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16723 Loartown Rd SW
B- Composite 67.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

16723 Loartown Rd SW · Vale Summit, MD 21532
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 175 Days on market
Built 1900 0.94 ac lot ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nearly a Full Acre located just outside Frostburg city limits. This pretty lot would be a beautiful spot for building a new home! The existing dwelling requires renovation for modern living. Property has a well and septic, There is a second structure (formerly a store) and a storage shed. Survey is on file. Property sold AS-IS to settle estate. Bring any and all offers!

Key facts

  • Well and septic
  • Second structure
  • Shed

Tags

ACRE LOTEXISTING DWELLINGWELL AND SEPTICSECOND STRUCTURESHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: On-site septic system; Private well water; No municipal trash service
  • Home design: Detached home; Above-grade finished living area reported
  • Construction: Frame construction; Other foundation; Built year reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: Detached structure; Shed and additional outbuilding; Tidal water not present; Additional parcels noted (see survey)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil-fired heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#239 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mountain Ridge High School (math 32% / reading 72%, grade D+, #100 of 222 statewide, top 47%, 736 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Allegany County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
15.89%
Cash-on-cash
34.28%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,048
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16723 Loartown Rd SW 0.00mi 2/1.0 984 (0%) 1mo $22,500 $23 99
12014 Hickory Ridge Ln SW 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (+2%) 2mo $123,000 $122 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$20,494
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$56,534
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21532

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $488/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $474
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $505 -5% $489 +0% $472 +5% $455 +10% $439
Rent -10% $387 -5% $430 +0% $472 +5% $514 +10% $557
Rate -1.0pp $502 -0.5pp $487 base $472 +0.5pp $457 +1.0pp $441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-17
    price $59,000
  3. 2025-12-03
    price $70,000
  4. 2025-10-17
    listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$488 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$566 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$78/yr (+$6/mo · 15.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,860
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$488
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,029
− Management
−$1,029
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,998
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,199
After-tax cash flow
$4,464/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Vale Summit

Score
66/100
State rank
#239
US rank
#11933

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,123

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.31%
Current HPI
244.5937
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $59,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $488 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…