4005 Kents Pl · Jonesboro, AR 72404

$165,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Est $217k · 24% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.2/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +9.5/10.0
• 1% rule +6.7/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Four bedroom, three bath home with fresh paint and new flooring. Great Investment opportunity!

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Living room fireplace; Carpet and vinyl flooring

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Nettleton Steam School (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #305 of 454 statewide, top 71%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Nettleton Junior High School (math 21% / reading 31%, grade F, #159 of 201 statewide, top 80%, 546 students, 100% FRL); Nettleton High School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #248 of 292 statewide, top 86%, 981 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 56% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $72k; list at $165k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.74%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.30%
• DSCR: 1.55
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $217,464
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1506 Golf Crse	0.70mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,156 (+1%)	7mo	$169,000	$78	55
4410 Harrisburg Rd	0.65mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,208 (+4%)	23mo	$336,000	$152	39
1406 Golf Course Dr	0.74mi	4/2.5	2,315 (+9%)	14mo	$236,340	$102	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.98×
• Total profit: $-902
• Equity at exit: $24,602

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.46×
• Total profit: $21,093
• Equity at exit: $14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72404

• Home prices YoY: -14.5%
• Rents YoY: 0.7%
• Active inventory: 309
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,933 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax from tax record: −$119 /mo · $1,432/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$406
• Net cashflow: $473

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,333

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3717 Glitterman Dr Jonesboro, AR	4.0	2.0	1544	$1,595	$1.03	44d	1	1.08mi
4619 Jeri Cv Jonesboro, AR	3.0	2.0	1412	$1,495	$1.06	44d	1	1.13mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-19
   status $165,000 Under Contract 1 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   remarks 94-char remark
3. 2026-06-17
   statuslisting id $165,000 New Listing 1 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   remarks 72-char remark
5. 2026-06-17
   listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,432 · $119/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,432 · $119/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,192
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$1,432
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,855
• − Management: −$1,855
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable income: $3,182
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$764
• After-tax cash flow: $4,918/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Nettleton School District
• NCES district ID: 0510440
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $39,754
• Composite: 19.0/100
• National rank: #8846
• State rank: #199 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #145
• US rank: #12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jonesboro, AR
• County: Craighead County · 97,185 people
• City population: 91,245
• Metro: Jonesboro, AR
• Population (ZIP): 29,968
• Household income: $70,269
• Rent vs Own: 36.3% rent · 63.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 869.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 122,235 people
• By 2030: 131,338 · +7.4%
• By 2040: 149,862 · +22.6%
• By 2050: 168,034 · +37.5%
• By 2075: 208,094 · +70.2%
• By 2100: 233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -35.22%
• Current HPI: 208.3772
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.74%
• Metro: Jonesboro, AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+129.2% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $165,000 NEABOR MLS
• 2003-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,432 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.