5211 E 30th Ave · Tampa, FL 33619

$5,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,480 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1982

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends May 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Tampa community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa.

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Home design: Residential property
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.25 acres; Zoning: RM-16

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Single-story layout

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
• Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Oak Park Elementary School (math 42% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 354 students, 90% FRL); Burnett Middle School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 628 students, 73% FRL); Blake High School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 1,537 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 52% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 37.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 355.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 1248.88%
• DSCR: 56.57
• GRM: 0.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 62.77×
• Total profit: $86,484
• Equity at exit: $746

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 124.95×
• Total profit: $173,533
• Equity at exit: $432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33619

• Home prices YoY: -30.2%
• Rents YoY: -1.1%
• Active inventory: 248
• Price-to-rent: 0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,888 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$26
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$6 /mo · $75/yr
• Insurance: −$2
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$396
• Net cashflow: $1,457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44

Max offer price $5,000

Occupancy floor 18%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,460	-5% $1,459	+0% $1,457	+5% $1,455	+10% $1,454
Rent	-10% $1,308	-5% $1,382	+0% $1,457	+5% $1,532	+10% $1,606
Rate	-1.0pp $1,460	-0.5pp $1,458	base $1,457	+0.5pp $1,456	+1.0pp $1,454

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $1,250
• Closing costs: $150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 19 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3706 N 52nd St #1 Tampa, FL	3.0	2.5	1334	$2,500	$1.87	4d	1	0.06mi
3716 N 52nd St Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	1152	$1,650	$1.43	6d	1	0.09mi
3716 N 52nd St Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	1152	$1,650	$1.43	25d	1	0.09mi
3716 N 52nd St Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	1152	$1,650	$1.43	12d	1	0.09mi
3611 N 54th St Unit 3 Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1126	$1,895	$1.68	4d	1	0.14mi
3420 N 55th St Unit B Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	1095	$1,500	$1.37	25d	1	0.22mi
3417 Temple St Unit B Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	975	$1,600	$1.64	25d	1	0.29mi
3212 N 50th St Unit B Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1005	$2,200	$2.19	16d	1	0.45mi
2925 N 46th St Unit B Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	1120	$1,103	$0.98	25d	1	0.75mi
4811 E Curtis St Tampa, FL	1.0	1.0	891	$797	$0.89	25d	1	0.79mi
4481 Rachel Falls Dr Tampa, FL	3.0	2.5	1464	$2,350	$1.61	25d	1	0.82mi
3724 E 38th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1188	$1,895	$1.60	25d	1	1.27mi
3705 E North Bay St Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	969	$1,850	$1.91	5d	1	1.31mi
3517 Bishop Eddie Newkirk Way Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1200	$2,500	$2.08	25d	1	1.40mi
3507 E 29th Ave Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	928	$1,700	$1.83	25d	1	1.41mi
3511 Bishop Eddie Newkirk Way Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	1056	$1,800	$1.70	25d	1	1.43mi
3511 Bishop Eddie Newkirk Way Tampa, FL	3.0	1.0	1056	$1,800	$1.70	12d	1	1.43mi
3910 E Ellicott St Tampa, FL	2.0	1.0	950	$1,800	$1.89	25d	1	1.43mi
6514 Travis Blvd Tampa, FL	3.0	2.0	1200	$3,200	$2.67	25d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-20
   listed $5,000 Active
2. 1992-11-01
   soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,657
• − Mortgage interest: −$280
• − Property taxes: −$75
• − Insurance: −$25
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,813
• − Management: −$1,813
• − Depreciation: −$145
• Taxable income: $18,506
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,441
• After-tax cash flow: $13,043/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hillsborough
• NCES district ID: 1200870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,622
• Composite: 41.6/100
• National rank: #3435
• State rank: #41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tampa

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #142
• US rank: #2135

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tampa, FL
• County: Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
• City population: 523,346
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 41,396
• Household income: $66,134
• Rent vs Own: 49.2% rent · 50.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2006.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,022 people
• By 2030: 1,733,968 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 1,979,565 · +23.2%
• By 2050: 2,203,427 · +37.1%
• By 2075: 2,667,893 · +66.0%
• By 2100: 2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 28% White 27% Two or more races 21% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 11% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 22% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -162.52%
• Current HPI: 375.4923
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.14%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-85.7% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
• 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $754 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.