22840 Sterling Ave #87 · Palm Springs, CA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 22840 Sterling Avenue #87! This spacious and quiet 1,140 sq. ft. 3-bedroom/2-bath manufactured home is ideally located within Sun Canyon Estates. Surrounded by superb mountains views, the unit offers a spacious living room, an en-suite master bedroom and 2 additional bedrooms. This home with its covered 1 car garage is perfect for a family or to host friends. Recent upgrades includes new AC, new garage door, dishwasher and boiler. Ready to move in. Amenities include a fitness center, library, pool, and spa. Downtown Palm Springs is only 12 minutes away by car. Current monthly space rent is $555, which includes a clubhouse, onsite manager, fitness center, library, bbq area, spa, parking and pool.
Key facts
- Move in ready
- Spacious living room
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sold as real estate owned (REO); Listing terms: Conventional or cash; Possession at close of escrow; Property sold as-is; pet restrictions apply
- Financial info: Land is lease; land lease amount $950 annually; Rental restrictions apply; Land lease purchase: No
- HOA & community: No monthly association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Total 2 parking spaces (includes 1 uncovered/assigned space); Driveway
- Security: Community security / resident manager
- Utilities: Sewer: Other
- Home design: One-story double-wide manufactured home; Front door faces east; Built by Fleetwood Homes (model: Beacon Hill)
- Construction: Double-wide manufactured home; Made by Fleetwood (MH manufacturer: Fleetwood); Model: 3443R; Length about 44 ft, width about 23.6 ft
- Exterior features: Community-managed property with resident manager; Wood fencing; Other fencing; Mountain views; Front door faces east; Detached property
Interior
- Kitchen: Formica counters; Kitchen island
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower over tub; Shower stall
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Unfurnished; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 662 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,837/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 1866% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.34%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,473
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -4.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22840 Sterling Ave #4 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (+10%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $129 | 74 |
| 22840 Sterling Ave #142 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+12%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $97 | 73 |
| 22840 Sterling Ave #35 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+12%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $59 | 70 |
| 22840 Sterling Ave #73 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+12%) | 15mo | $153,000 | $129 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $60,108
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $137,476
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92262
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 662
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $440/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$596
- Net cashflow
- $1,372
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,443 | -5% $1,407 | +0% $1,372 | +5% $1,337 | +10% $1,301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,148 | -5% $1,260 | +0% $1,372 | +5% $1,484 | +10% $1,596 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,435 | -0.5pp $1,404 | base $1,372 | +0.5pp $1,340 | +1.0pp $1,307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22840 Sterling Ave #147 Palm Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,650 | $2.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.03mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $125,000 798-char remark
-
2026-04-09$135,000 Active 798-char remark
-
2022-06-06soldstatus $123,000 Sold 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
Welcome to 22840 Sterling Avenue #87! This spacious and quiet 1,140 sq. ft. 3-bedroom/2-bath manufactured home is ideally located within Sun Canyon Estates. Surrounded by superb mountains views, the unit offers a spacious living room, an en-suite master bedroom and 2 additional bedrooms. This home with its covered 1 car garage is perfect for a family or to host friends. Recent upgrades includes new AC, new garage door, dishwasher and boiler. Ready to move in. Amenities include a fitness center, library, pool, and spa. Downtown Palm Springs is only 12 minutes away by car. Current monthly space rent is $555, which includes a clubhouse, onsite manager, fitness center, library, bbq area, spa, parking and pool.
-
2022-04-12historical Backup Offers Accepted 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
Welcome to 22840 Sterling Avenue #87! This spacious and quiet 1,140 sq. ft. 3-bedroom/2-bath manufactured home is ideally located within Sun Canyon Estates. Surrounded by superb mountains views, the unit offers a spacious living room, an en-suite master bedroom and 2 additional bedrooms. This home with its covered 1 car garage is perfect for a family or to host friends. Recent upgrades includes new AC, new garage door, dishwasher and boiler. Ready to move in. Amenities include a fitness center, library, pool, and spa. Downtown Palm Springs is only 12 minutes away by car. Current monthly space rent is $555, which includes a clubhouse, onsite manager, fitness center, library, bbq area, spa, parking and pool.
-
2022-03-28$125,000 Active 715-char remark
Show marketing remark (715 chars)
Welcome to 22840 Sterling Avenue #87! This spacious and quiet 1,140 sq. ft. 3-bedroom/2-bath manufactured home is ideally located within Sun Canyon Estates. Surrounded by superb mountains views, the unit offers a spacious living room, an en-suite master bedroom and 2 additional bedrooms. This home with its covered 1 car garage is perfect for a family or to host friends. Recent upgrades includes new AC, new garage door, dishwasher and boiler. Ready to move in. Amenities include a fitness center, library, pool, and spa. Downtown Palm Springs is only 12 minutes away by car. Current monthly space rent is $555, which includes a clubhouse, onsite manager, fitness center, library, bbq area, spa, parking and pool.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $950 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$510/yr (+$42/mo · 115.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$440
- − Insurance
- −$2,128
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,724
- − Management
- −$2,724
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $15,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,695
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Springs
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #11850
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 46,786
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,887
- Household income
- $71,672
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1866.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1082.67%
- Current HPI
- 434.0524
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.46%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $125,000 GPSMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $135,000 CRMLS
- 2022-06-06 Sold (MLS) $123,000 TheMLS
- 2022-04-12 Contingent — TheMLS
- 2022-03-28 Listed $125,000 TheMLS
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $440 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…