9018 Gulf Shore Ter · Parrish, FL 34219

$288,490

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,555 sqft · SingleFamily · 107 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition 2-car garage $186/sqft · 16% below area Est $343k · 16% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.8/30.0
• ARV discount +14.6/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.1/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This single-story home optimizes space and prioritizes ease of living. An open concept design includes the family room and dining room as well as the kitchen with a center island to promote seamless transitions between activities. An attached patio provides outdoor space. Nearby is the cozy owner's suite with a private bathroom and spacious walk-in closet, while two bedrooms are located down the hall.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Open concept design
• Private bathroom

Tags

• OPEN CONCEPT DESIGN
• ATTACHED PATIO
• PRIVATE BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $288k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($967/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (9.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $263k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.7% in Parrish — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Virgil Mills Elementary School (math 69% / reading 65%, grade B+, #450 of 2,144 statewide, top 22%, 818 students, 43% FRL); Buffalo Creek Middle School (math 59% / reading 51%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 1,127 students, 44% FRL); Palmetto High School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #456 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,100 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 3218 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $262,525 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.91% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.20%
• DSCR: 1.05
• GRM: 9.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $342,682
• List price: $288,490
• Delta: -15.81%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8820 Clear View St	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,504 (-3%)	2mo	$305,000	$203	87
8804 Clear View St	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,504 (-3%)	4mo	$292,000	$194	86
8829 Clear View St	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,504 (-3%)	2mo	$299,000	$199	86
8817 Clear View St	0.14mi	3/2.0	1,504 (-3%)	4mo	$303,646	$202	84
8828 Clear View St	0.13mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,665 (+7%)	2mo	$314,000	$189	75
8821 Clear View St	0.15mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,665 (+7%)	2mo	$316,000	$190	74
10008 Last Light Gln	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,519 (-2%)	4mo	$335,000	$221	60
8104 Sunny Point Trl	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,657 (+7%)	1mo	$349,990	$211	60
8116 Sunny Point Trl	0.69mi	3/2.0	1,657 (+7%)	2mo	$316,781	$191	55
8706 Ocean Tides Cv	0.63mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,475 (-5%)	3mo	$385,000	$261	55
8610 Backshore Ln	0.68mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,648 (+6%)	1mo	$385,000	$234	52
8317 Ocean Tides CV Way	0.69mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,648 (+6%)	4mo	$382,000	$232	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.39×
• Total profit: $-49,270
• Equity at exit: $43,015

10-year hold

• IRR: -17.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.18×
• Total profit: $-65,871
• Equity at exit: $24,943

Cash invested: $80,777 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 57 active · 26 under contract
• Months of supply: 12.2 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $344,400 ($198/sqft)
• Median days on market: 77 d
• This list price: lowest-priced of the active set
• ARV vs active asking: +11.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34219

• Home prices YoY: -23.7%
• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 3218
• Price-to-rent: 9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,626 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,513
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$361 /mo · $4,327/yr
• Insurance: −$120
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$551
• Net cashflow: $81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,524

Max offer price $288,490

Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $280	-5% $180	+0% $81	+5% $-19	+10% $-119
Rent	-10% $-127	-5% $-23	+0% $81	+5% $184	+10% $288
Rate	-1.0pp $226	-0.5pp $154	base $81	+0.5pp $6	+1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $72,122
• Closing costs: $8,655
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
9010 Gulf Shore Ter Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	1870	$2,495	$1.33	33d	1	0.02mi
8505 Bella Mar Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	1870	$2,750	$1.47	157d	1	0.12mi
8505 Bella Mar Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	1970	$2,480	$1.26	10d	1	0.12mi
8821 Clear View St Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	1665	$2,600	$1.56	10d	1	0.16mi
9343 Cannon Beach Dr Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1666	$2,095	$1.26	55d	1	0.23mi
9009 Moccasin Wallow Rd Parrish, FL	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1589	$2,307	$1.45	0d	16	0.24mi
9432 Bella Mar Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2045	$2,699	$1.32	157d	1	0.25mi
9305 Bonita Mar Dr Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1671	$2,295	$1.37	123d	1	0.28mi
9224 Bonita Mar Dr Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1799	$2,290	$1.27	164d	1	0.32mi
8712 Sunset Park Trl S Unit Na Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	1936	$2,750	$1.42	55d	1	0.33mi
8712 Sunset Park Trl Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	2100	$2,750	$1.31	36d	1	0.33mi
8607 Tropical Aire Ln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1666	$2,050	$1.23	55d	1	0.33mi
9207 Bonita Mar Dr Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1666	$2,225	$1.34	133d	1	0.35mi
9207 Bonita Mar Dr Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1666	$2,095	$1.26	52d	1	0.35mi
9207 Bonita Mar Dr Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1666	$2,050	$1.23	55d	1	0.35mi
8612 Tropical Aire Ln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1668	$2,200	$1.32	10d	1	0.36mi
9706 Last Light Gln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1932	$2,475	$1.28	55d	1	0.59mi
9262 Gulf Haven Dr Palmetto, FL	3.0	2.5	2043	$2,750	$1.35	155d	1	0.59mi
7566 Sea Oak Ct Palmetto, FL	3.0	2.5	1807	$2,500	$1.38	127d	1	0.68mi
7562 Sea Oak Ct Palmetto, FL	3.0	2.0	1433	$2,300	$1.61	127d	1	0.68mi
7555 Sea Oak Ct Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1433	$2,550	$1.78	47d	1	0.69mi
7555 Sea Oak Ct Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1433	$2,550	$1.78	1d	1	0.69mi
8807 Waxwing Way Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1750	$2,500	$1.43	1d	1	0.77mi
8807 Waxwing Way Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1750	$2,500	$1.43	55d	1	0.77mi
9962 Last Light Gln Parrish, FL	4.0	2.0	1740	$2,495	$1.43	144d	1	0.78mi
10013 Daybreak Gln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1501	$2,500	$1.67	110d	1	0.81mi
10120 Abrazo DR Palmetto, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1122	$2,758	$2.46	0d	24	0.92mi
10112 Daybreak Gln Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1400	$2,500	$1.79	43d	1	0.93mi
10225 Daybreak Gln Parrish, FL	4.0	3.0	1978	$2,600	$1.31	144d	1	0.96mi
7122 87th Ln E Palmetto, FL	4.0	2.0	1593	$2,750	$1.73	164d	1	1.01mi
10504 Spring Tide Way Palmetto, FL	2.0	2.0	1533	$2,500	$1.63	144d	1	1.02mi
10451 Ladybug Cv Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1365	$2,195	$1.61	10d	1	1.07mi
10450 Wet Marsh Cv Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	2107	$2,300	$1.09	35d	1	1.09mi
10450 Wet Marsh Cv Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	2112	$2,300	$1.09	43d	1	1.09mi
10416 High Noon Trl Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1412	$2,200	$1.56	110d	1	1.11mi
10455 Wet Marsh Cv Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1635	$2,650	$1.62	151d	1	1.12mi
10507 High Noon Trl Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1492	$2,499	$1.67	119d	1	1.12mi
10419 Ladybug Cv Parrish, FL	3.0	2.5	1826	$2,045	$1.12	0d	1	1.14mi
9552 Sandy Bluffs Cir Parrish, FL	3.0	2.0	1637	$2,350	$1.44	55d	1	1.20mi
9581 Sandy Bluffs Cir Parrish, FL	4.0	2.5	2112	$2,450	$1.16	119d	1	1.28mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $333,500

Exterior

• Parking: 2 total parking spaces2-car garage
• Home design: Single-family home, 1,555 living areaFacing direction not provided
• Construction: New construction (Spec)Plan name: Dover
• Exterior features: Living area 1555

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Spec new-construction home, Plan: Dover

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-10-03
   pricedays on market $288,490 Active 107 DOM
2. 2026-10-02
   days on market $298,490 Active 106 DOM
3. 2026-10-01
   days on market $298,490 Active 105 DOM
4. 2026-09-30
   days on market $298,490 Active 104 DOM
5. 2026-09-29
   price $298,490 Active 103 DOM
6. 2026-09-29
   days on market $293,490 Active 103 DOM
7. 2026-09-28
   days on market $293,490 Active 102 DOM
8. 2026-09-27
   days on market $293,490 Active 101 DOM
9. 2026-09-25
   days on market $293,490 Active 99 DOM
10. 2026-09-24
    days on market $293,490 Active 98 DOM
11. 2026-09-22
    pricedays on market $293,490 Active 96 DOM
12. 2026-09-21
    days on market $308,750 Active 95 DOM
13. 2026-09-20
    days on market $308,750 Active 94 DOM
14. 2026-09-19
    days on market $308,750 Active 93 DOM
15. 2026-09-18
    days on market $308,750 Active 92 DOM
16. 2026-09-17
    days on market $308,750 Active 91 DOM
17. 2026-09-16
    pricedays on market $308,750 Active 90 DOM
18. 2026-09-15
    days on market $307,250 Active 89 DOM
19. 2026-09-14
    days on market $307,250 Active 88 DOM
20. 2026-09-14
    price $307,250 Active 87 DOM
21. 2026-09-13
    days on market $306,750 Active 87 DOM
22. 2026-09-12
    days on market $306,750 Active 86 DOM
23. 2026-09-11
    days on market $306,750 Active 85 DOM
24. 2026-09-05
    days on market $306,750 Active 79 DOM
25. 2026-09-04
    days on market $306,750 Active 78 DOM
26. 2026-09-03
    days on market $306,750 Active 77 DOM
27. 2026-08-31
    pricedays on market $306,750 Active 74 DOM
28. 2026-08-30
    pricedays on market $306,250 Active 73 DOM
29. 2026-08-01
    price $307,750 Active 72 DOM
30. 2026-07-31
    pricedays on market $307,500 Active 72 DOM
31. 2026-07-30
    days on market $307,250 Active 70 DOM
32. 2026-07-28
    pricedays on market $307,250 Active 69 DOM
33. 2026-07-24
    days on market $306,250 Active 65 DOM
34. 2026-07-23
    price $306,250 Active 64 DOM
35. 2026-07-23
    days on market $305,500 Active 64 DOM
36. 2026-07-22
    price $305,500 Active 63 DOM
37. 2026-07-22
    days on market $305,250 Active 63 DOM
38. 2026-07-21
    days on market $305,250 Active 62 DOM
39. 2026-07-18
    days on market $305,250 Active 59 DOM
40. 2026-07-18
    pricedays on market $305,250 Active 58 DOM
41. 2026-07-16
    days on market $304,750 Active 57 DOM
42. 2026-07-15
    days on market $304,750 Active 56 DOM
43. 2026-07-13
    days on market $304,750 Active 54 DOM
44. 2026-07-13
    days on market $304,750 Active 53 DOM
45. 2026-07-11
    days on market $304,750 Active 52 DOM
46. 2026-07-10
    days on market $304,750 Active 51 DOM
47. 2026-07-09
    pricedays on market $304,750 Active 50 DOM
48. 2026-07-07
    days on market $324,750 Active 48 DOM
49. 2026-07-06
    price $324,750 Active 47 DOM
50. 2026-07-06
    days on market $324,500 Active 47 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,508
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,160
• − Property taxes: −$4,327
• − Insurance: −$1,442
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,521
• − Management: −$2,521
• − Depreciation: −$8,392
• Taxable loss: −$3,855
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$925
• After-tax cash flow: $1,892/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,775–$23,325 screening

This single-story home is in good condition with a modern design and well-maintained features. It is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates that could further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and home value. ↑
• Resale Replace carpet in living areas — New carpet improves comfort and adds to the home's aesthetic. ↑
• Rental Clean and maintain HVAC system — A well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and reduces maintenance costs for tenants. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 50/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Virgil Mills Elementary School B+ FL #450/2,144 Nat'l #4,366/41,679 Middle Buffalo Creek Middle School B- FL #180/571 Nat'l #2,482/14,009 High Palmetto High School F FL #456/667 Nat'l #11,621/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Parrish

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Manatee County · 447,342 people
• City population: 33,319
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,296
• Household income: $113,773
• Rent vs Own: 8.1% rent · 91.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 16% of renters

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Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.45%
• Current HPI: 271.7131
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $333,500

Exterior

• Parking: 2 total parking spaces2-car garage
• Home design: Single-family home, 1,555 living areaFacing direction not provided
• Construction: New construction (Spec)Plan name: Dover
• Exterior features: Living area 1555

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Spec new-construction home, Plan: Dover