6501 River Run Rd · Riverdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
Key facts
- New floors
- Double deck
- Jacuzzi
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-277/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#100 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Riverdale Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,092 of 1,228 statewide, top 91%, 635 students, 90% FRL); Riverdale Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 660 students, 90% FRL); Charles R. Drew High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,652 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 399 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $220k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 399 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.45%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,981
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -13.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742 Verde Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (-1%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $153 | 75 |
| 545 Oak Valley Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,592 (-7%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $160 | 72 |
| 370 Valiant Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (-4%) | 3mo | $213,000 | $129 | 66 |
| 6111 Johnson Rd | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,838 (+7%) | 6mo | $109,000 | $59 | 64 |
| 530 Oak Valley Dr | 0.15mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,489 (-13%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $185 | 61 |
| 772 Verde Dr | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 | 1,602 (-7%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $122 | 54 |
| 388 Eagles Nest Way | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,697 (-1%) | 23mo | $265,000 | $156 | 50 |
| 6315 Valley Dale Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,875 (+9%) | 21mo | $220,000 | $117 | 50 |
| 260 Shelburn Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-13%) | 16mo | $132,500 | $88 | 39 |
| 6477 Camp St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,940 (+13%) | 20mo | $230,000 | $119 | 30 |
| 846 Poplar Springs Rd | 0.64mi | 3/3.5 | 1,920 (+12%) | 19mo | $231,000 | $120 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-40,229
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-49,250
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30274
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,852 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$241 /mo · $2,889/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $101 | -5% $39 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-169 | -5% $-96 | +0% $-23 | +5% $50 | +10% $123 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $88 | -0.5pp $33 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-80 | +1.0pp $-138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6232 Lance Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,959 | $1.03 | 26d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 563 Briar Hill Ct Riverdale, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1132 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 20d | 9 | 0.38mi |
| 654 Roy Huie Rd Unit 1 Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6433 Valley Brook Dr Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 26d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 828 Overlook Ter Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1270 | $1,495 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 428 Eagles Nest Way Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6476 Voyles Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 504 Pinecrest Dr Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 26d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6476 Voyles Dr Unit 1 Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 26d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 389 Eagles Flight Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6491 Camp St Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,468 | $1.37 | 7d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 500 Denham St Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 7d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6450 River Park Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1320 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6447 River Park Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 465 Eagles Crossing Cir Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 471 Eagles Crossing Cir Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1481 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 218 Ridge Trl Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1826 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6114 Riverdale Rd Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $1,735 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 852 Garden Walk Blvd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,489 | $1.78 | 45d | 9 | 0.86mi |
| 168 Ridge Trl Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,580 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6316 Steepleridge Ct Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $2,011 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6492 Meadow Lark Dr Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2158 | $2,265 | $1.05 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6631 Baldwin Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1211 | $1,593 | $1.32 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 776 Glenshire Ct Riverdale, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1454 | $1,766 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 934 Garden Walk Blvd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,610 | $1.84 | 0d | 11 | 0.95mi |
| 6030 Riverdale Rd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $1,895 | $1.82 | 45d | 21 | 0.99mi |
| 6061 Pine View Ter Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,811 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6030 Riverdale Rd Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,725 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1081 Garden Walk Blvd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,498 | $1.67 | 0d | 34 | 1.13mi |
| 6554 River Glen Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $1,861 | $1.14 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 845 Rock Shoals Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,740 | $1.16 | 6d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6632 Stark Ct Unit A Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $1,850 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1019 River Stone Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,715 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5724 Riverdale Rd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $1,460 | $1.40 | 7d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1109 Mary Lee Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1905 | $1,900 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1146 E Fayetteville Rd Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,781 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 907 Silverwood Dr #907 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $1,225 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 907 Silverwood Dr #907 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 907 Silverwood Dr Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $1,225 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5890 Riverdale Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,559 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-04status $220,000 Under Contract 399 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 399 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $220,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
-
2025-10-30status Price Change 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
-
2025-10-30price $265,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
-
2025-10-11historical 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
-
2025-07-11status Back On Market 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
-
2025-07-07historical 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
-
2025-04-05$290,000 New 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Adorable ranch you will love to call home. This adorable house features new floors, a renovated basement bathroom with a jacuzzi a double deck in the back.
-
2001-05-18soldstatus $120,000
-
1985-07-18soldstatus $59,900
-
1971-12-16soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,889 · $241/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,889 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,223
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$2,889
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,778
- − Management
- −$1,778
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$4,045
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$971
- After-tax cash flow
- $694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Riverdale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #7907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverdale, GA
- County
- Clayton County · 230,153 people
- City population
- 61,126
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,081
- Household income
- $52,209
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2586.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.82%
- Current HPI
- 236.3592
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.30%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+685.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $220,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-30 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $265,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-11 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-07-11 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-07-07 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-04-05 Listed $290,000 GAMLS
- 2001-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1985-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 1971-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,889 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…