16723 Loartown Rd SW · Vale Summit, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nearly a Full Acre located just outside Frostburg city limits. This pretty lot would be a beautiful spot for building a new home! The existing dwelling requires renovation for modern living. Property has a well and septic, There is a second structure (formerly a store) and a storage shed. Survey is on file. Property sold AS-IS to settle estate. Bring any and all offers!
Key facts
- Well and septic
- Second structure
- Shed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: On-site septic system; Private well water; No municipal trash service
- Home design: Detached home; Above-grade finished living area reported
- Construction: Frame construction; Other foundation; Built year reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Detached structure; Shed and additional outbuilding; Tidal water not present; Additional parcels noted (see survey)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil-fired heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#239 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mountain Ridge High School (math 32% / reading 72%, grade D+, #100 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 736 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Allegany County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.28%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,048
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16723 Loartown Rd SW | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (0%) | 1mo | $22,500 | $23 | 99 |
| 12014 Hickory Ridge Ln SW | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+2%) | 2mo | $123,000 | $122 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $20,494
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.42×
- Total profit
- $56,534
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21532
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $488/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $489 | +0% $472 | +5% $455 | +10% $439 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $387 | -5% $430 | +0% $472 | +5% $514 | +10% $557 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $502 | -0.5pp $487 | base $472 | +0.5pp $457 | +1.0pp $441 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-02-17price $59,000
-
2025-12-03price $70,000
-
2025-10-17$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $488 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $566 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$6/mo · 15.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$488
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,029
- − Management
- −$1,029
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $4,998
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,199
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Vale Summit
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #239
- US rank
- #11933
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,123
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.31%
- Current HPI
- 244.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-34.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $59,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-17 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $488 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…