CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
11163 Hwy 22 🌊 Lakefront
C Composite 57.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

11163 Hwy 22 · French Settlement, LA 70774
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,821 sqft · SingleFamily · 72 Days on market
Built 1990 1.36 ac lot $96/sqft · 40% below area Est $290k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Set on 1.36 acres in St. Amant, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers 1,821 living square feet, a 2-car carport, and a layout with generous living, dining, and kitchen space. The property features no carpet, a large laundry room, a spacious kitchen with island, a fireplace, and a covered back patio overlooking the large yard with 310 feet running along Sevario Canal. The 25x23 detached shop adds flexible space for storage, hobbies, or projects. Updates include a new water well, windows, and new outside AC in 2016 and paid-off solar panels. The home does need TLC, and the price reflects that opportunity.

Key facts

  • New water well
  • Detached shop
  • Large laundry room

Tags

LARGE LAUNDRY ROOMSPACIOUS KITCHEN WITH ISLANDCOVERED BACK PATIODETACHED SHOPNEW WATER WELLPAID-OFF SOLAR PANELS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-241 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (24.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (5.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in French Settlement — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#293 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A-, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,420 (24.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.54%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$290,059
List price
$175,000
Delta
-39.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10437 Rogers B Rd 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,688 (-7%) 3mo $265,000 $157 54
10439 Rogers C Rd 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,023 (+11%) 13mo $350,000 $173 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.2%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-43,472
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-22.6%
Equity multiple
-0.16×
Total profit
$-56,657
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70774

Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
Insurance
$73
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$-241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,968
Max offer price $132,420
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-142 -5% $-192 +0% $-241 +5% $-291 +10% $-340
Rent -10% $-372 -5% $-307 +0% $-241 +5% $-175 +10% $-110
Rate -1.0pp $-153 -0.5pp $-197 base $-241 +0.5pp $-286 +1.0pp $-333

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $175,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $190,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 53 DOM
  17. 2026-04-07
    listed $200,000 Active 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Set on 1.36 acres in St. Amant, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers 1,821 living square feet, a 2-car carport, and a layout with generous living, dining, and kitchen space. The property features no carpet, a large laundry room, a spacious kitchen with island, a fireplace, and a covered back patio overlooking the large yard with 310 feet running along Sevario Canal. The 25x23 detached shop adds flexible space for storage, hobbies, or projects. Updates include a new water well, windows, and new outside AC in 2016 and paid-off solar panels. The home does need TLC, and the price reflects that opportunity.

  18. 2026-04-07
    listed $200,000 Active 607-char remark
    Show marketing remark (607 chars)

    Set on 1.36 acres in St. Amant, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers 1,821 living square feet, a 2-car carport, and a layout with generous living, dining, and kitchen space. The property features no carpet, a large laundry room, a spacious kitchen with island, a fireplace, and a covered back patio overlooking the large yard with 310 feet running along Sevario Canal. The 25x23 detached shop adds flexible space for storage, hobbies, or projects. Updates include a new water well, windows, and new outside AC in 2016 and paid-off solar panels. The home does need TLC, and the price reflects that opportunity.

  19. 2007-12-04
    soldstatus $178,000
  20. 2007-12-03
    soldstatus
  21. 2007-07-25
    listed $189,900
  22. 2007-07-25
    listed $189,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,654 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,654 · $138/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,959
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,654
− Insurance
−$5,994
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,597
− Management
−$1,597
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$5,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,386
After-tax cash flow
$-1,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ascension Parish
NCES district ID
2200090
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$68,423
Composite
47.0/100
National rank
#2347
State rank
#7 of 98 in LA

Livability — French Settlement

Score
58/100
State rank
#293
US rank
#20743

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,093

Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,480 people
By 2030
158,329 · +8.8%
By 2040
183,741 · +26.3%
By 2050
207,615 · +42.7%
By 2075
260,244 · +78.9%
By 2100
289,576 · +99.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 29%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ascension

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.84%
Current HPI
141.5009
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $200,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2007-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
  • 2007-12-03 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2007-07-25 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2007-07-25 Listed $189,900 GBRMLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,654 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…