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2906 Powhattan Pkwy
F Composite 20.52
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +5.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$194,900

2906 Powhattan Pkwy · Toledo, OH 43606
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,545 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1948 5,400 sqft lot Est $182k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MANY UPDATES, CHARMING ARCHITECTURAL FEATURES, UPDATED KITCHEN & BATHS, LARGE GARAGE W/WALK-UP ATTIC STORAGE. MOVE IN CONDITION.

Key facts

  • 5,400 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Neighborhood features include street lights and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Concrete driveway; On-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Internet available; 220-volt electric
  • Home design: Single-family residence, detached house; One-and-one-half level design with 2 stories total; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Public records list year built (see remarks for details)
  • Exterior features: Rear patio; Garden; Wood fencing; Street lights and sidewalks in the neighborhood

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Includes Gas Range, Microwave, Refrigerator, Dishwasher; Lower-level kitchenette
  • Bedrooms: Main-level bedrooms including Bedroom 2 (12 x 12); Upper-level bedrooms including Bedroom 3 (13 x 11) and Bedroom 4 (11 x 11); Lower-level Bedroom 5 (13 x 12); Upper-level loft (11 x 11)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cove ceilings; Storm door(s); 13 total rooms; Finished basement with bath stubbed and sump pump; Fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement (washer and dryer included); Basement utility/laundry room (11 x 12)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-446 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (40.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (44.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (44.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mckinley Stemm Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,584 statewide, top 98%, 279 students, 0% FRL); Start High School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #672 of 781 statewide, top 86%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $107,779 (44.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.55%
Cap rate
3.55%
Cash-on-cash
-9.81%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
15.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$182,310
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2719 Letchworth Pkwy 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,536 (-1%) 5mo $156,560 $102 78
3008 Sherbrooke Rd 0.10mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,449 (-6%) 3mo $172,000 $119 78
2711 Gunckel Blvd 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,385 (-10%) 2mo $210,000 $152 65
2668 Powhattan Pkwy 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,386 (-10%) 1mo $185,000 $133 65
2636 Powhattan Pkwy 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,734 (+12%) 4mo $186,500 $108 57
2180 Marlow Rd 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,500 (-3%) 3mo $160,500 $107 56
2731 Latonia Blvd 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,324 (-14%) 2mo $153,000 $116 54
1942 Wellesley Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,436 (-7%) 4mo $111,000 $77 54
2664 Sherbrooke Rd 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,313 (-15%) 4mo $203,000 $155 54
3429 Harley Rd 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,444 (-6%) 4mo $169,900 $118 52
1827 Jermain Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,375 (-11%) 1mo $95,000 $69 41
3619 Harley Rd 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,349 (-13%) 3mo $166,000 $123 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.6%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-60,772
Equity at exit
$29,060
10-year hold
IRR
-49.5%
Equity multiple
-0.70×
Total profit
$-92,652
Equity at exit
$16,851

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43606

Home prices YoY
-15.5%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
15.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,078 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,022
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,331/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$-446

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,642
Max offer price $116,099
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-336 -5% $-391 +0% $-446 +5% $-501 +10% $-556
Rent -10% $-531 -5% $-489 +0% $-446 +5% $-404 +10% $-361
Rate -1.0pp $-348 -0.5pp $-397 base $-446 +0.5pp $-497 +1.0pp $-548

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2734 Powhattan Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1144 $900 $0.79 45d 1 0.14mi
2632 Algonquin Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1568 $800 $0.51 25d 1 0.32mi
3430 Anderson Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,650 $1.20 25d 1 0.49mi
2356 Torrey Hill Dr Unit 11 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $800 $0.76 45d 1 0.75mi
1718 Giant St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,395 $1.29 16d 1 0.86mi
3716 Rushland Ave Unit NA Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1559 $1,650 $1.06 16d 1 0.86mi
3683 Upton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1119 $1,100 $0.98 45d 1 0.96mi
1573 Jermain Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,195 $0.95 16d 1 0.97mi
1731 Mansfield Rd Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1138 $1,195 $1.05 25d 1 1.01mi
2637 Greenway St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1082 $900 $0.83 45d 1 1.06mi
2037 Alvin St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,175 $0.93 45d 1 1.07mi
1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1678 $1,400 $0.83 25d 1 1.20mi
2117 Clinton St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,115 $0.89 45d 1 1.29mi
1489 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,250 $1.17 45d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $194,900 Pending 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,900 Contingent 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,900 Contingent 37 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,900 Contingent 36 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $194,900 Contingent 35 DOM
  6. 2026-04-30
    historical Contingent
  7. 2026-04-25
    listed $194,900 Active
  8. 2026-04-22
    historical $194,900
  9. 2025-10-14
    price $121,000 132-char remark
    Show marketing remark (132 chars)

    MANY UPDATES, CHARMING ARCHITECTURAL FEATURES, UPDATED KITCHEN & BATHS, LARGE GARAGE W/WALK-UP ATTIC STORAGE. MOVE IN CONDITION.

  10. 2025-10-13
    price $104,000 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    THIS HOUSE HAS IT ALL! COMPLETLY REMODELED WITH ALL NEW EVERYTHING! FURNACE 2005, NEW WINDOWS, STUNNING CUSTOM KITCHEN WITH CERAMIC TILE FLOOR & BACKSPLASH. UPDATED BATHROOM WITH GRANITE & CERAMIC TILE FLOOR AND SHOWER. FULLY FINISHED BASEMENT WITH TILE FLOOR & 2 ROOMS THAT COULD BE ADDITIONAL BEDROOMS PLUS UPDATED TILE BATH. 2-CAR GARAGE WITH FULL WALK-UP ATTIC. YOU WON'T BE DISAPPOINTED!

  11. 2025-10-13
    price $53,750
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    THIS HOUSE HAS IT ALL! COMPLETLY REMODELED WITH ALL NEW EVERYTHING! FURNACE 2005, NEW WINDOWS, STUNNING CUSTOM KITCHEN WITH CERAMIC TILE FLOOR & BACKSPLASH. UPDATED BATHROOM WITH GRANITE & CERAMIC TILE FLOOR AND SHOWER. FULLY FINISHED BASEMENT WITH TILE FLOOR & 2 ROOMS THAT COULD BE ADDITIONAL BEDROOMS PLUS UPDATED TILE BATH. 2-CAR GARAGE WITH FULL WALK-UP ATTIC. YOU WON'T BE DISAPPOINTED!

  12. 2022-02-02
    soldstatus $139,900
  13. 2022-01-28
    soldstatus $139,900 Closed
  14. 2021-12-13
    status Pending
  15. 2021-12-07
    price $139,900
  16. 2021-12-03
    price $142,900
  17. 2021-11-17
    status Active
  18. 2021-11-10
    status Pending
  19. 2021-11-09
    listed $144,500 Active
  20. 2021-11-08
    historical $144,500
  21. 2010-05-14
    soldstatus $104,000 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    THIS HOUSE HAS IT ALL! COMPLETLY REMODELED WITH ALL NEW EVERYTHING! FURNACE 2005, NEW WINDOWS, STUNNING CUSTOM KITCHEN WITH CERAMIC TILE FLOOR & BACKSPLASH. UPDATED BATHROOM WITH GRANITE & CERAMIC TILE FLOOR AND SHOWER. FULLY FINISHED BASEMENT WITH TILE FLOOR & 2 ROOMS THAT COULD BE ADDITIONAL BEDROOMS PLUS UPDATED TILE BATH. 2-CAR GARAGE WITH FULL WALK-UP ATTIC. YOU WON'T BE DISAPPOINTED!

  22. 2010-03-30
    listed $109,900 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    THIS HOUSE HAS IT ALL! COMPLETLY REMODELED WITH ALL NEW EVERYTHING! FURNACE 2005, NEW WINDOWS, STUNNING CUSTOM KITCHEN WITH CERAMIC TILE FLOOR & BACKSPLASH. UPDATED BATHROOM WITH GRANITE & CERAMIC TILE FLOOR AND SHOWER. FULLY FINISHED BASEMENT WITH TILE FLOOR & 2 ROOMS THAT COULD BE ADDITIONAL BEDROOMS PLUS UPDATED TILE BATH. 2-CAR GARAGE WITH FULL WALK-UP ATTIC. YOU WON'T BE DISAPPOINTED!

  23. 2010-02-02
    soldstatus $53,800
  24. 2010-01-26
    soldstatus $53,750
  25. 2010-01-06
    listed $59,900
  26. 2003-09-03
    soldstatus $121,000
  27. 2003-08-29
    soldstatus $121,000 132-char remark
    Show marketing remark (132 chars)

    MANY UPDATES, CHARMING ARCHITECTURAL FEATURES, UPDATED KITCHEN & BATHS, LARGE GARAGE W/WALK-UP ATTIC STORAGE. MOVE IN CONDITION.

  28. 2003-04-08
    listed $122,900 132-char remark
    Show marketing remark (132 chars)

    MANY UPDATES, CHARMING ARCHITECTURAL FEATURES, UPDATED KITCHEN & BATHS, LARGE GARAGE W/WALK-UP ATTIC STORAGE. MOVE IN CONDITION.

  29. 1988-09-21
    soldstatus $65,500
  30. 1986-04-29
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,331 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,686 · $224/mo
Expected delta
+$355/yr (+$30/mo · 15.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,933
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$2,331
− Insurance
−$974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,035
− Management
−$1,035
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable loss
−$9,029
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,167
After-tax cash flow
$-3,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,898
Household income
$66,917
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
843.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.19%
Current HPI
224.695
Rent YoY
▲ 2.29%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.4% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent NORIS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $194,900 NORIS
  • 2026-04-22 Coming Soon $194,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $121,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $104,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $53,750 NORIS
  • 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2022-01-28 Sold (MLS) $139,900 NORIS
  • 2021-12-13 Pending NORIS
  • 2021-12-07 Price Changed $139,900 NORIS
  • 2021-12-03 Price Changed $142,900 NORIS
  • 2021-11-17 Relisted NORIS
  • 2021-11-10 Pending NORIS
  • 2021-11-09 Listed $144,500 NORIS
  • 2021-11-08 Coming Soon $144,500 NORIS
  • 2010-05-14 Sold (MLS) $104,000 NORIS
  • 2010-03-30 Listed $109,900 NORIS
  • 2010-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $53,800 Public Records
  • 2010-01-26 Sold (MLS) $53,750 NORIS
  • 2010-01-06 Listed $59,900 NORIS
  • 2003-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
  • 2003-08-29 Sold (MLS) $121,000 NORIS
  • 2003-04-08 Listed $122,900 NORIS
  • 1988-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
  • 1986-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,331 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…