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5931 Mayflower Way
C Composite 55.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0

$330,000

5931 Mayflower Way · Ave Maria, FL 34142
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,589 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
55+ age-restricted Built 2022 Good condition 7,840 sqft lot 2-car garage $208/sqft · 11% below area Est $375k · 12% under $461/mo HOA · 14% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this immaculate "Cascadia" model 2 bedroom + den, 2 bathroom end-unit villa located in the desirable 55+ community of Del Webb Naples in Ave Maria. Thoughtfully designed for both comfort and functionality, this home features upgraded porcelain tile flooring set on a diagonal throughout, 8' doors, upgraded baseboards, and custom window treatments over impact-resistant windows for added peace of mind. The open-concept kitchen is highlighted by quartz countertops and timeless shaker-style cabinetry, flowing seamlessly into the bright and spacious living and dining areas – perfect for relaxing or entertaining.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Cascadia model

Tags

CASCADIA MODELEND-UNIT VILLACUSTOM WINDOW TREATMENTSIMPACT-RESISTANT WINDOWSOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-917/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (4.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $330k (0.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.2% in Ave Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Corkscrew Middle School (math 68% / reading 59%, grade B+, #109 of 571 statewide, top 19%, 958 students, 43% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 545 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,299/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $290,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-0.99%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$375,260
List price
$330,000
Delta
-12.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5900 Mayflower Way 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,602 (+1%) 0mo $329,000 $205 95
5845 Mayflower Way 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,602 (+1%) 1mo $288,000 $180 91
5825 Mayflower Way 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,546 (-3%) 4mo $365,000 $236 84
5901 Mayflower Way 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,460 (-8%) 1mo $265,000 $182 83
5821 Mayflower Way 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,546 (-3%) 5mo $348,000 $225 83
5769 Mayflower Way 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,554 (-2%) 6mo $355,000 $228 79
6341 Liberty St 0.58mi 2/2.0 1,674 (+5%) 0mo $419,000 $250 64
5761 Mayflower Way 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,425 (-10%) 6mo $320,000 $225 60
5796 Declaration Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,415 (-11%) 3mo $317,000 $224 54
6093 Victory Dr 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,762 (+11%) 5mo $429,000 $243 53
6345 Liberty St 0.58mi 2/2.0 1,805 (+14%) 4mo $355,000 $197 47
6188 Liberty St 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,405 (-12%) 5mo $419,000 $298 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-30,303
Equity at exit
$78,895
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-5,991
Equity at exit
$82,197

Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
57 active · 14 under contract
Months of supply
14.2 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$399,900 ($245/sqft)
Median days on market
89 d
This list price
7% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-3.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34142

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
545
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,299 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,731
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,239/yr
Insurance
$138
HOA
$461
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$693
Net cashflow
$-76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,395
Max offer price $316,495
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $110 -5% $17 +0% $-76 +5% $-170 +10% $-263
Rent -10% $-337 -5% $-207 +0% $-76 +5% $54 +10% $184
Rate -1.0pp $90 -0.5pp $7 base $-76 +0.5pp $-162 +1.0pp $-249

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,500
Closing costs
$9,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5935 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,550 $1.75 72d 1 0.04mi
5988 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1602 $5,200 $3.25 72d 1 0.13mi
5769 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $4,000 $2.57 72d 1 0.24mi
5728 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 3.0 2087 $2,650 $1.27 72d 1 0.28mi
5705 Mayflower Way #1407 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1536 $2,250 $1.46 72d 1 0.35mi
5709 Constitution St Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1900 $2,400 $1.26 72d 1 0.36mi
5697 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1538 $2,495 $1.62 72d 1 0.42mi
5690 Mayflower Way #601 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1815 $5,500 $3.03 72d 1 0.48mi
5690 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1815 $3,295 $1.82 72d 1 0.48mi
6421 Liberty St Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1922 $5,800 $3.02 72d 1 0.52mi
6441 Liberty St Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1685 $5,795 $3.44 72d 1 0.53mi
5309 Beckton Rd Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 2051 $2,395 $1.17 72d 1 0.90mi
6168 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1570 $5,495 $3.50 63d 1 0.91mi
6189 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $6,295 $4.04 72d 1 0.96mi
5657 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1981 $2,400 $1.21 63d 1 0.97mi
5661 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 2200 $2,350 $1.07 63d 1 0.97mi
6205 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $5,000 $3.21 72d 1 0.99mi
5573 Cobalto Way Unit 5573 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1921 $2,400 $1.25 63d 1 1.07mi
5573 Cobalto Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1921 $2,400 $1.25 62d 1 1.07mi
5474 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 2032 $2,650 $1.30 72d 1 1.07mi
5538 Useppa Dr Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.5 1850 $10,995 $5.94 72d 1 1.09mi
8010 Helena Ct Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $2,500 $1.61 70d 1 1.12mi
5639 Argento Dr Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,500 $1.79 72d 1 1.14mi
5374 Ferris Ave Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1933 $2,350 $1.22 72d 1 1.14mi
5574 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,250 $1.38 70d 1 1.16mi
5435 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.5 1850 $3,695 $2.00 70d 1 1.16mi
5716 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1933 $2,300 $1.19 72d 1 1.18mi
5688 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $2,500 $1.83 63d 1 1.18mi
5476 Katia Ct Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1983 $4,300 $2.17 72d 1 1.24mi
5835 Double Eagle Cir #4726 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,095 $1.82 63d 1 1.27mi
5710 Melbourne Ct #6511 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,295 $4.19 72d 1 1.27mi
6012 Ellerston WAY #1121 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 2110 $6,295 $2.98 72d 1 1.27mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir #4338 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1301 $6,295 $4.84 72d 1 1.27mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4218 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $6,295 $4.84 72d 1 1.27mi
5835 Double Eagle CIR #4714 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,895 $1.69 72d 1 1.27mi
6036 Ellerston WAY #1311 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $4,490 $2.58 72d 1 1.27mi
5715 Double Eagle Cir #4416 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,100 $1.82 72d 1 1.27mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4223 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,395 $2.08 72d 1 1.27mi
5445 Double Eagle Cir #3011 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1569 $2,495 $1.59 72d 1 1.27mi
5704 Melbourne Ct #6712 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,295 $4.19 72d 1 1.27mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Unit is one of four in the buildingOne unit per floor
Financial info
Property located in a community development district
HOA & community
Mandatory HOAQuarterly HOA fee of $1,185Quarterly master HOA fee of $198Total annual recurring fees $5,532Total one-time fees $200Professional managementHOA maintenance includes golf course, lawn/land maintenance, pest control (exterior), street lights, legal/accountingCommunity amenities: clubhouse, community pool, community spa/hot tub, exercise room, library, community room, restaurant, shopping, bike and jog path, tennis court, pickleball, golf course (non-equity), dog park, beauty salon, billiards, hobby room, underground utilities, streetlight, internet access

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage
Security
Gated
Utilities
Central waterCentral sewerCentral electric
Home design
Residential villa (attached)End-unitRear exposure faces west1 story
Construction
Concrete block constructionBuilt in 2022
Exterior features
Stucco exteriorShingle roofImpact-resistant windowsGated communityLandscaped area viewCentral irrigationPaved roadDeeded restrictionsRegular lot

Interior

Kitchen
PantryDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator/FreezerSelf-cleaning oven
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms plus denFirst-floor bedroom
Flooring
Tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathroomsMaster bath with dual sinks and shower (no tub)
Heating & cooling
Central electric heatCentral electric coolingCeiling fansCable available
Interior features
Cable prewireSmoke detectorsWalk-in closetPantryBreakfast barDining (living)Eat-in kitchenDen (study)Great roomGuest roomScreened lanai/porchUnfurnishedSplit bedrooms
Laundry & utility
WasherDryerLaundry in residenceAuto garage door

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $330,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $330,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $330,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $330,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $330,000 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $330,000 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $330,000 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $330,000 Active 115 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $330,000 Active 114 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $330,000 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $330,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $330,000 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $330,000 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $330,000 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-07-22
    days on market $330,000 Active 106 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $330,000 Active 103 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $330,000 Active 101 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $330,000 Active 100 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $330,000 Active 99 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $330,000 Active 98 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $330,000 Active 97 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $330,000 Active 96 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $330,000 Active 95 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $330,000 Active 94 DOM
  25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $330,000 Active 93 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $330,000 Active 92 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $330,000 Active 91 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $330,000 Active 90 DOM
  29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $330,000 Active 89 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $330,000 Active 88 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $330,000 Active 87 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $330,000 Active 86 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $330,000 Active 85 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $330,000 Active 84 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $330,000 Active 83 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $330,000 Active 82 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $330,000 Active 81 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $330,000 Active 79 DOM
  39. 2026-06-23
    days on market $330,000 Active 77 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $330,000 Active 76 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $330,000 Active 73 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $330,000 Active 72 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $330,000 Active 71 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $330,000 Active 70 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $330,000 Active 68 DOM
  46. 2026-06-10
    days on market $330,000 Active 65 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $330,000 Active 64 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $330,000 Active 63 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $330,000 Active 62 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $330,000 Active 58 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,239 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,239 · $353/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,582
− Mortgage interest
−$18,485
− Property taxes
−$4,239
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,167
− Management
−$3,167
− HOA
−$5,532
− Depreciation
−$9,600
Taxable loss
−$6,257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,502
After-tax cash flow
$584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,945–$23,835 screening

This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minimal cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves curb appeal and safety
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and adds value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 60/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Estates Elementary School B+ FL #409/2,144 Nat'l #4,125/41,679 Middle Corkscrew Middle School B+ FL #109/571 Nat'l #1,406/14,009 High Palmetto Ridge High School D- FL #207/667 Nat'l #6,330/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ave Maria

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ave Maria, FL
County
Collier County · 420,858 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,149
Household income
$62,333
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $330,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $369,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $385,000 NAPLESMLS

Property tax history

+37.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,239 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…