2628 Rockport Ln · Little Elm, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,369
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this one-level Little Elm home with access to a community pool. Step inside and you will find a spacious eat-in kitchen overlooking a formal dining area. Travel out back and relax under the covered patio or play on the grassy lawn. Back inside, the Master bedroom offers a walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom with a separate shower-tub and dual sinks. Enjoy close proximity to nature and outdoor recreation with nearby Lewisville Lake. — see attached offer checklist. This home comes with a 30-day satisfaction guarantee and one-year premium warranty. Terms and conditions apply.
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- En-suite bath
- Large walk-in pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Municipal utility district: No
- Financial info: Loan type: Treat as clear; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; HOA fee $400 annually; HOA covers grounds maintenance; HOA managed by 4Sight Property Management (469-287-8583)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 20' x 20'); 2 covered parking spaces; Covered parking
- Security: Owned security system
- Utilities: Aerobic septic
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 2003
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.5 acre; Subdivision: Robinson Ridge; Directions: 423 to left on Eldorado, right on Walker Ln., left on Rockport
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom on the main level with walk-in closet; Other bedrooms on the main level with walk-in closets
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Pantry; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Six total rooms; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-203 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (13.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.0% in Little Elm — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#790 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Little Elm ISD (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #327 of 826 in TX (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cesar Chavez El (math 22% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,221 of 4,322 statewide, top 75%, 491 students, 53% FRL); Little Elm H S (math 28% / reading 49%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 2,514 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 1318 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.23%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $348,828
- List price
- $269,369
- Delta
- -22.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2633 Rockport Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,868 (0%) | 1mo | $334,900 | $179 | 97 |
| 1604 Wynfield Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,868 (0%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $179 | 88 |
| 2756 Cresent Lake Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,853 (-1%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $208 | 82 |
| 1637 Fieldstone Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,892 (+1%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $185 | 81 |
| 1266 Waterford Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,882 (+1%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $178 | 80 |
| 2832 Lone Ranger Trl | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,695 (-9%) | 2mo | $309,900 | $183 | 69 |
| 1401 Whitewater Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,972 (+6%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $152 | 63 |
| 154 Castleridge Dr Unit B | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,832 (-2%) | 2mo | $294,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 1905 Grand Fir Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,773 (-5%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $169 | 57 |
| 1413 Whitewater Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,606 (-14%) | 0mo | $349,990 | $218 | 55 |
| 1908 Silver Leaf Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,731 (-7%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $191 | 52 |
| 604 Hillside Cir | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,635 (-12%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $214 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-63,395
- Equity at exit
- $40,164
- IRR
- -37.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.30×
- Total profit
- $-98,193
- Equity at exit
- $23,290
Cash invested: $75,423 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75068
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1318
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,391 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,413
- Tax from tax record
- −$534 /mo · $6,407/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $-203
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-50 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-203 | +5% $-279 | +10% $-355 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-392 | -5% $-297 | +0% $-203 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-14 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-67 | -0.5pp $-134 | base $-203 | +0.5pp $-273 | +1.0pp $-344 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,342
- Closing costs
- $8,081
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2600 Misty Harbor Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1831 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 46d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1617 Fieldstone Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2086 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2801 Coyote Trl Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2104 | $2,750 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2774 Waterfall Ln Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1969 | $2,475 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1031 Port Boliver Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2177 | $2,325 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2777 Cresent Lake Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1997 | $2,295 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1409 Waterford Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2044 | $2,195 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1428 Waterford Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $2,090 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2793 Cresent Lake Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2629 Salt Maker Way Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 338 Castleridge Dr Unit A Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1491 | $2,550 | $1.71 | 9d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 338 Castleridge Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1491 | $2,550 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2408 Rolling Ridge Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,895 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1704 Silverwood Ln Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $1,950 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1046 Port Isabel Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 320 Woodgrove Dr Unit A Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $2,100 | $1.21 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1006 Port Aransas Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1729 | $2,295 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2832 Cresent Lake Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $2,250 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1445 Whitewater Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1509 Waterfall Ln Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2522 | $2,995 | $1.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1063 Lake Trail Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2115 | $2,895 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1900 Juniper Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,325 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 119 Hillside Beach Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1579 Crown View Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,075 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 413 Windridge Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $1,100 | $0.72 | 26d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2104 Oakridge Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2217 Bradford Pear Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2318 | $2,450 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2716 Dawn Spring Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1643 | $2,100 | $1.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2281 Miramar Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2246 | $3,800 | $1.69 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2229 Birch Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1892 | $2,300 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2232 Chestnut Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2609 | $2,500 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1916 Jackson Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2582 | $2,490 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2253 Barx Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $2,240 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2701 Woodlake Pkwy Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1892 | $1,995 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2705 Lumina Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,400 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2152 Miramar Dr Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2246 | $2,650 | $1.18 | 26d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2345 Maple Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2318 | $2,700 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1918 Caddo St Little Elm, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1958 | $2,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2333 Aurora Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2157 Olivereta Dr Little Elm, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $2,400 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $269,369 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,369 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,369 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,369 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,369 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,369 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,369 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,369 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,369 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,369 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $269,369 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,369 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,369 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,369 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,369 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$269,369 Active 1443-char remark
-
2017-07-24soldstatus
-
2017-07-19soldstatus Sold 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Come see this one-level Little Elm home with access to a community pool. Step inside and you will find a spacious eat-in kitchen overlooking a formal dining area. Travel out back and relax under the covered patio or play on the grassy lawn. Back inside, the Master bedroom offers a walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom with a separate shower-tub and dual sinks. Enjoy close proximity to nature and outdoor recreation with nearby Lewisville Lake. — see attached offer checklist. This home comes with a 30-day satisfaction guarantee and one-year premium warranty. Terms and conditions apply.
-
2017-06-23status Pending 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Come see this one-level Little Elm home with access to a community pool. Step inside and you will find a spacious eat-in kitchen overlooking a formal dining area. Travel out back and relax under the covered patio or play on the grassy lawn. Back inside, the Master bedroom offers a walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom with a separate shower-tub and dual sinks. Enjoy close proximity to nature and outdoor recreation with nearby Lewisville Lake. — see attached offer checklist. This home comes with a 30-day satisfaction guarantee and one-year premium warranty. Terms and conditions apply.
-
2017-06-17historical Active Option Contract 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Come see this one-level Little Elm home with access to a community pool. Step inside and you will find a spacious eat-in kitchen overlooking a formal dining area. Travel out back and relax under the covered patio or play on the grassy lawn. Back inside, the Master bedroom offers a walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom with a separate shower-tub and dual sinks. Enjoy close proximity to nature and outdoor recreation with nearby Lewisville Lake. — see attached offer checklist. This home comes with a 30-day satisfaction guarantee and one-year premium warranty. Terms and conditions apply.
-
2017-06-13$220,000 Active 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Come see this one-level Little Elm home with access to a community pool. Step inside and you will find a spacious eat-in kitchen overlooking a formal dining area. Travel out back and relax under the covered patio or play on the grassy lawn. Back inside, the Master bedroom offers a walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom with a separate shower-tub and dual sinks. Enjoy close proximity to nature and outdoor recreation with nearby Lewisville Lake. — see attached offer checklist. This home comes with a 30-day satisfaction guarantee and one-year premium warranty. Terms and conditions apply.
-
2017-05-31soldstatus
-
2007-07-17soldstatus
-
2007-07-13soldstatus
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
PRIDE OF OWNERSHIP SHOWS IN THIS LOVELY, SPACIOUS AND METICULOUSLY MAINTAINED ONE STORY HOME. KITCHEN FEATURES BREAKFAST BAR, SMOOTH TOP, ELECTRIC, SELF CLEANING STOVE, LOTS OF CABINETS, INSTALLED MICROWAVE AND LARGE WALK IN PANTRY. SECLUDED MASTER BEDROOM HAS WALK IN CLOSET AND PRIVATE BATH WITH DUAL SINKS AND GARDEN TUB. UPGRADED CARPET. OVERSIZED BACKYARD. COMMUNITY POOL.
-
2007-06-07historical
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
PRIDE OF OWNERSHIP SHOWS IN THIS LOVELY, SPACIOUS AND METICULOUSLY MAINTAINED ONE STORY HOME. KITCHEN FEATURES BREAKFAST BAR, SMOOTH TOP, ELECTRIC, SELF CLEANING STOVE, LOTS OF CABINETS, INSTALLED MICROWAVE AND LARGE WALK IN PANTRY. SECLUDED MASTER BEDROOM HAS WALK IN CLOSET AND PRIVATE BATH WITH DUAL SINKS AND GARDEN TUB. UPGRADED CARPET. OVERSIZED BACKYARD. COMMUNITY POOL.
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2007-04-13$129,900
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
PRIDE OF OWNERSHIP SHOWS IN THIS LOVELY, SPACIOUS AND METICULOUSLY MAINTAINED ONE STORY HOME. KITCHEN FEATURES BREAKFAST BAR, SMOOTH TOP, ELECTRIC, SELF CLEANING STOVE, LOTS OF CABINETS, INSTALLED MICROWAVE AND LARGE WALK IN PANTRY. SECLUDED MASTER BEDROOM HAS WALK IN CLOSET AND PRIVATE BATH WITH DUAL SINKS AND GARDEN TUB. UPGRADED CARPET. OVERSIZED BACKYARD. COMMUNITY POOL.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,407 · $534/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,407 · $534/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,693
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,089
- − Property taxes
- −$6,407
- − Insurance
- −$1,347
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,295
- − Management
- −$2,295
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$7,836
- Taxable loss
- −$6,973
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,673
- After-tax cash flow
- $-760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Elm ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827720
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,400
- Composite
- 36.17/100
- National rank
- #4734
- State rank
- #327 of 826 in TX
Livability — Little Elm
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #790
- US rank
- #14430
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Elm, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 72,710
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,710
- Household income
- $126,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 829.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Asian 12% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.41%
- Current HPI
- 249.755
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.50%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+107.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $269,369 NTREIS
- 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-07-19 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2017-06-23 Pending — NTREIS
- 2017-06-17 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2017-06-13 Listed $220,000 NTREIS
- 2017-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-07-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-07-13 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-06-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-04-13 Listed $129,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,407 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…