CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4333 W Shawnda Ct
D+ Composite 46.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

4333 W Shawnda Ct · Peoria, IL 61615
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,360 sqft · Townhouse public records · 163 Days on market
Built 1973 2,613 sqft lot $107/sqft · 21% below area Est $239k · 39% under $100/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You won't find a better value in Northwestern Peoria! Located conveniently off of War Memorial, in Richwoods school district, between Willow Knolls Rd and Grand Prairie Mall sits Yorkshire Village. Our listing offers THREE bedrooms together on the second story & FOUR bathrooms. Three finished levels of living space (finished basement, main level, and second story) & a bathroom on every level (2 full bathrooms on the second story). Your monthly condo fees pay for snow removal and mowing as well as POOL maintenance. A 2 car garage that has a walkout door to secure privacy-fenced courtyard, outside of the sliding doors to the dining room/kitchen. Updated and move in ready Monthly Fee includes Lawn Care, Snow Removal & Pool Maintenance.

Key facts

  • Finished basement
  • 2,613 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

FINISHED BASEMENTPRIVACY-FENCED COURTYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-113/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (3.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $103k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $127,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.28%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$239,335
List price
$144,900
Delta
-39.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6831 N Frostwood Pkwy #19 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,323 (-3%) 8mo $114,920 $87 75
4330 W Tara Cir 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,284 (-6%) 23mo $150,000 $117 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-23,988
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-21,292
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61615

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,398 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$193 /mo · $2,320/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$-9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,410
Max offer price $143,241
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $73 -5% $32 +0% $-9 +5% $-50 +10% $-91
Rent -10% $-120 -5% $-65 +0% $-9 +5% $46 +10% $101
Rate -1.0pp $64 -0.5pp $27 base $-9 +0.5pp $-47 +1.0pp $-85

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4105 W Hollow Creek Dr Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1121 $1,300 $1.16 14d 3 0.15mi
6900 N Summershade Cir Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 832 $1,340 $1.61 14d 3 0.61mi
3910 W Verner Dr Peoria, IL 4.0 2.0 1776 $1,800 $1.01 44d 1 0.83mi
5505 N Frostwood Pkwy Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,490 $1.45 14d 1 0.99mi
3207 W Willow Knolls Dr Peoria, IL 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 1.14mi
5745 Autumn Ridge Ct Apt A Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,100 $0.96 44d 1 1.22mi
5605 N Withershin Pt Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,335 $1.33 14d 1 1.33mi
5605 N Withershin Pt Unit 1 Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,335 $1.33 14d 1 1.33mi
5711 W Ridgecrest Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $1,095 $1.25 14d 8 1.34mi
2913 W Cannes Dr Unit C Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 884 $1,150 $1.30 44d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$100 · $1,200/yr
Likely covers
landscapingsnow removalpool

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $144,900 Active 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,900 Active 157 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,900 Active 156 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,900 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,900 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,900 Active 151 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,900 Active 147 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,900 Active 146 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,900 Active 145 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Active 144 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $154,900 Active 143 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    price $154,900 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    You won't find a better value in Northwestern Peoria! Located conveniently off of War Memorial, in Richwoods school district, between Willow Knolls Rd and Grand Prairie Mall sits Yorkshire Village. Our listing offers THREE bedrooms together on the second story & FOUR bathrooms. Three finished levels of living space (finished basement, main level, and second story) & a bathroom on every level (2 full bathrooms on the second story). Your monthly condo fees pay for snow removal and mowing as well as POOL maintenance. A 2 car garage that has a walkout door to secure privacy-fenced courtyard, outside of the sliding doors to the dining room/kitchen. Updated and move in ready Monthly Fee includes Lawn Care, Snow Removal & Pool Maintenance.

  18. 2026-01-05
    listed $159,900 Active 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    You won't find a better value in Northwestern Peoria! Located conveniently off of War Memorial, in Richwoods school district, between Willow Knolls Rd and Grand Prairie Mall sits Yorkshire Village. Our listing offers THREE bedrooms together on the second story & FOUR bathrooms. Three finished levels of living space (finished basement, main level, and second story) & a bathroom on every level (2 full bathrooms on the second story). Your monthly condo fees pay for snow removal and mowing as well as POOL maintenance. A 2 car garage that has a walkout door to secure privacy-fenced courtyard, outside of the sliding doors to the dining room/kitchen. Updated and move in ready Monthly Fee includes Lawn Care, Snow Removal & Pool Maintenance.

  19. 2021-08-06
    historical
  20. 2021-08-06
    historical
  21. 2013-12-27
    soldstatus $103,000
  22. 2013-12-23
    soldstatus $103,000
  23. 2013-05-29
    listed $104,900
  24. 1991-05-08
    soldstatus $75,000
  25. 1991-05-08
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,320 · $193/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,805 · $234/mo
Expected delta
+$485/yr (+$40/mo · 20.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,773
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,320
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,342
− Management
−$1,342
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$2,488
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$597
After-tax cash flow
$484/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,523
Household income
$79,817
Rent vs Own
41.3% rent · 58.7% own
Severe rent burden
833.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Asian 10% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · China, Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.30%
Current HPI
166.9745
Rent YoY
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $154,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $159,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
  • 2013-12-23 Sold (MLS) $103,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-29 Listed $104,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1991-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1991-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,320 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…