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4741 Olivia Way
D Composite 41.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,900

4741 Olivia Way · Lorain, OH 44053
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2022 5,497 sqft lot Est $341k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.

Key facts

  • 5,497 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2022

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached paved garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; 60 x 110 lot (approx. 0.1515 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave, Range, Refrigerator, Dishwasher not listed
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dryer, Washer, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-271/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $336k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (26.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Amherst Exempted Village (suburban): math 66% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #160 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Powers Elementary School (math 66% / reading 64%, grade B+, #516 of 1,584 statewide, top 33%, 1,123 students, 28% FRL); Amherst Junior High School (math 65% / reading 68%, grade A-, #172 of 654 statewide, top 27%, 867 students, 31% FRL); Marion L Steele High School (math 48% / reading 78%, grade B-, #199 of 781 statewide, top 25%, 1,039 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $251,609 (26.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$340,560
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4741 Olivia Way 0.00mi 4/2.5 1,980 (0%) 0mo $339,900 $172 100
4771 Olivia Way 0.05mi 4/2.5 1,900 (-4%) 0mo $327,000 $172 91
4497 Bellow Dr 0.11mi 4/2.5 1,920 (-3%) 2mo $344,000 $179 88
4459 Bellow Dr 0.06mi 4/2.5 2,220 (+12%) 1mo $358,000 $161 76
3713 Woodworth Dr 0.33mi 4/2.5 2,152 (+9%) 8mo $310,000 $144 64
3990 Abigail Dr 0.50mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,920 (-3%) 7mo $300,000 $156 60
4031 Primrose Way 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,748 (-12%) 4mo $275,000 $157 55
4330 Weathervane Dr 0.72mi 4/3.0 2,132 (+8%) 2mo $420,000 $197 50
3940 Murdock Dr 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,752 (-12%) 6mo $320,000 $183 49
4522 Lucinda Ct 0.62mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,786 (-10%) 7mo $349,000 $195 42
1280 Meadowview Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,752 (-12%) 5mo $305,000 $174 37
2601 W 37th St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,694 (-14%) 7mo $208,000 $123 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-56,689
Equity at exit
$50,680
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-51,910
Equity at exit
$29,388

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44053

Home prices YoY
-31.3%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,516 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$528
Net cashflow
$-23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,545
Max offer price $335,905
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $170 -5% $74 +0% $-23 +5% $-119 +10% $-215
Rent -10% $-221 -5% $-122 +0% $-23 +5% $77 +10% $176
Rate -1.0pp $149 -0.5pp $64 base $-23 +0.5pp $-111 +1.0pp $-200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4619 Erhart Dr Lorain, OH 4.0 2.5 1680 $2,895 $1.72 13d 1 0.07mi
4500 Bellow Dr Lorain, OH 5.0 2.5 2200 $2,995 $1.36 45d 1 0.11mi
4500 Bellow Dr Lorain, OH 4.0 2.5 2200 $3,295 $1.50 3d 1 0.11mi
5203 Gargasz Dr Lorain, OH 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,895 $1.34 21d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on marketlisting id $339,900 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $339,900 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
  6. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1269 chars)

    Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.

  7. 2026-05-06
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (1269 chars)

    Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.

  8. 2026-04-30
    listed $339,900 Active 1269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1269 chars)

    Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.

  9. 2026-04-30
    listed $339,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1269 chars)

    Take advantage of over 11 remaining years of a tax abatement through October 2037, keeping your monthly payment significantly lower than comparable homes! Welcome to 4741 Olivia Way, a like-new home built in 2022 located in the highly desirable Amherst School District. Skip the wait and step into a home that already has the upgrades, space, and finishing touches buyers want. This home offers a bright, open layout with a modern kitchen featuring stainless steel appliances, a large island, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The LED lighting package throughout adds a clean, updated feel. Upstairs, you'll find four spacious bedrooms, three of which include walk-in closets, providing ample storage and functionality. The primary suite offers a private retreat with a full bath and generous closet space. The full basement is already prepped for future finishing with a bathroom rough-in and subfloor in place, giving buyers a head start on adding additional living space. Outside, enjoy a newer construction neighborhood setting with a clean, well-maintained yard and plenty of room to make it your own. Why build when you can have it all right now? Move-in ready, upgraded, and truly better than new.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,035 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,169 · $264/mo
Expected delta
+$2,134/yr (+$178/mo · 206.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,193
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,415
− Management
−$2,415
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable loss
−$6,300
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,512
After-tax cash flow
$1,241/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amherst Exempted Village
NCES district ID
3904519
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$63,459
Composite
58.58/100
National rank
#988
State rank
#160 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lorain

Score
67/100
State rank
#595
US rank
#10183

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lorain, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
69,409
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,084
Household income
$67,484
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
921.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 14% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 16% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.03%
Current HPI
199.4591
Rent YoY
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent FAOR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $339,900 FAOR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $339,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,035 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…