20381 NE 30th Ave Unit 118-7 · Aventura, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FULLY RENOVATED FIRST-FLOOR CORNER UNIT FEATURING 3 BEDROOMS AND 2 BATHROOMS IN A HIGHLY DESIRABLE FAMILY-FRIENDLY COMMUNITY! THIS SPACIOUS HOME OFFERS A BRIGHT OPEN LAYOUT WITH HURRICANE-IMPACT WINDOWS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, TWO REFRIGERATORS, DISHWASHER, BRAND NEW APPLIANCES, NEW WASHER & DRYER, AC REPLACED in 2021, AND A NEW WATER HEATER INSTALLED IN 2024.THE OVERSIZED PRIMARY SUITE INCLUDES AN ON-SUITE BATHROOM, WALK-IN CLOSET, PLUS AN ADDITIONAL SECOND CLOSET FOR EXTRA STORAGE. TV IN THE KITCHEN IS ALSO INCLUDED WITH THE SALE! ENJOY RESORT-STYLE AMENITIES INCLUDING 2 SWIMMING POOLS, a KIDDIE POOL, CLUBHOUSE, FITNESS CENTER AND PLAYGROUND. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE BEATIFUL 3-MILE WALKI
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Brand new appliances
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (dogs OK)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, elevators, and fitness center; Association fee covers amenities, common areas, cable TV, and hot water
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned deeded parking; Guest parking available; One covered space (1-car garage/space)
- Security: Security guard
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Block construction; Resale property; 4 stories; Entry at level 1
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Open patio; Porch; Patio with barbecue; Security guard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Elevator access
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $280k).
- Recommended offer: $276k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 985 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,473/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 75781% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.96%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-26,821
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-31,163
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33180
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 985
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,473 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$687
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$939
- Net cashflow
- $485
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $679 | -5% $582 | +0% $485 | +5% $389 | +10% $292 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $132 | -5% $309 | +0% $485 | +5% $662 | +10% $839 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $626 | -0.5pp $557 | base $485 | +0.5pp $413 | +1.0pp $339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 SE 9th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1540 | $4,250 | $2.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 223 SW 10th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1289 | $3,900 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 707 SW 3rd Ave Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $5,500 | $4.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 215 SE 5th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $3,675 | $3.24 | 25d | 5 | 1.09mi |
| 211 SE 4th St #3 Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $3,950 | $3.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 301 SW 5th St Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $4,000 | $2.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 90 SW 3rd St Unit 2400 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $3,700 | $3.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 644 SW 7th Ct Hallandale Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $3,800 | $2.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 212 SW 1st Ave Hallandale Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $10,000 | $5.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 712 SW 7th Ter Hallandale Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1356 | $4,500 | $3.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1180 E Hallandale Beach Blvd Unit 1241877P Hallandale Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $5,453 | $6.46 | 4d | 2 | 1.36mi |
| 220 SW 3rd Ave Hallandale Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $4,500 | $2.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 220 SW 3rd Ave Hallandale Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $4,800 | $2.77 | 8d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 839 SW 8th St #1 Hallandale Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $687 · $8,244/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $280,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $280,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $280,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $280,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-24price $280,000
-
2026-05-22price $299,000
-
2026-05-11price $309,000
-
2026-05-10price $329,000
-
2026-05-10price $359,000
-
2026-05-06price $369,000
-
2026-05-05$369 Active
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-12-02historical $2,900
-
2025-10-27price $2,900
-
2025-10-21$3,100
-
2025-10-04price $285,000
-
2025-09-20$295,000 Active
-
2025-08-29historical $3,350
-
2025-08-16$3,350
-
2025-08-12price $300,000
-
2025-08-11historical $3,000
-
2025-08-07$355,500 Active
-
2025-08-02$3,000
-
2025-08-02price $285,000
-
2025-08-02price $285
-
2025-07-26price $300,000
-
2025-07-15historical $3,495
-
2025-07-12price $320,000
-
2025-07-06price $339,000
-
2025-06-22price $349,000
-
2025-06-13$3,495
-
2025-05-28price $385,000
-
2025-05-26price $395,000
-
2025-04-23historical $3,500
-
2025-03-23$3,500
-
2025-03-22$399,000 Active
-
2025-03-21historical $3,500
-
2025-03-21historical
-
2025-03-17$3,500
-
2025-03-14$399,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,679
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$6,518
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,294
- − Management
- −$4,294
- − HOA
- −$8,244
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable income
- $2,298
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,272/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This fully renovated first-floor corner unit is in good condition with recent updates, including a new water heater and AC. It offers a bright open layout and resort-style amenities, making it a great investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Aventura
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #1834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aventura, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,147
- Household income
- $91,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 28% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 7% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -343.81%
- Current HPI
- 234.7715
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-30.0% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $280,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $299,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $309,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $329,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $359,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $369,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $369 MARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listed for Rent $3,100 MARMLS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $285,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-20 Listed $295,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-29 Rental Removed $3,350 MARMLS
- 2025-08-16 Listed for Rent $3,350 MARMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $300,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-11 Rental Removed $3,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-07 Listed $355,500 MARMLS
- 2025-08-02 Listed for Rent $3,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-02 Price Changed $285,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-02 Price Changed $285 MARMLS
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $300,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-15 Rental Removed $3,495 MARMLS
- 2025-07-12 Price Changed $320,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-06 Price Changed $339,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-22 Price Changed $349,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-13 Listed for Rent $3,495 MARMLS
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $385,000 MARMLS
- 2025-05-26 Price Changed $395,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-23 Rental Removed $3,500 MARMLS
- 2025-03-23 Listed for Rent $3,500 MARMLS
- 2025-03-22 Listed $399,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-21 Rental Removed $3,500 MARMLS
- 2025-03-21 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-03-17 Listed for Rent $3,500 MARMLS
- 2025-03-14 Listed $399,999 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…