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325 S Midler Ave
D- Composite 39.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,500

325 S Midler Ave · Syracuse, NY 13206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,516 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1905 5,280 sqft lot Est $205k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Conveniently located, this Eastwood home welcomes you with a large 3 season porch, a living room featuring hardwood floors and a wood burning fireplace, formal dining room and kitchen. Upstairs you'll find 4 generous sized bedrooms and 1 1/2 updated bathrooms.

Key facts

  • Private driveway
  • Cozy fireplace
  • Expansive back deck

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHCOZY FIREPLACELARGE PRIVATE BACKYARDEXPANSIVE BACK DECKPRIVATE DRIVEWAYNEARBY SUNNYCREST PARK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing (previously built) construction
  • Construction: Block foundation; Block and concrete construction with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Enclosed porch; Open porch; Private yard; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Range hood; Exhaust fan; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Attic; Living/dining room; Sliding glass doors; Walk-in pantry; Sunroom / Florida room / Bonus room; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $226k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Syracuse Latin School (math 31% / reading 62%, grade D-, #1,262 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 642 students, 42% FRL); Expeditionary Learning Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 170 students, 76% FRL); Henninger High School (math 65% / reading 50%, grade C, #885 of 1,100 statewide, top 81%, 1,499 students, 85% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Syracuse City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $226k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $189,998 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.31%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,660
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 Hillsdale Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,540 (+2%) 7mo $195,000 $127 74
141 Milford Dr E 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,484 (-2%) 8mo $265,000 $179 63
124 Winthrop Rd 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,320 (-13%) 4mo $240,000 $182 60
135 Plymouth Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,671 (+10%) 4mo $188,000 $113 58
136 S Collingwood Ave 0.34mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,344 (-11%) 3mo $60,236 $45 58
218 North Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,555 (+3%) 8mo $210,000 $135 56
138 Hickok Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,576 (+4%) 8mo $179,900 $114 56
337 Lillian Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,436 (-5%) 3mo $100,000 $70 56
206 Lillian Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,448 (-4%) 6mo $176,800 $122 54
362 Hickok Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,320 (-13%) 3mo $199,900 $151 53
158 Norwood Ave 0.55mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,292 (-15%) 3mo $200,000 $155 42
241 N Edwards Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-14%) 6mo $175,000 $135 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-23,287
Equity at exit
$33,623
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$13,728
Equity at exit
$19,497

Cash invested: $63,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13206

Home prices YoY
-7.1%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,900 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,183
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,237/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,746
Max offer price $225,500
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $249 -5% $185 +0% $121 +5% $58 +10% $-6
Rent -10% $-29 -5% $46 +0% $121 +5% $196 +10% $271
Rate -1.0pp $235 -0.5pp $179 base $121 +0.5pp $63 +1.0pp $4

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,375
Closing costs
$6,765
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
202 Stafford Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1692 $1,800 $1.06 15d 1 0.49mi
112 Gale Ave Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1848 $1,400 $0.76 45d 1 0.69mi
204 Mariposa St Unit pvt house Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1128 $2,137 $1.89 15d 1 0.77mi
297 Norwood Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1188 $2,050 $1.73 23d 1 0.78mi
1801 James St #2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1244 $1,800 $1.45 15d 1 0.92mi
417 Hazelhurst Ave Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1536 $1,250 $0.81 23d 1 1.06mi
1618 James St #3 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1150 $2,200 $1.91 15d 1 1.06mi
118 Niven St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,650 $1.43 23d 1 1.10mi
423 Wendell Ter Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 15d 1 1.41mi
99 Alpine Dr Unit 107-2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 45d 1 1.42mi
121 Doll Pkwy Unit A Syracuse, NY 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,800 $2.00 15d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,500 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $225,500 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $237,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $237,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $237,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $237,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $237,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $237,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $237,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $237,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $237,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    remarks 677-char remark
  14. 2026-06-05
    listed $237,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,237 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,524 · $210/mo
Expected delta
+$1,287/yr (+$107/mo · 104.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,800
− Mortgage interest
−$12,632
− Property taxes
−$1,237
− Insurance
−$1,128
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,824
− Management
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$6,560
Taxable loss
−$2,404
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$577
After-tax cash flow
$2,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,245
Household income
$63,136
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
725.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.60%
Current HPI
322.231
Rent YoY
▲ 5.85%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+523.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $237,000 CNYIS
  • 2021-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-17 Sold (MLS) $130,000 CNYIS
  • 2021-04-02 Pending CNYIS
  • 2021-03-23 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2021-03-16 Listed $130,000 CNYIS
  • 2019-05-29 Sold (MLS) $38,250 CNYIS
  • 2019-05-15 Pending CNYIS
  • 2019-05-02 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2019-04-25 Listed $38,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,237 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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