CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
503 Southampton St
C- Composite 51.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

503 Southampton St · Emporia, VA 23847
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1940 0.48 ac lot Est $214k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level is first floor; Resale condition
  • Construction: Brick, drywall and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Built as actual year (year built details recorded)
  • Exterior features: Paved driveway; Driveway, off-street and paved parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on the first floor (including Bedroom 2 and Bedroom 3)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Partially carpeted
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; At least one full bath with tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Oil heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Laminate and partially carpeted floors; Crawl space
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($742/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (16.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.4% in Emporia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#370 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Emporia city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Emporia County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,359 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.57%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,272
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
300 Lee St 0.29mi 4/2.5 2,316 (+0%) 18mo $215,000 $93 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-23,499
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-15,606
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23847

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,084/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,325
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $110 +0% $62 +5% $14 +10% $-34
Rent -10% $-49 -5% $6 +0% $62 +5% $117 +10% $173
Rate -1.0pp $147 -0.5pp $105 base $62 +0.5pp $18 +1.0pp $-26

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $169,000 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $169,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,084 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,386 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$302/yr (+$25/mo · 27.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,843
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$1,084
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,347
− Management
−$1,347
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable loss
−$2,164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$519
After-tax cash flow
$1,261/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Emporia

Score
64/100
State rank
#370
US rank
#14846

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Emporia, VA
Population (ZIP)
13,346

Population outlook (Emporia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,078 people
By 2030
4,892 · -3.7%
By 2040
4,580 · -9.8%
By 2050
4,335 · -14.6%
By 2075
3,899 · -23.2%
By 2100
3,646 · -28.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Emporia

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.0) · D 65.2% · R 34.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 31.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.0 2020: D+36.0 2016: D+31.2 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.80%
Current HPI
165.052
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $169,000 CVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,084 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…