2304 Hawthorne Rd · Spring Hill, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- No hoa or cdd fees
- Large lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential, single-family; Zoned RESI; Living area about 1,038 sq ft (per public records); Total building area about 1,644 sq ft (per public records); Universal property ID available
- HOA & community: Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east; Homestead property
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on lot of about 0.23 acres
- Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Private mailbox; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 125
Interior
- Kitchen: Range hood
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the garage; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.4% in Spring Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#738 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: John D. Floyd Elementary School (math 43% / reading 53%, grade D, #1,171 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 948 students, 63% FRL); Powell Middle School (math 54% / reading 50%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 1,004 students, 50% FRL); Central High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,426 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.8%/yr); 742 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 18 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.18%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,512
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14207 Payne St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,146 (+10%) | 9mo | $279,900 | $244 | 68 |
| 2450 Ambassador Ave | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $188 | 64 |
| 3124 Dothan Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $268 | 56 |
| 13294 Pinellas Ave | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,105 (+6%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $192 | 53 |
| 2123 Hawthorne Rd | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,146 (+10%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $205 | 51 |
| 2299 Fayson Ln | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,185 (+14%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $148 | 48 |
| 14075 Amero Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,085 (+4%) | 15mo | $244,000 | $225 | 46 |
| 2192 Bolger Ave | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,168 (+12%) | 23mo | $245,000 | $210 | 44 |
| 14183 Pomona Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 3mo | $207,000 | $180 | 44 |
| 14212 Pomona Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-8%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $255 | 40 |
| 13418 Candia St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 7mo | $258,000 | $224 | 37 |
| 2079 Whitewood Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+7%) | 22mo | $257,000 | $231 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-12,616
- Equity at exit
- $26,019
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,144
- Equity at exit
- $15,088
Cash invested: $48,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34609
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- -4.8%
- Active inventory
- 742
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,898 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$915
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $432 | -5% $383 | +0% $333 | +5% $284 | +10% $234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $183 | -5% $258 | +0% $333 | +5% $408 | +10% $483 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $421 | -0.5pp $378 | base $333 | +0.5pp $288 | +1.0pp $242 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,625
- Closing costs
- $5,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1811 Rookery Rd Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $2,190 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14352 Pablo Blvd Spring Hill, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1186 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 26d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| Hill Dr Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,000 | $2.11 | 26d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 14069 Drysdale St Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 26d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 14059 Sullivan St Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3280 Ambassador Ave Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,780 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4557 Homefield DR Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,558 | $1.33 | 0d | 20 | 1.01mi |
| 3454 Suncoast Villa Way Spring Hill, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1275 | $1,720 | $1.35 | 4d | 44 | 1.35mi |
| 13322 Golden Lime Ave Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-05-14historical Active Under Contract 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-05-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-05-08status Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-05-08price $174,500 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-05-08price $174,500
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-05-07price $194,999
-
2026-05-07price $174,999
-
2026-05-05status Active
-
2026-04-30historical 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-04-30historical
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-04-01status Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2026-03-31status Active
-
2025-12-19historical Active Under Contract 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2025-12-15status Pending
-
2025-12-09status Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2025-12-08price $194,999 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2025-12-08price $194,999
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2025-12-03status Active
-
2025-11-18historical Active Under Contract 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2025-11-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
-
2025-11-10$207,500 Active 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
BANKRUPTCY Short Sale. .. 2304 Hawthorne Road, Spring Hill, FL 34609 Offers an Open Plan with Split 2 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and 2 Car Garage Block Home. 1,038 Square Feet Of Living Space. Large Lanai with Vinyl Windows and Shed. 0.23 Acre Lot, Situated In A Quiet, Established Neighborhood - NO HOA Or CDD Fees! Roof 24 Years Old. Schedule Your Showing Today.
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2025-11-05$207,500 Active
-
2025-04-13historical
-
2025-04-09status Active
-
2025-04-09status Active
-
2025-04-05status Pending
-
2025-04-05status Pending
-
2025-04-05historical
-
2025-02-14price $235,000
-
2025-02-14price $235,000
-
2025-02-03price $245,000
-
2025-02-02price $245,000
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2025-01-13price $257,000
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2025-01-13price $257,000
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2024-11-21price $262,000
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2024-11-21price $262,000
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2024-11-02$262,500 Active
-
2024-10-22price $262,500
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2024-09-13$265,500 Active
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $225,000 Closed
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $225,000
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $225,000 Closed
-
2022-12-22status Pending
-
2022-12-21status Pending
-
2022-12-01price $229,000
-
2022-12-01price $229,000
-
2022-11-18price $232,000
-
2022-11-18price $232,000
-
2022-10-31$235,000 Active
-
2022-10-31$229,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,145 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,145 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,775
- − Property taxes
- −$2,145
- − Insurance
- −$872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,822
- − Management
- −$1,822
- − Depreciation
- −$5,076
- Taxable income
- $1,267
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$304
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Spring Hill
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #738
- US rank
- #15937
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Hill, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- City population
- 83,915
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,257
- Household income
- $79,442
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.49%
- Current HPI
- 286.5885
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.82%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+133.0% since first listed62 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — HCAR
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — HCAR
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $174,500 HCAR
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $174,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $194,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $174,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — HCAR
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Contingent — HCAR
- 2025-12-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Relisted — HCAR
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $194,999 HCAR
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $194,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Contingent — HCAR
- 2025-11-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Listed $207,500 HCAR
- 2025-11-05 Listed $207,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-09 Relisted — HCAR
- 2025-04-09 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-05 Pending — HCAR
- 2025-04-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-05 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2025-02-14 Price Changed $235,000 HCAR
- 2025-02-14 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-03 Price Changed $245,000 HCAR
- 2025-02-02 Price Changed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-13 Price Changed $257,000 HCAR
- 2025-01-13 Price Changed $257,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-21 Price Changed $262,000 HCAR
- 2024-11-21 Price Changed $262,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-02 Listed $262,500 HCAR
- 2024-10-22 Price Changed $262,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-13 Listed $265,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $225,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $225,000 HCAR
- 2022-12-22 Pending — HCAR
- 2022-12-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-01 Price Changed $229,000 HCAR
- 2022-12-01 Price Changed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-18 Price Changed $232,000 HCAR
- 2022-11-18 Price Changed $232,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-31 Listed $229,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2022-10-31 Listed $235,000 HCAR
- 2022-10-29 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-09 Price Changed $244,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-26 Price Changed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-04 Listed $258,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $117,100 Public Records
- 2018-06-08 Sold (MLS) $117,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2018-06-08 Sold (MLS) $117,000 HCAR
- 2018-02-01 Listed $119,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2018-02-01 Listed $119,900 HCAR
- 2003-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 2002-12-31 Sold (MLS) $74,900 HCAR
- 2002-10-22 Listed $74,900 HCAR
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,145 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…