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4645 Cheryl Dr
D Composite 41.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$133,900

4645 Cheryl Dr · Corpus Christi, TX 78415
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 921 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1948 5,602 sqft lot $145/sqft · 8% below area Est $145k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute home. Just painted on the outside. Good home for first-time homebuyers. Outside storage building does not stay. Separate room outside has w/ d hook-ups.

Key facts

  • 5,602 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; 2 parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available (220V); Public water; Public sewer; Phone service available; Separate meters
  • Home design: Single-story; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof; Wood siding construction
  • Construction: Built with wood siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Storage; Chain link fencing; Interior lot; Landscaped yard; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Air filtration; Open floor plan; Cable TV
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-740/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (8.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,082 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.97%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,818
List price
$133,900
Delta
-7.54%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4822 Dodd Dr 0.23mi 2/1.0 938 (+2%) 1mo $139,500 $149 86
4649 Dodd Dr 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 888 (-4%) 10mo $187,000 $211 78
4849 Easter Dr 0.30mi 2/1.0 885 (-4%) 6mo $79,900 $90 74
4638 Archer Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 792 (-14%) 7mo $49,900 $63 67
4805 Gabriel Dr 0.28mi 2/1.0 835 (-9%) 10mo $105,000 $126 63
4622 Bluebelle Ln 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 913 (-1%) 11mo $147,000 $161 63
2126 Harvard St 0.71mi 2/1.0 912 (-1%) 4mo $135,900 $149 62
4741 Franklin Dr 0.21mi 2/1.0 1,053 (+14%) 11mo $179,900 $171 57
4462 Carlton St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,026 (+11%) 11mo $117,500 $115 56
4621 Vestal St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 857 (-7%) 12mo $99,900 $117 53
4514 Townsend St 0.54mi 2/1.0 850 (-8%) 11mo $195,000 $229 53
4705 Kendall Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (+12%) 0mo $155,000 $150 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-26,370
Equity at exit
$19,965
10-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-31,042
Equity at exit
$11,577

Cash invested: $37,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78415

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
417
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,211 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$702
Tax from tax record
$260 /mo · $3,122/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$-62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,289
Max offer price $123,013
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,475
Closing costs
$4,017
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2534 Johanna St Unit 7 Corpus Christi, TX 1.0 1.0 600 $645 $1.07 21d 1 0.58mi
4326 Vestal St Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 1.0 984 $1,125 $1.14 14d 1 0.60mi
2122 Harvard St Corpus Christi, TX 2.0 1.0 858 $1,250 $1.46 14d 1 0.73mi
2709 Milo St Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,700 $1.52 14d 1 0.74mi
2106 Harvard St Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 1.0 912 $1,225 $1.34 44d 1 0.76mi
4625 Kostoryz Rd Unit 121 Corpus Christi, TX 1.0 1.0 540 $875 $1.62 44d 1 0.77mi
4625 Kostoryz Rd Unit 108 Corpus Christi, TX 2.0 1.0 720 $975 $1.35 44d 1 0.77mi
4322 Kostoryz Rd Corpus Christi, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,259 $1.14 44d 1 1.04mi
1534 Lazy Ln Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 1.0 800 $1,195 $1.49 21d 1 1.10mi
1458 W Point Rd Corpus Christi, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 777 $800 $1.03 14d 2 1.29mi
4822 Mokry Dr Corpus Christi, TX 2.0 1.0 903 $1,200 $1.33 21d 1 1.32mi
200 Clemmer St Unit A Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 1.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 44d 1 1.35mi
1402 Devon Dr Corpus Christi, TX 1.0 1.0 540 $795 $1.47 14d 1 1.36mi
4942 Anthony St Corpus Christi, TX 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,595 $1.57 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $133,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $133,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $133,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $133,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $133,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $133,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $133,900 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $133,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $133,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $133,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $133,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $133,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $133,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $133,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $133,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    price $133,900 1130-char remark
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $137,900 Active 1130-char remark
  18. 2026-04-13
    price $137,900
  19. 2026-03-11
    price $142,900
  20. 2026-01-16
    price $144,900
  21. 2025-12-16
    listed $149,900 Active
  22. 2023-01-23
    soldstatus
  23. 2022-08-02
    soldstatus
  24. 2022-06-23
    soldstatus
  25. 2009-08-26
    soldstatus
  26. 2004-12-07
    soldstatus
  27. 2004-11-29
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Cute home. Just painted on the outside. Good home for first-time homebuyers. Outside storage building does not stay. Separate room outside has w/ d hook-ups.

  28. 2004-09-16
    listed $56,500
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Cute home. Just painted on the outside. Good home for first-time homebuyers. Outside storage building does not stay. Separate room outside has w/ d hook-ups.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,122 · $260/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,122 · $260/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,530
− Mortgage interest
−$7,500
− Property taxes
−$3,122
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,162
− Management
−$1,162
− Depreciation
−$3,895
Taxable loss
−$2,983
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$716
After-tax cash flow
$-24/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corpus Christi ISD
NCES district ID
4815270
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,672
Composite
28.27/100
National rank
#6793
State rank
#562 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

Score
78/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corpus Christi, TX
County
Nueces County · 296,836 people
City population
296,836
Metro
Corpus Christi, TX
Population (ZIP)
43,080
Household income
$54,990
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1730.0

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 41% White 12% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 40%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.20%
Current HPI
158.011
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Corpus Christi, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $133,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $137,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $137,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $142,900 CBMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $144,900 CBMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $149,900 CBMLS
  • 2023-01-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-06-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-08-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-12-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-11-29 Sold (MLS) CBMLS
  • 2004-09-16 Listed $56,500 CBMLS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,122 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…