53186 S 36640 Rd · Terlton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special with land and potential! Sitting on 5 acres, this 4-bedroom, 3-bath, 2-story home offers a rare opportunity to create your dream property. Originally started in 1998 and not completely finished, the home is ready for someone to bring it back to life and finish it to their style. The land is a standout feature, with a large portion already cleared and a peaceful pond that adds to the property’s charm. Utilities are already in place with water and electric available, making your project that much easier. With space, privacy, and endless possibilities, this property is perfect for someone looking to build equity and make something truly their own. Don’t miss the ch
Key facts
- Utilities in place
- 5 acres
- Peaceful pond
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Rural water source; Sewer not available
- Home design: Two-story home; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Property includes mature trees; Farm/ranch-style lot; Horses allowed; Views or proximity to Keystone Lake (within 10 miles)
Interior
- Kitchen: Country-style kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath and walk-in closet (Second level); Additional bedroom (First level); Two additional bedrooms (Second level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one is a master bath, both with bathtubs); One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Vinyl windows; Accessible doors
- Laundry & utility: Utility room located inside (First level); No hot water (appliance noted)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#471 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Cleveland (town): math 21% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #169 of 270 in OK (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Pawnee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pawnee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.34%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $41,810
- Equity at exit
- $51,709
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.41×
- Total profit
- $109,743
- Equity at exit
- $79,690
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74081
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,561 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $518 | -5% $478 | +0% $439 | +5% $399 | +10% $359 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $377 | +0% $439 | +5% $500 | +10% $562 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $496 | -0.5pp $468 | base $439 | +0.5pp $409 | +1.0pp $378 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-02$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,499
- − Management
- −$1,499
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $3,649
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$876
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive renovations, including exterior siding, interior drywall, flooring, HVAC, and landscaping, to bring it up to a fair condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Exposed framing and unfinished siding.
- Major Interior drywall — Exposed drywall and unfinished interior.
- Major Flooring — Exposed concrete floors in the interior.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible HVAC or mechanical systems in the interior photos.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint and finish interior drywall — Painting and finishing the interior drywall would improve the appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Install flooring — Installing flooring would improve the appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Install HVAC and mechanical systems — Installing HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the functionality and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal would improve the overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Exposed framing and unfinished siding. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior drywall · Exposed drywall and unfinished interior. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Exposed concrete floors in the interior. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible HVAC or mechanical systems in the interior photos. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint and finish interior drywall — Painting and finishing the interior drywall would improve the appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Install flooring — Installing flooring would improve the appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Install HVAC and mechanical systems — Installing HVAC and mechanical systems would improve the functionality and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Landscaping and curb appeal would improve the overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland
- NCES district ID
- 4008040
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,642
- Composite
- 17.52/100
- National rank
- #9049
- State rank
- #169 of 270 in OK
Livability — Terlton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #21898
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,008
Population outlook (Pawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,219 people
- By 2030
- 16,028 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 15,724 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 15,563 · -4.0%
- By 2075
- 15,905 · -1.9%
- By 2100
- 16,058 · -1.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Native American 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Scottish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pawnee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 19.7% · R 78.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+53.2 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+37.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…