14 Salen Ln · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2,345 sq. ft. home situated on a FLAT . 40-acre lot in beautiful Bella Vista. This 3-bedroom, 2 1/2-bath home features a 2-car garage with additional storage area, providing plenty of space for vehicles, tools, and hobbies. The inviting living room is highlighted by a beautiful wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm and welcoming gathering space. New carpeting in the primary bedroom and closet and the sunroom/back porch area, adding comfort and freshness to these spaces. Located near Scottsdale Golf Course and Branchwood Recreation Center, this home offers a convenient location with easy access to many of Bella Vista's amenities. An upstairs bonus area, previously used as craft/ho
Key facts
- Garden area
- 40-acre lot
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Bella Vista association with a $40 monthly fee; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf, playground, pool, sauna, tennis courts, biking, trails/paths, and proximity to a fire station and park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with workshop and garage door opener; Two covered parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water available; Septic tank available
- Home design: Two-story home; Brick and cedar exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation with crawlspace; Residential zoning; Public road frontage; Has a view
- Construction: Built with brick and cedar; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation and crawlspace
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch; Concrete driveway; TV antenna; Storage structure; Backyard fencing; Corner lot, landscaped, level with hardwood trees and wooded areas; Near park and subdivision views
Interior
- Kitchen: Countertop appliances; Electric cooktop / smooth cooktop; Electric range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave with hood fan; Disposal; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms (two listed with dimensions 11x13 and 13.9x13.6)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout; Solar tubes; Walk-in closets; Wired for sound; Window treatments; Interior storage; Double-pane vinyl windows; Window blinds; Accessible approach with ramp; Accessible doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room (6x8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($923/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Gravette School District (rural): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 238 in AR (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Glenn Duffy Elementary School (530 students, 42% FRL); Gravette Middle School (math 59% / reading 54%, grade B, #17 of 201 statewide, top 8%, 486 students, 35% FRL); Gravette High School (math 38% / reading 44%, grade F, #43 of 292 statewide, top 15%, 616 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 838 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.00%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $529,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Daviot Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,344 (+3%) | 1mo | $530,000 | $226 | 77 |
| 5 Brims Ness Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 2,300 (+1%) | 8mo | $539,900 | $235 | 74 |
| 19 Nairn Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 2,240 (-1%) | 3mo | $525,000 | $234 | 68 |
| 47 Eriboll Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 2,178 (-4%) | 8mo | $522,000 | $240 | 68 |
| 21 Salen Ln | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,975 (-13%) | 1mo | $408,000 | $207 | 67 |
| 7 Torran Ln | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,060 (-9%) | 1mo | $480,000 | $233 | 61 |
| 52 Morvan Dr | 0.27mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,530 (+11%) | 4mo | $540,000 | $213 | 58 |
| 19 Fountainhall Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 2,016 (-11%) | 9mo | $455,000 | $226 | 54 |
| 22 Cromarty Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 2,594 (+14%) | 6mo | $725,000 | $279 | 52 |
| 3 Carrick Cir | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 | 2,448 (+8%) | 9mo | $675,000 | $276 | 44 |
| 4 Stobo Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,032 (-11%) | 10mo | $450,000 | $221 | 44 |
| 4 Skelton Dr | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,076 (-9%) | 7mo | $385,000 | $185 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-48,713
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-36,666
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72715
- Home prices YoY
- -6.6%
- Active inventory
- 838
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,622 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $264 | -5% $170 | +0% $77 | +5% $-17 | +10% $-110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-130 | -5% $-27 | +0% $77 | +5% $180 | +10% $284 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $243 | -0.5pp $161 | base $77 | +0.5pp $-9 | +1.0pp $-96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Morvan Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $1,875 | $1.10 | 16d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1 Marykirk Ln Unit 1221821P Bella Vista, AR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3035 | $8,057 | $2.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7 Dundonald Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 79 Sherlock Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2082 | $1,875 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 21 Kirkcudbright Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7 Angus Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 28 Stronsay Cir Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1654 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 28 McKenzie Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,400 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1 Scotsdale Pl Unit 1257580P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2066 | $2,793 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 47 Glasgow Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $2,550 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7 Prestwick Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $1,950 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 32 Cheviot Ln Unit 1221944P Bella Vista, AR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3282 | $10,332 | $3.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9 Selkirk Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $2,595 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $330,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$330,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,038 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,112 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,074/yr (+$89/mo · 103.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$1,038
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,517
- − Management
- −$2,517
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$4,823
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,080/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gravette School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506840
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,964
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #3728
- State rank
- #26 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 107.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.53%
- Current HPI
- 304.946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $330,000 NWARMLS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,038 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…