3990 Black Hawk Dr · McCalla, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 45.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy peaceful country living on approximately 2.65 acres with this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home! Highlights include an eat-in kitchen with stylish backsplash and stainless steel appliances, a cozy living room with fireplace, and a spacious primary suite featuring a private bath, double vanity, and walk-in closet. A convenient laundry room adds functionality, while both a screened-in back porch and welcoming front porch provide perfect spots to relax. Outside, enjoy mature blueberry bushes, a 1-car garage/workshop, and plenty of room to roam & play! Located in a USDA-eligible area for 0% down financing and zoned for McCalla Elementary and McAdory schools. Don’t miss your chance to make this slice of country living yours!
Key facts
- Cozy living room
- Stylish backsplash
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Gravel and concrete driveway; 1 garage space
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electric service (heating/cooling/appliances)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Covered porch with screened area; Chain link fence; Rolling slope lot adjacent to greenbelt; Paved road access; Workshop structure on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Granite counters; Pantry
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan and electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Granite counters; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows with drapes and window treatments; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-111 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (7.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (30.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in McCalla — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mcadory Elementary School (math 14% / reading 40%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 61% FRL); Mcadory Middle School (math 2% / reading 33%, grade F, #199 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 854 students, 74% FRL); Mcadory High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #237 of 305 statewide, top 78%, 1,162 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $275k implies a 2048% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.73%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $312,666
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -12.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3878 Black Hawk Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (+2%) | 8mo | $255,007 | $173 | 78 |
| 4500 Cabin Rd | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-3%) | 11mo | $275,500 | $197 | 72 |
| 4587 Cabin Rd | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,366 (-6%) | 4mo | $382,500 | $280 | 70 |
| 4591 Cabin Rd | 0.32mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,390 (-4%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $259 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-41,646
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $171
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35022
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $828/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $-111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $45 | -5% $-33 | +0% $-111 | +5% $-189 | +10% $-267 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-263 | -5% $-187 | +0% $-111 | +5% $-35 | +10% $40 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $27 | -0.5pp $-41 | base $-111 | +0.5pp $-182 | +1.0pp $-255 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4325 McClendon Chapel Rd Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1809 | $1,876 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-15status $275,000 Pending 49 DOM
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
Enjoy peaceful country living on approximately 2.65 acres with this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home! Highlights include an eat-in kitchen with stylish backsplash and stainless steel appliances, a cozy living room with fireplace, and a spacious primary suite featuring a private bath, double vanity, and walk-in closet. A convenient laundry room adds functionality, while both a screened-in back porch and welcoming front porch provide perfect spots to relax. Outside, enjoy mature blueberry bushes, a 1-car garage/workshop, and plenty of room to roam & play! Located in a USDA-eligible area for 0% down financing and zoned for McCalla Elementary and McAdory schools. Don’t miss your chance to make this slice of country living yours!
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 49 DOM
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
Enjoy peaceful country living on approximately 2.65 acres with this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home! Highlights include an eat-in kitchen with stylish backsplash and stainless steel appliances, a cozy living room with fireplace, and a spacious primary suite featuring a private bath, double vanity, and walk-in closet. A convenient laundry room adds functionality, while both a screened-in back porch and welcoming front porch provide perfect spots to relax. Outside, enjoy mature blueberry bushes, a 1-car garage/workshop, and plenty of room to roam & play! Located in a USDA-eligible area for 0% down financing and zoned for McCalla Elementary and McAdory schools. Don’t miss your chance to make this slice of country living yours!
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $275,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $275,000 Pending 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $275,000 Active 40 DOM
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
Enjoy peaceful country living on approximately 2.65 acres with this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home! Highlights include an eat-in kitchen with stylish backsplash and stainless steel appliances, a cozy living room with fireplace, and a spacious primary suite featuring a private bath, double vanity, and walk-in closet. A convenient laundry room adds functionality, while both a screened-in back porch and welcoming front porch provide perfect spots to relax. Outside, enjoy mature blueberry bushes, a 1-car garage/workshop, and plenty of room to roam & play! Located in a USDA-eligible area for 0% down financing and zoned for McCalla Elementary and McAdory schools. Don’t miss your chance to make this slice of country living yours!
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-22$285,000 Active 745-char remark
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
Enjoy peaceful country living on approximately 2.65 acres with this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home! Highlights include an eat-in kitchen with stylish backsplash and stainless steel appliances, a cozy living room with fireplace, and a spacious primary suite featuring a private bath, double vanity, and walk-in closet. A convenient laundry room adds functionality, while both a screened-in back porch and welcoming front porch provide perfect spots to relax. Outside, enjoy mature blueberry bushes, a 1-car garage/workshop, and plenty of room to roam & play! Located in a USDA-eligible area for 0% down financing and zoned for McCalla Elementary and McAdory schools. Don’t miss your chance to make this slice of country living yours!
-
2026-04-22$285,000 Active 745-char remark
Show marketing remark (745 chars)
Enjoy peaceful country living on approximately 2.65 acres with this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home! Highlights include an eat-in kitchen with stylish backsplash and stainless steel appliances, a cozy living room with fireplace, and a spacious primary suite featuring a private bath, double vanity, and walk-in closet. A convenient laundry room adds functionality, while both a screened-in back porch and welcoming front porch provide perfect spots to relax. Outside, enjoy mature blueberry bushes, a 1-car garage/workshop, and plenty of room to roam & play! Located in a USDA-eligible area for 0% down financing and zoned for McCalla Elementary and McAdory schools. Don’t miss your chance to make this slice of country living yours!
-
1987-04-28soldstatus $12,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $828 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,128 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$300/yr (+$25/mo · 36.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 45% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$828
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,841
- − Management
- −$1,841
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$6,282
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,508
- After-tax cash flow
- $174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — McCalla
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,126
- Household income
- $81,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 554.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.40%
- Current HPI
- 219.3839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.80%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+2048.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-15 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-06-10 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2026-06-10 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-05 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-06-05 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $275,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $275,000 WAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $285,000 WAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $285,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1987-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $12,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $828 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…