604 Marbled Teal Ln · Winnsboro, SC 29061

$219,900

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily · 7 Days on market

Built 2023 6,969 sqft lot $28/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• 1% rule +4.1/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

The Poplar B Plan -The Poplar floor plan provides 1404 square feet and a single car garage. The first floor presents the open concept that creates an inviting, connected space for the kitchen, dining area, and living room. A powder room blends the extra convenience you'd expect in a 2-story home. The 3 bedrooms—including the master bedroom—are located upstairs for the privacy many homeowners want. The laundry room is also on the 2nd floor. The master bath has a large walk-in closet and double vanity.

Key facts

• 6,969 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2023

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($394/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (9.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $200k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#320 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D, amenities F, commute F.
• Fairfield 01 (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in SC (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Fairfield Elementary (math 16% / reading 17%, grade F, #535 of 597 statewide, top 90%, 463 students, 100% FRL); Fairfield Middle (math 17% / reading 29%, grade F, #171 of 229 statewide, top 76%, 337 students, 100% FRL); Fairfield Central High (math 37% / reading 77%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 662 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 80% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 335 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fairfield County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $200,070 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.91% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.64%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-33,492
• Equity at exit: $32,788

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.57×
• Total profit: $-26,276
• Equity at exit: $19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29061

• Home prices YoY: -22.8%
• Active inventory: 335
• Price-to-rent: 9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,001 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,153
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
• Insurance: −$92
• HOA: −$28
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$420
• Net cashflow: $33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,959

Max offer price $219,900

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $185	-5% $109	+0% $33	+5% $-43	+10% $-119
Rent	-10% $-125	-5% $-46	+0% $33	+5% $112	+10% $191
Rate	-1.0pp $144	-0.5pp $89	base $33	+0.5pp $-24	+1.0pp $-82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,975
• Closing costs: $6,597
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $28 · $336/yr

Listing history 4 events

1. 2023-11-04
   status Pending
2. 2023-11-02
   listed $219,900 Active
3. 2023-10-09
   status Pending
4. 2023-10-02
   listed $219,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,008
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,318
• − Property taxes: −$3,298
• − Insurance: −$1,100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,921
• − Management: −$1,921
• − HOA: −$336
• − Depreciation: −$6,397
• Taxable loss: −$3,282
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$788
• After-tax cash flow: $1,182/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fairfield 01
• NCES district ID: 4502100
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $34,836
• Composite: 26.37/100
• National rank: #7232
• State rank: #53 of 80 in SC

Livability — Winnsboro

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #320
• US rank: #23801

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing D Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Richland County · 389,530 people
• City population: 11,730
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• Population (ZIP): 12,538
• Household income: $60,307
• Rent vs Own: 19.1% rent · 80.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 236.0

Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 21,017 people
• By 2030: 19,778 · -5.9%
• By 2040: 16,973 · -19.2%
• By 2050: 14,251 · -32.2%
• By 2075: 9,195 · -56.2%
• By 2100: 5,722 · -72.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fairfield

• 2024 margin: D (+13.2) · D 56.0% · R 42.7% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.4pp toward R · 2008: 31.7pp · 2024: 13.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+13.2 2020: D+22.7 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+31.6 2008: D+31.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.44%
• Current HPI: 194.8986
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2023-11-04 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2023-11-02 Listed $219,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2023-10-09 Pending — SBOR
• 2023-10-02 Listed $219,900 SBOR