4735 E Lucerne Lakes Blvd E #413 · Greenacres, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom penthouse condo offers maintenance-free, resort-style living in the highly sought-after 55+ community of Lucerne Lakes in Lake Worth. With over 1,300 sq ft, an eat-in kitchen, in-unit laundry, and a private screened balcony offering serene lake views, this top-floor unit provides the perfect blend of comfort and tranquility for your active Florida retirement. Beyond the front door, you'll gain access to an incredible array of amenities, highlighted by the community's three sparkling swimming pools, a full-featured clubhouse with a fitness center, Tennis, pickup ball and active social calendar. Perfectly situated near dining, shopping, major highways, and
Key facts
- $538 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee; Community amenities include fitness center, pool, and tennis courts; Association fee covers cable TV, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water, common areas, and elevator; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned covered parking; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; 3-story building; North-facing
- Construction: Block and concrete construction
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Open porch; No waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Closet cabinetry; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 665 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $169k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.83%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-21,394
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-26,688
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33467
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 665
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,184 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $479/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$538
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $190
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $286 | -5% $238 | +0% $190 | +5% $143 | +10% $95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $18 | -5% $104 | +0% $190 | +5% $277 | +10% $363 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $233 | base $190 | +0.5pp $147 | +1.0pp $102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4735 Lucerne Lakes Blvd E #410 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 4725 Lucerne Lakes Blvd E Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,950 | $1.47 | 21d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 4725 Lucerne Lakes Blvd E Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,950 | $1.47 | 8d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 4735 Lucerne Lakes Blvd W Unit 410 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 7593 Tahiti Ln #205 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,800 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4640 Lucerne Lakes Blvd W #605 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4698 Lucerne Lakes Blvd E Unit 46 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4698 Lucerne Lakes Blvd E #103 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,100 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4760 Lucerne Lakes Blvd W #405 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,490 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4640 Lucerne Lakes Blvd W Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 960 | $1,525 | $1.59 | 5d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 4489 Luxemburg Ct #101 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4483 Luxemburg Ct #201 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $2,800 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4471 Luxemburg Ct #101 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,300 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4471 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,150 | $2.14 | 25d | 2 | 0.40mi |
| 4539 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,250 | $2.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4539 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4469 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1502 | $3,400 | $2.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4557 Luxemburg Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $2,400 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4575 Lucerne Lakes Blvd W #104 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 8d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4575 Lucerne Lakes Blvd W #104 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,240 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 43 W Plumosa Ln Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1527 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4770 Fountains Dr S #303 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4702 Fountains Dr S #207 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1434 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4702 Fountains Dr S #207 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1434 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4657 Fountains Dr S #206 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,650 | $1.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5172 Fountains Dr S Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $2,400 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4801 Esedra Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $2,075 | $2.02 | 12d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 4801 Esedra Ct #201 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,300 | $2.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5592 1st Rd Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1693 | $3,500 | $2.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6909 Harbours Edge Ave Unit 6909 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1695 | $3,000 | $1.77 | 8d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 6909 Harbours Edge Ave Unit 6909 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1695 | $3,000 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4345 Trevi Ct #204 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4832 Esedra Ct #203 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4832 Esedra Ct Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1026 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 4d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 4266 Deste Ct #107 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $2,100 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4329 Pond Lily Ln Unit 4329 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1690 | $2,950 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4360 Fountains Dr Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,750 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4373 Trevi Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,500 | $2.31 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4125 Pine Branch Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,800 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5586 3rd Rd Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $3,250 | $2.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $538 · $6,456/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $180,000
-
2026-02-03price $195,000
-
2025-12-15$205,000 Active
-
2025-12-02historical $205,000
-
1996-07-02soldstatus $72,400
-
1993-03-30soldstatus $77,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $479 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,403 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$924/yr (+$77/mo · 192.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$479
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,096
- − Management
- −$2,096
- − HOA
- −$6,456
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$152
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,322/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Greenacres
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #9008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 65,478
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,411
- Household income
- $95,739
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -288.94%
- Current HPI
- 343.7738
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+133.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $180,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $195,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $205,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-02 Coming Soon $205,000 Beaches MLS
- 1996-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,400 Public Records
- 1993-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $479 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…