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56 Nicholson St
B- Composite 68.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

56 Nicholson St · Rochester, NY 14620
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1890 3,526 sqft lot $72/sqft · 60% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

LOOKING FOR A PROJECT?! Opportunity is knocking in the heart of the South Wedge! This home is packed with potential and perfectly positioned in one of Rochester’s most desirable and walkable neighborhoods - close to Highland Park, Highland & Strong Hospital, and some of the city’s best dining and nightlife. Inside, you’ll find a spacious and functional floor plan featuring 4 bedrooms, a large bathroom, and expansive living spaces looking for your personal touch. A generously sized first-floor bedroom offers flexibility, while upstairs you’ll find the additional 3 large bedrooms. Original hardwood floors and trim run throughout the home—just waiting to be

Key facts

  • 3,526 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1890

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Rectangular residential lot (approx. 32 x 107 feet)

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story house; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Spray foam insulation; Architectural shingle roof; Stone foundation; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in pantry
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in pantry; Natural woodwork; Has basement (full)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $910 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.22%
Cash-on-cash
39.04%
DSCR
2.74
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,634
List price
$99,900
Delta
-59.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
185 Caroline St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,334 (-4%) 1mo $242,005 $181 81
24 Goebel Pl 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,430 (+3%) 3mo $248,000 $173 76
262 Linden St 0.27mi 4/1.0 1,532 (+10%) 5mo $175,000 $114 65
755 Goodman St S 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,220 (-12%) 1mo $153,500 $126 59
61 Allmeroth St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,289 (-7%) 3mo $244,000 $189 59
38 Hamilton St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,290 (-7%) 6mo $210,000 $163 58
521 Benton St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (+4%) 1mo $250,000 $174 57
461 Benton St 0.57mi 4/1.5 1,500 (+8%) 1mo $270,000 $180 57
24 Bloomfield Pl 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,241 (-10%) 1mo $215,000 $173 54
383 Benton St 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,257 (-9%) 5mo $255,000 $203 51
890 South Goodman St 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,586 (+14%) 4mo $215,000 $136 50
56 Alpine St 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,232 (-11%) 6mo $375,000 $304 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$38,201
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$93,782
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14620

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,019 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,439/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$910

Break-even live

Break-even rent $868
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
416 Gregory St Unit Down Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1374 $1,995 $1.45 23d 1 0.17mi
256 Gregory St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 43d 1 0.19mi
355 Caroline St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1143 $1,650 $1.44 21d 1 0.30mi
271 Pearl St Unit 273 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,795 $1.50 3d 1 0.34mi
507 Meigs St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,650 $1.05 43d 1 0.36mi
106 Gregory St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1680 $1,995 $1.19 23d 1 0.39mi
261 Henrietta St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 10d 1 0.68mi
948 Monroe Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 10d 1 0.93mi
948 Monroe Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 2d 1 0.93mi
188 Laney Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1604 $2,350 $1.47 2d 1 1.03mi
1600 Elmwood Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 824 $2,089 $2.54 18d 1 1.10mi
260 E Main St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 1144 $2,999 $2.62 3d 14 1.17mi
95 Elmwood Ter Rochester, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1107 $2,255 $2.04 2d 19 1.20mi
59 Gold St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1264 $2,000 $1.58 43d 1 1.23mi
193 Reynolds St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1342 $1,800 $1.34 21d 1 1.26mi
249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,300 $0.81 14d 1 1.28mi
839 Elmwood Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,600 $1.73 23d 1 1.34mi
733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,850 $1.32 43d 1 1.36mi
36 Morningside Park Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1446 $2,400 $1.66 3d 1 1.36mi
478 Tremont St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1424 $1,500 $1.05 43d 1 1.42mi
214 Culver Rd Apt 2 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1700 $2,400 $1.41 14d 1 1.47mi
192 Bartlett St Unit 192 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1099 $1,295 $1.18 14d 1 1.49mi
367 Hawley St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1210 $1,395 $1.15 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 1240-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $99,900 Active 1240-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,439 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,563 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$125/yr (+$10/mo · 8.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,233
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,439
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,939
− Management
−$1,939
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$9,915
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,380
After-tax cash flow
$8,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,769
Household income
$61,783
Rent vs Own
70.8% rent · 29.2% own
Severe rent burden
2013.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 12% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.77%
Current HPI
337.6917
Rent YoY
▲ 1.20%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,439 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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