9 Fallen Leaf Way · Novato, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$419,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stylish, updated, and truly move-in ready, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in one of Marin's most sought-after 55+ active adult communities. Thoughtfully refreshed throughout, the home features a remodeled kitchen with sleek quartz countertops, beautiful new flooring including plush Berber carpet and luxury waterproof vinyl, and updated plumbing for added peace of mind. The roof has been freshly sealed, and the inviting outdoor deck provides the perfect setting for relaxing, entertaining, or simply taking in the beautiful hillside setting and views of San Pablo Bay. With its many upgrades and turnkey appeal, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, style, and the very best of Marin's active lifestyle. Residents also enjoy access to a well-appointed community clubhouse featuring a saltwater swimming pool, hot tub, fitness center, and a vibrant calendar of social events that make this welcoming neighborhood truly special.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Community clubhouse
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $419k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-218/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $416k (0.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $364k (13.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $364k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.4% in Novato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#211 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Novato Unified (suburban): math 38% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #160 of 517 in CA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hamilton Meadow Park (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 531 students, 58% FRL); Novato High (math 31% / reading 63%, grade D-, #389 of 1,170 statewide, top 35%, 1,458 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 30% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 149 units permitted in Marin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marin County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $350k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.19%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $334,823
- List price
- $419,000
- Delta
- 25.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Fallen Leaf Way | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 0mo | $419,000 | $312 | 100 |
| 10 Fallen Leaf Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $191 | 86 |
| 59 Club View Dr | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 12mo | $279,000 | $224 | 76 |
| 133 Panorama Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 17mo | $326,000 | $226 | 72 |
| 60 Club View Dr | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $115 | 71 |
| 15 Scenic Dr | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $226 | 70 |
| 28 Marin Valley Dr | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 14mo | $390,000 | $271 | 69 |
| 22 Marin Valley Dr | 0.21mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $247 | 65 |
| 16 Marin Valley Dr | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $292 | 63 |
| 18 Fallen Leaf Way | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 14mo | $390,000 | $325 | 63 |
| 177 Marin Valley Dr | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+14%) | 1mo | $466,000 | $303 | 58 |
| 176 Marin Valley Dr | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-15%) | 15mo | $380,225 | $332 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-75,974
- Equity at exit
- $62,474
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-94,953
- Equity at exit
- $36,227
Cash invested: $117,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94949
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,642 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,197
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$524 /mo · $6,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$765
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $271 | -5% $127 | +0% $-18 | +5% $-163 | +10% $-308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-306 | -5% $-162 | +0% $-18 | +5% $126 | +10% $270 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $88 | base $-18 | +0.5pp $-127 | +1.0pp $-237 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,750
- Closing costs
- $12,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Redhawk Rd Novato, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1731 | $3,950 | $2.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 130 Pelican Ln Novato, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1674 | $3,925 | $2.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 20 North Ave San Rafael, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $3,625 | $4.55 | 0d | 3 | 1.27mi |
| 158 Roundtree Blvd San Rafael, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $3,900 | $3.35 | 26d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 75 Gann Way Novato, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1822 | $5,000 | $2.74 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 98 Gann Way Novato, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $3,950 | $2.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 67 Roundtree Blvd San Rafael, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 949 | $3,300 | $3.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2500 Deer Valley Rd San Rafael, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $3,457 | $4.10 | 0d | 6 | 1.40mi |
| 235 Posada del Sol Novato, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,225 | $2.69 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1001 Cresta Way San Rafael, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $3,712 | $3.62 | 0d | 19 | 1.43mi |
| 200 Posada del Sol Novato, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1125 | $2,738 | $2.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-30price $419,000 961-char remark
Show marketing remark (961 chars)
Stylish, updated, and truly move-in ready, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in one of Marin's most sought-after 55+ active adult communities. Thoughtfully refreshed throughout, the home features a remodeled kitchen with sleek quartz countertops, beautiful new flooring including plush Berber carpet and luxury waterproof vinyl, and updated plumbing for added peace of mind. The roof has been freshly sealed, and the inviting outdoor deck provides the perfect setting for relaxing, entertaining, or simply taking in the beautiful hillside setting and views of San Pablo Bay. With its many upgrades and turnkey appeal, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, style, and the very best of Marin's active lifestyle. Residents also enjoy access to a well-appointed community clubhouse featuring a saltwater swimming pool, hot tub, fitness center, and a vibrant calendar of social events that make this welcoming neighborhood truly special.
-
2026-02-21status Active 961-char remark
Show marketing remark (961 chars)
Stylish, updated, and truly move-in ready, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in one of Marin's most sought-after 55+ active adult communities. Thoughtfully refreshed throughout, the home features a remodeled kitchen with sleek quartz countertops, beautiful new flooring including plush Berber carpet and luxury waterproof vinyl, and updated plumbing for added peace of mind. The roof has been freshly sealed, and the inviting outdoor deck provides the perfect setting for relaxing, entertaining, or simply taking in the beautiful hillside setting and views of San Pablo Bay. With its many upgrades and turnkey appeal, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, style, and the very best of Marin's active lifestyle. Residents also enjoy access to a well-appointed community clubhouse featuring a saltwater swimming pool, hot tub, fitness center, and a vibrant calendar of social events that make this welcoming neighborhood truly special.
-
2026-01-13$450,000 Active 961-char remark
Show marketing remark (961 chars)
Stylish, updated, and truly move-in ready, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in one of Marin's most sought-after 55+ active adult communities. Thoughtfully refreshed throughout, the home features a remodeled kitchen with sleek quartz countertops, beautiful new flooring including plush Berber carpet and luxury waterproof vinyl, and updated plumbing for added peace of mind. The roof has been freshly sealed, and the inviting outdoor deck provides the perfect setting for relaxing, entertaining, or simply taking in the beautiful hillside setting and views of San Pablo Bay. With its many upgrades and turnkey appeal, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, style, and the very best of Marin's active lifestyle. Residents also enjoy access to a well-appointed community clubhouse featuring a saltwater swimming pool, hot tub, fitness center, and a vibrant calendar of social events that make this welcoming neighborhood truly special.
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $350,000 Closed 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $350,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-07-15status Pending 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-07-13price $350,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-06-17price $385,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-06-01status Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-05-31historical Contingent (Show) 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-05-10price $395,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-04-18$419,000 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
-
2022-04-18$350,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
This is the one you've been waiting for! Sweeping views of San Pablo Bay situated on a serene setting in coveted Marin Valley. This spacious 2 bedroom/2bath has an open floor plan, updated kitchen, and large soaking tub in the primary bedroom. Sip coffee from your deck while watching the birds fly over the bay. Freshly painted and ready to move in. Enjoy Marin's favorite 55+ community with numerous activities, club house, walking trails and outdoor salt-water pool.You will love where you live!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,471
- − Property taxes
- −$6,285
- − Insurance
- −$2,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,497
- − Management
- −$3,497
- − Depreciation
- −$12,189
- Taxable loss
- −$7,325
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,758
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in a sought-after 55+ community offers a serene setting with sweeping views of San Pablo Bay.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and outdoor furniture — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
- Both smart home integration — increases home's value and convenience
- Both smart thermostat — improves energy efficiency and comfort
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping and outdoor furniture — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
- Both smart home integration — increases home's value and convenience ↑
- Both smart thermostat — improves energy efficiency and comfort ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Novato Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627720
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,396
- Composite
- 41.06/100
- National rank
- #3576
- State rank
- #160 of 517 in CA
Livability — Novato
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #6675
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Novato, CA
- County
- Marin County · 243,328 people
- City population
- 59,522
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,787
- Household income
- $120,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 776.0
Population outlook (Marin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 276,379 people
- By 2030
- 282,942 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 292,937 · +6.0%
- By 2050
- 300,449 · +8.7%
- By 2075
- 316,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 303,948 · +10.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 16% Asian 7% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 5% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+63.9) · D 80.6% · R 16.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: 57.7pp · 2024: 63.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+63.9 2020: D+66.5 2016: D+62.9 2012: D+50.5 2008: D+57.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -670.06%
- Current HPI
- 299.6555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+19.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $419,000 BAREIS
- 2026-02-21 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $450,000 BAREIS
- 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $350,000 BAREIS
- 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $350,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2022-07-15 Pending — BAREIS
- 2022-07-13 Price Changed $350,000 BAREIS
- 2022-06-17 Price Changed $385,000 BAREIS
- 2022-06-01 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2022-05-31 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2022-05-10 Price Changed $395,000 BAREIS
- 2022-04-18 Listed $419,000 BAREIS
- 2022-04-18 Listed $350,000 San Francisco MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…