🏗️ New Construction
Encino Plan · McAllen, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$257,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Encino floor plan provides generous space all within a single level, offering 1740 sq. ft. of modern, open concept living. This thoughtfully crafted floor plan includes 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a study, 2-car garage and several upgrades! The inviting entry hall leads you past 2 bedrooms, a bathroom, a study, a utility room that seamlessly flows into an open-concept kitchen, dining, and family room . The kitchen is truly the heart of the home boasting a kitchen island and walk-in pantry. The primary suite is a luxurious space for relaxation and privacy located off the main living area. It features dual vanity sinks, a large walk-in closet, and a spacious bathroom. There are optional upgrades available to make this your dream home. The upgrade options include converting the study into a 4th bedroom with an added 3rd bathroom or add convenience with a powder room for guests. Upgrade the kitchen appliances, add storage in the garage and extend outdoor living with a covered patio for enjoying Texas evenings. Whether you're hosting family dinners or unwinding in your private study, the Encino offers a home where cherished memories are made, and life's moments are celebrated.
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Spacious bathroom
- Kitchen island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $258k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($983/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in McAllen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: R C Flores-Mark A Zapata El (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,709 of 4,322 statewide, top 40%, 521 students, 80% FRL); Elias Longoria Sr Middle (math 16% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 804 students, 82% FRL); Edinburg North H S (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 2,672 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 62% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 1064 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 521 days — a 12% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 521 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.31%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $268,291
- List price
- $257,990
- Delta
- -3.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15617 N Brisas St | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,784 (+2%) | 3mo | $301,990 | $169 | 81 |
| 2923 Blossom St | 0.22mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,667 (-4%) | 1mo | $282,990 | $170 | 73 |
| 15604 N Brisas St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (-17%) | 7mo | $263,990 | $184 | 60 |
| 15512 N Brisas St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,417 (-19%) | 7mo | $269,990 | $191 | 60 |
| 15428 N Brisas St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (-18%) | 8mo | $272,990 | $193 | 58 |
| 3204 Trailblazer Ave | 1.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,722 (-1%) | 8mo | $279,000 | $162 | 57 |
| 1612 Lavender St | 0.94mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-8%) | 16mo | $179,900 | $113 | 38 |
| 1612 Crimson St | 0.93mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (-19%) | 5mo | $168,900 | $119 | 36 |
| 16311 Citrus Dr | 1.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-20%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $218 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-39,276
- Equity at exit
- $40,003
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-31,626
- Equity at exit
- $23,197
Cash invested: $75,121 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 15 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 30.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $268,990 ($168/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 124 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -8.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78504
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 1064
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,451 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,407
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$335 /mo · $4,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $267 | -5% $175 | +0% $82 | +5% $-11 | +10% $-103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-112 | -5% $-15 | +0% $82 | +5% $179 | +10% $276 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $217 | -0.5pp $150 | base $82 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-58 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,073
- Closing costs
- $8,049
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13921 N 36th St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2084 | $2,450 | $1.18 | 93d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4400 Caddo Ln McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2069 | $3,000 | $1.45 | 93d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 13904 N 39th St Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2020 | $2,500 | $1.24 | 93d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $257,990 Active 521 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $257,990 Active 519 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $257,990 Active 518 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $257,990 Active 517 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $257,990 Active 516 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $257,990 Active 513 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $257,990 Active 511 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $257,990 Active 509 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $257,990 Active 507 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $257,990 Active 506 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $257,990 Active 505 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $257,990 Active 504 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $257,990 Active 503 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $257,990 Active 500 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $257,990 Active 498 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $257,990 Active 497 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $257,990 Active 496 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $257,990 Active 495 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $257,990 Active 494 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $257,990 Active 493 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $257,990 Active 492 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $257,990 Active 491 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $257,990 Active 489 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $257,990 Active 488 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $257,990 Active 487 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $257,990 Active 486 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $257,990 Active 485 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $257,990 Active 484 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $257,990 Active 483 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $257,990 Active 482 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $257,990 Active 481 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $257,990 Active 480 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $257,990 Active 479 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $257,990 Active 478 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $257,990 Active 474 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $257,990 Active 473 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $257,990 Active 470 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $257,990 Active 469 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $257,990 Active 468 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $257,990 Active 467 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $257,990 Active 465 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $257,990 Active 464 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $257,990 Active 462 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $257,990 Active 460 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $257,990 Active 459 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $257,990 Active 455 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $257,990 Active 454 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $257,990 Active 453 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $257,990 Active 452 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $257,990 Active 451 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,408
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,028
- − Property taxes
- −$4,024
- − Insurance
- −$1,341
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,353
- − Management
- −$2,353
- − Depreciation
- −$7,805
- Taxable loss
- −$3,496
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$839
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home in Encino, McAllen, TX, is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a spacious and open floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, making it ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — McAllen
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #3771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McAllen, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 955,232 people
- City population
- 144,650
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,094
- Household income
- $81,905
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 39% White 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 62% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.87%
- Current HPI
- 194.1764
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.57%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $257,990 Zillow
- 2025-03-06 Listed $256,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…