417 N 14th St · Virginia, MN 55792

$35,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Other public records · 38 Days on market

Built 1914 4,356 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This 4 bedroom house has opportunity! With a solid footprint this home could be transformed into a fantastic residence or investment property. This home has dining space for a breakfast nook or large butler's pantry (you decide!), and a formal dining room that has fantastic natural light on the main floor. Whether you're looking to renovate and build equity or create your dream home from the ground up, this is a chance to bring new life into a property with great bones. Sold as-is.

Key facts

• 4,356 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1914

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential single-family home; 2 stories
• Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot approximately 120 x 37.5 (0.1 acre)

Interior

• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiant heat
• Interior features: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $35k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $793 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
• Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 33.5% vs local median 7.5% in Virginia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#664 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, health & safety D.
• Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $33,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.95% ✓
• Cap rate: 33.49%
• Cash-on-cash: 97.12%
• DSCR: 5.32
• GRM: 2.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 98.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.58×
• Total profit: $44,903
• Equity at exit: $5,219

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 11.65×
• Total profit: $104,379
• Equity at exit: $3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55792

• Home prices YoY: -26.5%
• Active inventory: 64
• Price-to-rent: 2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,383 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax from tax record: −$101 /mo · $1,216/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$290
• Net cashflow: $793

Break-even live

Break-even rent $379

Max offer price $35,000

Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,750
• Closing costs: $1,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
117 2nd St N Unit 2 Virginia, MN	3.0	1.0	970	$1,535	$1.58	13d	1	0.76mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-05-16
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-04
   status Active
3. 2026-04-27
   status Pending
4. 2026-04-15
   price $35,000
5. 2026-03-31
   listed $40,000 Active
6. 2025-05-05
   soldstatus $55,833
7. 2004-04-23
   soldstatus $30,000
8. 2001-03-29
   soldstatus $29,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,216 · $101/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,216 · $101/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,597
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,961
• − Property taxes: −$1,216
• − Insurance: −$175
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,328
• − Management: −$1,328
• − Depreciation: −$1,018
• Taxable income: $9,572
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,297
• After-tax cash flow: $7,221/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Virginia

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #664
• US rank: #15991

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Virginia, MN
• County: Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
• City population: 9,663
• Metro: Duluth, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 9,663
• Household income: $53,750
• Rent vs Own: 37.5% rent · 62.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 286.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 202,411 people
• By 2030: 203,234 · +0.4%
• By 2040: 202,520 · +0.1%
• By 2050: 200,853 · -0.8%
• By 2075: 200,943 · -0.7%
• By 2100: 192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 12% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

• 2024 margin: D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -72.05%
• Current HPI: 199.7165
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Duluth, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+18.6% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-16 Pending — RAOR
• 2026-05-04 Relisted — RAOR
• 2026-04-27 Pending — RAOR
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $35,000 RAOR
• 2026-03-31 Listed $40,000 RAOR
• 2025-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $55,833 Public Records
• 2004-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
• 2001-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,216 · -9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.