🌊 Lakefront
11163 Hwy 22 · French Settlement, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Set on 1.36 acres in St. Amant, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers 1,821 living square feet, a 2-car carport, and a layout with generous living, dining, and kitchen space. The property features no carpet, a large laundry room, a spacious kitchen with island, a fireplace, and a covered back patio overlooking the large yard with 310 feet running along Sevario Canal. The 25x23 detached shop adds flexible space for storage, hobbies, or projects. Updates include a new water well, windows, and new outside AC in 2016 and paid-off solar panels. The home does need TLC, and the price reflects that opportunity.
Key facts
- New water well
- Detached shop
- Large laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-241 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (24.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in French Settlement — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#293 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A-, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,059
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -39.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10437 Rogers B Rd | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,688 (-7%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $157 | 54 |
| 10439 Rogers C Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,023 (+11%) | 13mo | $350,000 | $173 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-43,472
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-56,657
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70774
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $-241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-142 | -5% $-192 | +0% $-241 | +5% $-291 | +10% $-340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-372 | -5% $-307 | +0% $-241 | +5% $-175 | +10% $-110 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-153 | -0.5pp $-197 | base $-241 | +0.5pp $-286 | +1.0pp $-333 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18price $175,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $190,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-07$200,000 Active 609-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Set on 1.36 acres in St. Amant, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers 1,821 living square feet, a 2-car carport, and a layout with generous living, dining, and kitchen space. The property features no carpet, a large laundry room, a spacious kitchen with island, a fireplace, and a covered back patio overlooking the large yard with 310 feet running along Sevario Canal. The 25x23 detached shop adds flexible space for storage, hobbies, or projects. Updates include a new water well, windows, and new outside AC in 2016 and paid-off solar panels. The home does need TLC, and the price reflects that opportunity.
-
2026-04-07$200,000 Active 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Set on 1.36 acres in St. Amant, this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers 1,821 living square feet, a 2-car carport, and a layout with generous living, dining, and kitchen space. The property features no carpet, a large laundry room, a spacious kitchen with island, a fireplace, and a covered back patio overlooking the large yard with 310 feet running along Sevario Canal. The 25x23 detached shop adds flexible space for storage, hobbies, or projects. Updates include a new water well, windows, and new outside AC in 2016 and paid-off solar panels. The home does need TLC, and the price reflects that opportunity.
-
2007-12-04soldstatus $178,000
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2007-12-03soldstatus
-
2007-07-25$189,900
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2007-07-25$189,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,959
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,654
- − Insurance
- −$5,994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,597
- − Management
- −$1,597
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$5,775
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,386
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — French Settlement
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #20743
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,093
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 29%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.84%
- Current HPI
- 141.5009
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+5.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $200,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $200,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $178,000 Public Records
- 2007-12-03 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2007-07-25 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-07-25 Listed $189,900 GBRMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,654 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…