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315 E Bexar St
D Composite 42.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.7/15.0

$100,000

315 E Bexar St · Crystal City, TX 78839
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 204 Days on market
Built 1970 8,324 sqft lot $107/sqft · 15% above area Est $87k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City! With a Restaurant, Pharmacy, Doctor offices, and HEB just up the road, this home offers a great location and access. Also, within walking distance to schools. Stay cool in the summer and warm in the winter with a recently installed 2-ton mini-split for A/C and heating. Recent updates to the bathroom and kitchen include an updated tile backsplash and new appliances with a brand new electric stove, refrigerator, and water heater. Offering a very large lot, measuring 55 wide by 150 deep, there is plenty of space to make this house your home! * All Buyers and Buyer Agents to verify property information and complete all due diligence. Information provided is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. *

Key facts

  • New appliances
  • 8,324 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLSRECENTLY INSTALLED MINI-SPLITUPDATED TILE BACKSPLASHNEW APPLIANCESBRAND NEW ELECTRIC STOVEBRAND NEW REFRIGERATOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($403/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (1.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#910 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Crystal City ISD (town): math 10% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #813 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Zavala El (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #4,138 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 358 students, 92% FRL); Sterling H Fly Jr H S (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,520 of 1,662 statewide, top 92%, 371 students, 84% FRL); Crystal City H S (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,460 of 1,632 statewide, top 91%, 551 students, 82% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Zavala County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • Zavala County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.44%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,874
List price
$100,000
Delta
15.11%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$25,351
Equity at exit
$56,788
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$74,847
Equity at exit
$98,107

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78839

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$989 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $946
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $90 -5% $62 +0% $34 +5% $5 +10% $-23
Rent -10% $-44 -5% $-5 +0% $34 +5% $73 +10% $112
Rate -1.0pp $84 -0.5pp $59 base $34 +0.5pp $8 +1.0pp $-19

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $100,000 Active 204 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 203 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $100,000 Active 201 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 200 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 199 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 198 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 197 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 195 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 194 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 192 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 191 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 190 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 189 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 186 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 185 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 184 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 183 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 182 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 181 DOM
  20. 2026-04-03
    price $100,000 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City! With a Restaurant, Pharmacy, Doctor offices, and HEB just up the road, this home offers a great location and access. Also, within walking distance to schools. Stay cool in the summer and warm in the winter with a recently installed 2-ton mini-split for A/C and heating. Recent updates to the bathroom and kitchen include an updated tile backsplash and new appliances with a brand new electric stove, refrigerator, and water heater. Offering a very large lot, measuring 55 wide by 150 deep, there is plenty of space to make this house your home! * All Buyers and Buyer Agents to verify property information and complete all due diligence. Information provided is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. *

  21. 2026-02-10
    price $105,000 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City! With a Restaurant, Pharmacy, Doctor offices, and HEB just up the road, this home offers a great location and access. Also, within walking distance to schools. Stay cool in the summer and warm in the winter with a recently installed 2-ton mini-split for A/C and heating. Recent updates to the bathroom and kitchen include an updated tile backsplash and new appliances with a brand new electric stove, refrigerator, and water heater. Offering a very large lot, measuring 55 wide by 150 deep, there is plenty of space to make this house your home! * All Buyers and Buyer Agents to verify property information and complete all due diligence. Information provided is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. *

  22. 2025-12-01
    listed $110,000 Active 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City! With a Restaurant, Pharmacy, Doctor offices, and HEB just up the road, this home offers a great location and access. Also, within walking distance to schools. Stay cool in the summer and warm in the winter with a recently installed 2-ton mini-split for A/C and heating. Recent updates to the bathroom and kitchen include an updated tile backsplash and new appliances with a brand new electric stove, refrigerator, and water heater. Offering a very large lot, measuring 55 wide by 150 deep, there is plenty of space to make this house your home! * All Buyers and Buyer Agents to verify property information and complete all due diligence. Information provided is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. *

  23. 2023-04-18
    soldstatus
  24. 2023-04-12
    soldstatus Sold 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  25. 2023-03-12
    status Pending 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  26. 2023-03-02
    historical Active Option 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  27. 2022-12-06
    price $99,500 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  28. 2022-08-30
    status Back on Market 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  29. 2022-08-22
    historical Active Option 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  30. 2022-08-03
    price $119,000 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  31. 2022-07-11
    price $120,000 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  32. 2022-06-07
    listed $125,000 New 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Freshly renovated and painted 3 bedroom, 1 bath home just a few blocks away from everything in Crystal City. Miguelito's restaurant, Pharmacy, Dr offices, and HEB are just up the road. Walking distance to schools. Home was gone through and brought up to modern colors and fixtures. New bathroom and kitchen tile backsplash installed. New flooring. Features a very large lot measuring 55 wide by 150 deep. Home is ready to move in and just needs a new owners touch and some landscaping. Seller will entertain owner financing for qualified buyer.

  33. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus
  34. 2021-07-06
    historical
  35. 2021-06-30
    listed $47,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,175 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,175 · $181/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,862
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$949
− Management
−$949
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$1,221
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$293
After-tax cash flow
$696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crystal City ISD
NCES district ID
4815930
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$27,757
Composite
12.43/100
National rank
#9631
State rank
#813 of 826 in TX

Livability — Crystal City

Score
62/100
State rank
#910
US rank
#16330

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crystal City, TX
Population (ZIP)
7,333

Population outlook (Zavala County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,393 people
By 2030
13,993 · +4.5%
By 2040
15,186 · +13.4%
By 2050
16,332 · +21.9%
By 2075
18,742 · +39.9%
By 2100
18,814 · +40.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 92% Two or more races 57% White 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 90%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
26% English-only · Spanish 74%

Political lean MEDSL · Zavala

2024 margin
D (+14.4) · D 56.8% · R 42.4%
2008→2024 swing
-54.4pp toward R · 2008: 68.8pp · 2024: 14.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+57.3 2012: D+67.6 2008: D+68.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.02%
Current HPI
134.0218
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $100,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $105,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $110,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2023-04-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-04-12 Sold (MLS) LERA
  • 2023-03-12 Pending LERA
  • 2023-03-02 Contingent LERA
  • 2022-12-06 Price Changed $99,500 LERA
  • 2022-08-30 Relisted LERA
  • 2022-08-22 Contingent LERA
  • 2022-08-03 Price Changed $119,000 LERA
  • 2022-07-11 Price Changed $120,000 LERA
  • 2022-06-07 Listed $125,000 LERA
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-07-06 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2021-06-30 Listed $47,000 LERA

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,175 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…