490 Little River Farm Blvd Unit A104 · Carthage, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ALL INCLUSIVE 1ST FLOOR, END UNIT IN THE LITTLE RIVER FARM CONDOS! ON THE RENTAL PROGRAM. THE CONDOS ARE TURNKEY, FULLY FURNISHED & IN A RENTAL POOL MANAGED IN-HOUSE. CONDO IS BESIDE THE POOL & IS ON SHORT TERM RENTALS. PRICE INCLUDES FULLY FURNISHED CONDO WITH 3 FLAT SCREEN TVs . INCLUDES CABLE TV & WIFI INTERNET, WATER & SEWER & POOL ACCESS. , 1 BUILDING FROM FABULOUS POOL. HOT WATER IS PRODUCED BY BUILDING BOILER ROOM AND ASSESSED FOR LP GAS AT END OF THE YEAR (APPROX $360)
Key facts
- 1st floor
- Pool access
- End unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Taxes listed previously (amount excluded per instructions)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with clubhouse and management; Annual association fee of $2,976 (approximately $248/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Shared paved driveway; Lighted parking
- Security: Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available; Utilities available
- Home design: Residential condominium; One-level entry; Two-story building; End unit facing south
- Construction: Concrete, fiber cement, and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as condominium (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Balcony; In-ground pool (see remarks); Paved roads and private road frontage; Sidewalks; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Ice maker; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Bedrooms: End unit, first-floor unit
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air; Electric heating; Forced air
- Interior features: Window coverings; Furnished; Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detectors; Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $108k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.3% in Carthage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#450 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Moore County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sandhills Farm Life Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 394 students, 27% FRL); New Century Middle (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #106 of 475 statewide, top 22%, 625 students, 32% FRL); Union Pines High (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 1,438 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 941 units permitted in Moore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Moore County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.87%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,091
- Equity at exit
- $16,103
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $20,983
- Equity at exit
- $9,338
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28327
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,510 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$135 /mo · $1,620/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$248
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $273 | -5% $236 | +0% $198 | +5% $161 | +10% $124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $79 | -5% $139 | +0% $198 | +5% $258 | +10% $318 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $226 | base $198 | +0.5pp $170 | +1.0pp $142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $248 · $2,976/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewergasinternetcablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-19days on market $108,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $108,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $108,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $108,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $108,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $108,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $108,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $108,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $108,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $108,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $108,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $108,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $108,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $108,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $108,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $108,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-04-23$108,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$1,620
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,449
- − Management
- −$1,449
- − HOA
- −$2,976
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable income
- $892
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$214
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,167/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This fully furnished and turnkey condo is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It has a good curb appeal and is located near a pool, making it suitable for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace the carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrade the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase both resale and rental value by adding modern amenities and convenience.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace the carpet with hardwood or tile — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrade the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase both resale and rental value by adding modern amenities and convenience. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moore County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,333
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2967
- State rank
- #58 of 178 in NC
Livability — Carthage
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #450
- US rank
- #16574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carthage, NC
- County
- Moore County · 75,247 people
- City population
- 19,386
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,386
- Household income
- $87,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (Moore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,902 people
- By 2030
- 113,134 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 125,682 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 137,811 · +28.9%
- By 2075
- 164,387 · +53.8%
- By 2100
- 175,595 · +64.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Moore
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+27.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.86%
- Current HPI
- 190.6404
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.04%
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $108,000 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…