4645 Cheryl Dr · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute home. Just painted on the outside. Good home for first-time homebuyers. Outside storage building does not stay. Separate room outside has w/ d hook-ups.
Key facts
- 5,602 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; 2 parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available (220V); Public water; Public sewer; Phone service available; Separate meters
- Home design: Single-story; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof; Wood siding construction
- Construction: Built with wood siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Storage; Chain link fencing; Interior lot; Landscaped yard; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Air filtration; Open floor plan; Cable TV
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-740/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (8.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.97%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,818
- List price
- $133,900
- Delta
- -7.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4822 Dodd Dr | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (+2%) | 1mo | $139,500 | $149 | 86 |
| 4649 Dodd Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-4%) | 10mo | $187,000 | $211 | 78 |
| 4849 Easter Dr | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 885 (-4%) | 6mo | $79,900 | $90 | 74 |
| 4638 Archer Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-14%) | 7mo | $49,900 | $63 | 67 |
| 4805 Gabriel Dr | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 835 (-9%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $126 | 63 |
| 4622 Bluebelle Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 913 (-1%) | 11mo | $147,000 | $161 | 63 |
| 2126 Harvard St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-1%) | 4mo | $135,900 | $149 | 62 |
| 4741 Franklin Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,053 (+14%) | 11mo | $179,900 | $171 | 57 |
| 4462 Carlton St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+11%) | 11mo | $117,500 | $115 | 56 |
| 4621 Vestal St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 857 (-7%) | 12mo | $99,900 | $117 | 53 |
| 4514 Townsend St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (-8%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $229 | 53 |
| 4705 Kendall Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+12%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $150 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-26,370
- Equity at exit
- $19,965
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-31,042
- Equity at exit
- $11,577
Cash invested: $37,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78415
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 417
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$702
- Tax from tax record
- −$260 /mo · $3,122/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $-62
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,475
- Closing costs
- $4,017
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2534 Johanna St Unit 7 Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $645 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4326 Vestal St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,125 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2122 Harvard St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,250 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2709 Milo St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2106 Harvard St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,225 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4625 Kostoryz Rd Unit 121 Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $875 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4625 Kostoryz Rd Unit 108 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $975 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4322 Kostoryz Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,259 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1534 Lazy Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1458 W Point Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $800 | $1.03 | 14d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 4822 Mokry Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 200 Clemmer St Unit A Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1402 Devon Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $795 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4942 Anthony St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,595 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $133,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $133,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $133,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $133,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $133,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $133,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $133,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $133,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $133,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $133,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $133,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $133,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $133,900 1130-char remark
-
2026-04-29$137,900 Active 1130-char remark
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2026-04-13price $137,900
-
2026-03-11price $142,900
-
2026-01-16price $144,900
-
2025-12-16$149,900 Active
-
2023-01-23soldstatus
-
2022-08-02soldstatus
-
2022-06-23soldstatus
-
2009-08-26soldstatus
-
2004-12-07soldstatus
-
2004-11-29soldstatus
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cute home. Just painted on the outside. Good home for first-time homebuyers. Outside storage building does not stay. Separate room outside has w/ d hook-ups.
-
2004-09-16$56,500
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cute home. Just painted on the outside. Good home for first-time homebuyers. Outside storage building does not stay. Separate room outside has w/ d hook-ups.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,122 · $260/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,122 · $260/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,500
- − Property taxes
- −$3,122
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$3,895
- Taxable loss
- −$2,983
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$716
- After-tax cash flow
- $-24/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corpus Christi ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815270
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,672
- Composite
- 28.27/100
- National rank
- #6793
- State rank
- #562 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,080
- Household income
- $54,990
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1730.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 41% White 12% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 40%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.20%
- Current HPI
- 158.011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+137.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $133,900 CBMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $137,900 CBMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $137,900 CBMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $142,900 CBMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $144,900 CBMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $149,900 CBMLS
- 2023-01-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-08-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-06-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-12-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-11-29 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2004-09-16 Listed $56,500 CBMLS
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,122 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…