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12220 5th St #195
B+ Composite 76.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,000

12220 5th St #195 · Yucaipa, CA 92399
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,225 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 1969 $80/sqft · 21% below area Est $124k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 2 bed, 2 bath home in the highly desirable 55+ community of Crestview Mobile Estates. Stepping inside you will find a spacious living area, inside laundry, and a large bonus room with 2 closets. The primary bedroom has both a walk-in closet and is connected to a large primary bathroom with a walk-in shower. Additional features include a large accessibility ramp on the front of the house, and earthquake bracing. Perhaps even better is the home has a low space rent of under $400 that is rent controlled, and the park itself has both a clubhouse and pool.

Key facts

  • Large bonus room
  • Clubhouse
  • Pool

Tags

LARGE BONUS ROOMWALK IN CLOSETACCESSIBILITY RAMPEARTHQUAKE BRACINGCLUBHOUSEPOOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 2.7% in Yucaipa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#334 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Yucaipa-Calimesa Joint Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #195 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
16.62%
Cash-on-cash
36.87%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$124,500
List price
$98,000
Delta
-21.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12220 5th St #193 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+2%) 2mo $120,000 $96 95
12220 5TH St #178 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-2%) 12mo $114,900 $96 86
12220 5th St #213 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,140 (-7%) 10mo $110,000 $96 80
12220 5th St #187 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,296 (+6%) 12mo $126,000 $97 80
12220 5TH ST #163 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,110 (-9%) 11mo $120,000 $108 75
12367 4th St #75 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,232 (+1%) 14mo $110,000 $89 63
12367 4th St #71 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,296 (+6%) 3mo $145,000 $112 63
12367 4th Street, SPC 41 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-2%) 14mo $165,000 $138 60
12680 4th St, SPC #29 0.57mi 2/2.0 1,110 (-9%) 6mo $147,000 $132 53
12618 3rd St #34 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+10%) 3mo $158,000 $118 45
12618 3rd St #25 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 10mo $103,600 $77 44
12680 4th St #47 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (+14%) 4mo $150,000 $108 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$32,203
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$75,503
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92399

Rents YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,924 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax est. 1.5%
$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$843

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $911 -5% $877 +0% $843 +5% $809 +10% $775
Rent -10% $691 -5% $767 +0% $843 +5% $919 +10% $995
Rate -1.0pp $892 -0.5pp $868 base $843 +0.5pp $818 +1.0pp $792

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12350 5th St Unit 12382 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 825 $1,850 $2.24 24d 1 0.19mi
34384 Yucaipa Blvd Unit 102 Yucaipa, CA 1.0 1.0 920 $1,900 $2.07 44d 1 0.30mi
34449 Yucaipa Blvd Unit 10 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 802 $1,595 $1.99 44d 1 0.30mi
34384 Yucaipa Blvd Yucaipa, CA 1.0 1.0 920 $2,100 $2.28 44d 2 0.31mi
11904 4th St Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 1256 $1,995 $1.59 11d 1 0.50mi
12301 3rd St Yucaipa, CA 1.0 1.0 992 $2,150 $2.17 2d 1 0.65mi
34759 Avenue B Ct Unit 3 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,795 $2.56 44d 1 0.67mi
12710 3rd St Spc 64 Yucaipa, CA 3.0 2.0 800 $1,795 $2.24 44d 1 0.76mi
12710 3rd St Spc 54 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,595 $1.99 44d 1 0.76mi
12710 3rd St #21 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 2.0 760 $1,650 $2.17 24d 1 0.81mi
12710 3rd St #32 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 44d 1 0.84mi
12710 3rd St #57 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,495 $2.08 44d 1 0.84mi
12710 3rd St Unit 31 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 24d 1 0.87mi
12225 2nd St Yucaipa, CA 1.0 1.0 720 $2,295 $3.19 2d 1 0.87mi
34947 Avenue A Unit A Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,900 $2.38 44d 1 0.91mi
34976 Avenue A Unit A Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 755 $1,925 $2.55 4d 1 0.94mi
34976 Avenue A Unit A Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 755 $1,895 $2.51 44d 1 0.94mi
11811 Fairway Dr Yucaipa, CA 3.0 2.0 1458 $2,800 $1.92 2d 1 1.22mi
12646 10th St Yucaipa, CA 2.0 2.0 1413 $3,900 $2.76 24d 1 1.30mi
35294 Adams Ln Unit C Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 794 $1,795 $2.26 22d 1 1.35mi
11760 Adams St Unit 18 Yucaipa, CA 1.0 1.0 730 $1,650 $2.26 18d 1 1.37mi
11760 Adams St Unit 15 Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,750 $2.06 24d 1 1.37mi
35371 Schad Ln Yucaipa, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 24d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on marketlisting id $98,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,000 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,000 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,000 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $98,000 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,000 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,000 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,000 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-05-15
    price $98,000 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2 bed, 2 bath home in the highly desirable 55+ community of Crestview Mobile Estates. Stepping inside you will find a spacious living area, inside laundry, and a large bonus room with 2 closets. The primary bedroom has both a walk-in closet and is connected to a large primary bathroom with a walk-in shower. Additional features include a large accessibility ramp on the front of the house, and earthquake bracing. Perhaps even better is the home has a low space rent of under $400 that is rent controlled, and the park itself has both a clubhouse and pool.

  12. 2026-03-06
    price $109,000 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2 bed, 2 bath home in the highly desirable 55+ community of Crestview Mobile Estates. Stepping inside you will find a spacious living area, inside laundry, and a large bonus room with 2 closets. The primary bedroom has both a walk-in closet and is connected to a large primary bathroom with a walk-in shower. Additional features include a large accessibility ramp on the front of the house, and earthquake bracing. Perhaps even better is the home has a low space rent of under $400 that is rent controlled, and the park itself has both a clubhouse and pool.

  13. 2026-02-04
    price $110,000 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2 bed, 2 bath home in the highly desirable 55+ community of Crestview Mobile Estates. Stepping inside you will find a spacious living area, inside laundry, and a large bonus room with 2 closets. The primary bedroom has both a walk-in closet and is connected to a large primary bathroom with a walk-in shower. Additional features include a large accessibility ramp on the front of the house, and earthquake bracing. Perhaps even better is the home has a low space rent of under $400 that is rent controlled, and the park itself has both a clubhouse and pool.

  14. 2026-01-08
    listed $115,000 Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2 bed, 2 bath home in the highly desirable 55+ community of Crestview Mobile Estates. Stepping inside you will find a spacious living area, inside laundry, and a large bonus room with 2 closets. The primary bedroom has both a walk-in closet and is connected to a large primary bathroom with a walk-in shower. Additional features include a large accessibility ramp on the front of the house, and earthquake bracing. Perhaps even better is the home has a low space rent of under $400 that is rent controlled, and the park itself has both a clubhouse and pool.

  15. 2022-05-24
    soldstatus $93,000 Closed Sale 936-char remark
    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Welcome home to this wonderful 2 bedroom, with bonus room and 2-bathroom home located in the wonderful 55+ Community of Crestview. This home offers an adorable covered front porch, spacious family room, dining area with built in buffet cabinet, kitchen with lots of cabinet space, guest bathroom with tub and shower combo, master bathroom with sit down vanity area and walk in shower, spacious guest room, large master bedroom with walk in closet and enclosed patio area with 2 closets that could be used as a 3rd bedroom, office or craft-room. There is a low maintenance back yard, 2 storage sheds, a long carport that could possibly fit multiple cars and the home has been earthquake braced. The furnace and water heater have been recently replaced and the home is equipped with a handicapped ramp in the front. This park offers low space rent and is rent controlled. Make an appointment to view this home today before it is too late.

  16. 2022-04-28
    status Pending Sale 936-char remark
    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Welcome home to this wonderful 2 bedroom, with bonus room and 2-bathroom home located in the wonderful 55+ Community of Crestview. This home offers an adorable covered front porch, spacious family room, dining area with built in buffet cabinet, kitchen with lots of cabinet space, guest bathroom with tub and shower combo, master bathroom with sit down vanity area and walk in shower, spacious guest room, large master bedroom with walk in closet and enclosed patio area with 2 closets that could be used as a 3rd bedroom, office or craft-room. There is a low maintenance back yard, 2 storage sheds, a long carport that could possibly fit multiple cars and the home has been earthquake braced. The furnace and water heater have been recently replaced and the home is equipped with a handicapped ramp in the front. This park offers low space rent and is rent controlled. Make an appointment to view this home today before it is too late.

  17. 2022-04-19
    listed $92,777 Active 936-char remark
    Show marketing remark (936 chars)

    Welcome home to this wonderful 2 bedroom, with bonus room and 2-bathroom home located in the wonderful 55+ Community of Crestview. This home offers an adorable covered front porch, spacious family room, dining area with built in buffet cabinet, kitchen with lots of cabinet space, guest bathroom with tub and shower combo, master bathroom with sit down vanity area and walk in shower, spacious guest room, large master bedroom with walk in closet and enclosed patio area with 2 closets that could be used as a 3rd bedroom, office or craft-room. There is a low maintenance back yard, 2 storage sheds, a long carport that could possibly fit multiple cars and the home has been earthquake braced. The furnace and water heater have been recently replaced and the home is equipped with a handicapped ramp in the front. This park offers low space rent and is rent controlled. Make an appointment to view this home today before it is too late.

  18. 2014-08-08
    soldstatus $15,000 Closed
  19. 2014-07-05
    status Pending
  20. 2014-05-19
    listed $16,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,093
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,847
− Management
−$1,847
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$9,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,183
After-tax cash flow
$7,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yucaipa-Calimesa Joint Unified
NCES district ID
0643560
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$58,243
Composite
38.09/100
National rank
#4277
State rank
#195 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yucaipa

Score
66/100
State rank
#334
US rank
#11542

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living F Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yucaipa, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
55,366
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
55,366
Household income
$92,440
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
1110.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -632.71%
Current HPI
353.4762
Rent YoY
▼ -1.27%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+493.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $98,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $109,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $115,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-05-24 Sold (MLS) $93,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-04-28 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-04-19 Listed $92,777 CRMLS
  • 2014-08-08 Sold (MLS) $15,000 CRMLS
  • 2014-07-05 Pending CRMLS
  • 2014-05-19 Listed $16,500 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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