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,059 $2.05 0d 10 1.44mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,900 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,900 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,900 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,900 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,900 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,900 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-03-22
    price $65,900 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home that blends comfort, style, and smart design. The bright open layout creates an inviting atmosphere with space that feels both functional and easy to personalize. The kitchen shines with a versatile island featuring a sink, dishwasher, built in cabinetry, and seating along one side, ideal for everyday meals or gatherings. Enjoy abundant storage throughout, including a spacious walk in closet and an additional linen closet in the secondary bathroom. Both bedrooms offer comfortable flexibility for a variety of living needs, and the primary suite includes a private bath for added convenience. A separate laundry area keeps routines simple and organized. This home offers thoughtful design and practical features in one welcoming package. Schedule your tour today and see how perfectly it fits your lifestyle!

  10. 2026-02-21
    listed $62,900 Active 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home that blends comfort, style, and smart design. The bright open layout creates an inviting atmosphere with space that feels both functional and easy to personalize. The kitchen shines with a versatile island featuring a sink, dishwasher, built in cabinetry, and seating along one side, ideal for everyday meals or gatherings. Enjoy abundant storage throughout, including a spacious walk in closet and an additional linen closet in the secondary bathroom. Both bedrooms offer comfortable flexibility for a variety of living needs, and the primary suite includes a private bath for added convenience. A separate laundry area keeps routines simple and organized. This home offers thoughtful design and practical features in one welcoming package. Schedule your tour today and see how perfectly it fits your lifestyle!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,816
− Mortgage interest
−$3,691
− Property taxes
−$988
− Insurance
−$330
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,345
− Management
−$1,345
− Depreciation
−$1,917
Taxable income
$7,199
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,728
After-tax cash flow
$6,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained single-family home offers a good balance of comfort and style, with a bright and open layout. It is ready for a new owner or renter with minor updates that can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Rental Replace the pet bed with a more durable one — A more durable pet bed will reduce maintenance costs and improve the home's rental appeal.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Rental Replace the pet bed with a more durable one — A more durable pet bed will reduce maintenance costs and improve the home's rental appeal.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chippewa Valley Schools
NCES district ID
2609570
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$64,964
Composite
39.61/100
National rank
#3922
State rank
#133 of 540 in MI

Livability — Clinton

Score
70/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#7703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
44,422
Household income
$78,567
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
1788.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.31%
Current HPI
261.3877
Rent YoY
▼ -0.92%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $65,900 Zillow
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $62,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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