4741 Olivia Way · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.
Key facts
- 5,497 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2022
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached paved garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; 60 x 110 lot (approx. 0.1515 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave, Range, Refrigerator, Dishwasher not listed
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dryer, Washer, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-271/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $336k (1.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (26.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, crime F.
- Amherst Exempted Village (suburban): math 66% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #160 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Powers Elementary School (math 66% / reading 64%, grade B+, #516 of 1,584 statewide, top 33%, 1,123 students, 28% FRL); Amherst Junior High School (math 65% / reading 68%, grade A-, #172 of 654 statewide, top 27%, 867 students, 31% FRL); Marion L Steele High School (math 48% / reading 78%, grade B-, #199 of 781 statewide, top 25%, 1,039 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.29%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $340,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4741 Olivia Way | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 1,980 (0%) | 0mo | $339,900 | $172 | 100 |
| 4771 Olivia Way | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 | 1,900 (-4%) | 0mo | $327,000 | $172 | 91 |
| 4497 Bellow Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.5 | 1,920 (-3%) | 2mo | $344,000 | $179 | 88 |
| 4459 Bellow Dr | 0.06mi | 4/2.5 | 2,220 (+12%) | 1mo | $358,000 | $161 | 76 |
| 3713 Woodworth Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,152 (+9%) | 8mo | $310,000 | $144 | 64 |
| 3990 Abigail Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,920 (-3%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 4031 Primrose Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,748 (-12%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $157 | 55 |
| 4330 Weathervane Dr | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 | 2,132 (+8%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $197 | 50 |
| 3940 Murdock Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,752 (-12%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $183 | 49 |
| 4522 Lucinda Ct | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,786 (-10%) | 7mo | $349,000 | $195 | 42 |
| 1280 Meadowview Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,752 (-12%) | 5mo | $305,000 | $174 | 37 |
| 2601 W 37th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,694 (-14%) | 7mo | $208,000 | $123 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-56,689
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-51,910
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44053
- Home prices YoY
- -31.3%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,516 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$528
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $170 | -5% $74 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-119 | +10% $-215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-221 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-23 | +5% $77 | +10% $176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $149 | -0.5pp $64 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-111 | +1.0pp $-200 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4619 Erhart Dr Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $2,895 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4500 Bellow Dr Lorain, OH | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,995 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4500 Bellow Dr Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $3,295 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 5203 Gargasz Dr Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,895 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $339,900 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Pending 1269-char remark
Show marketing remark (1269 chars)
Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (1269 chars)
Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.
-
2026-04-30$339,900 Active 1269-char remark
Show marketing remark (1269 chars)
Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.
-
2026-04-30$339,900 Active
Show marketing remark (1269 chars)
Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,035 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,169 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,134/yr (+$178/mo · 206.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,415
- − Management
- −$2,415
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable loss
- −$6,300
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,512
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,241/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amherst Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904519
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,459
- Composite
- 58.58/100
- National rank
- #988
- State rank
- #160 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,084
- Household income
- $67,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 921.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 14% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 16% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.03%
- Current HPI
- 199.4591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — FAOR
- 2026-04-30 Listed $339,900 FAOR
- 2026-04-30 Listed $339,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,035 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…