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204 Lake Ave E Triplex
C+ Composite 61.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$344,900

204 Lake Ave E · Hill City, MN 55748
9 bd · 5.1 ba · 2,080 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 275 Days on market
Built 1985 0.56 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Seize this rare opportunity to own a fully occupied 4-plex in Hill City, MN, delivering $33,133 in current annual gross rental income with immediate upside potential. Priced at $365,000, this turnkey property offers a blend of stability, recent updates, and future income growth for savvy investors. Each spacious unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath (one unit includes 2 baths), averaging 1,000 sq ft per unit. With long-term tenants in place and one unit currently renting at $600 while others achieve up to $900, there is built-in opportunity for rent increases to boost returns. Key updates provide peace of mind for investors: All units feature new water heaters New water softener serving all units Fresh paint, carpet, and flooring in Units 1 & 3 Updated electrical in Units 1 & 3 Every unit equipped with a washer & dryer hook up Tenants pay their own electric, cable, and internet, while the landlord covers city water/sewer, lawn care, snow removal, garbage, exterior maintenance, and insurance — keeping property management simple and predictable. The property sits in a prime Hill City location just 2 blocks from Hwy 169, one block from Hill Lake, and ½ mile from Hill City High School, ensuring consistent tenant demand and long-term value growth. Whether you're looking to add stable cash flow to your portfolio or seeking a turnkey property with built-in rent growth, this 4-plex checks all the boxes.

Key facts

  • 0.56 acre lot
  • Built 1985
  • Listed 274 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $202/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).
  • Recommended offer: $304k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#360 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hill City Public School District (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #366 of 467 in MN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Aitkin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Aitkin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $250k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $303,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.53%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$84,131
Equity at exit
$159,353
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$240,442
Equity at exit
$248,955

Cash invested: $96,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55748

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
24.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,581 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,244/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$752
Net cashflow
$606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,814
Max offer price $344,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $801 -5% $704 +0% $606 +5% $509 +10% $411
Rent -10% $323 -5% $465 +0% $606 +5% $748 +10% $889
Rate -1.0pp $780 -0.5pp $694 base $606 +0.5pp $517 +1.0pp $426

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,581

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,225
Closing costs
$10,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $344,900 Active 275 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $344,900 Active 274 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $344,900 Active 272 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $344,900 Active 271 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $344,900 Active 270 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $344,900 Active 269 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $344,900 Active 267 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $344,900 Active 266 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $344,900 Active 263 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $344,900 Active 262 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $344,900 Active 261 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $344,900 Active 259 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $344,900 Active 257 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $344,900 Active 256 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $344,900 Active 255 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $344,900 Active 254 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $344,900 Active 253 DOM
  18. 2026-03-02
    price $344,900 1451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1451 chars)

    Seize this rare opportunity to own a fully occupied 4-plex in Hill City, MN, delivering $33,133 in current annual gross rental income with immediate upside potential. Priced at $365,000, this turnkey property offers a blend of stability, recent updates, and future income growth for savvy investors. Each spacious unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath (one unit includes 2 baths), averaging 1,000 sq ft per unit. With long-term tenants in place and one unit currently renting at $600 while others achieve up to $900, there is built-in opportunity for rent increases to boost returns. Key updates provide peace of mind for investors: All units feature new water heaters New water softener serving all units Fresh paint, carpet, and flooring in Units 1 & 3 Updated electrical in Units 1 & 3 Every unit equipped with a washer & dryer hook up Tenants pay their own electric, cable, and internet, while the landlord covers city water/sewer, lawn care, snow removal, garbage, exterior maintenance, and insurance — keeping property management simple and predictable. The property sits in a prime Hill City location just 2 blocks from Hwy 169, one block from Hill Lake, and ½ mile from Hill City High School, ensuring consistent tenant demand and long-term value growth. Whether you're looking to add stable cash flow to your portfolio or seeking a turnkey property with built-in rent growth, this 4-plex checks all the boxes.

  19. 2025-09-20
    listed $365,000 Active 1451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1451 chars)

    Seize this rare opportunity to own a fully occupied 4-plex in Hill City, MN, delivering $33,133 in current annual gross rental income with immediate upside potential. Priced at $365,000, this turnkey property offers a blend of stability, recent updates, and future income growth for savvy investors. Each spacious unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath (one unit includes 2 baths), averaging 1,000 sq ft per unit. With long-term tenants in place and one unit currently renting at $600 while others achieve up to $900, there is built-in opportunity for rent increases to boost returns. Key updates provide peace of mind for investors: All units feature new water heaters New water softener serving all units Fresh paint, carpet, and flooring in Units 1 & 3 Updated electrical in Units 1 & 3 Every unit equipped with a washer & dryer hook up Tenants pay their own electric, cable, and internet, while the landlord covers city water/sewer, lawn care, snow removal, garbage, exterior maintenance, and insurance — keeping property management simple and predictable. The property sits in a prime Hill City location just 2 blocks from Hwy 169, one block from Hill Lake, and ½ mile from Hill City High School, ensuring consistent tenant demand and long-term value growth. Whether you're looking to add stable cash flow to your portfolio or seeking a turnkey property with built-in rent growth, this 4-plex checks all the boxes.

  20. 2025-09-12
    historical $365,000 1451-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1451 chars)

    Seize this rare opportunity to own a fully occupied 4-plex in Hill City, MN, delivering $33,133 in current annual gross rental income with immediate upside potential. Priced at $365,000, this turnkey property offers a blend of stability, recent updates, and future income growth for savvy investors. Each spacious unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath (one unit includes 2 baths), averaging 1,000 sq ft per unit. With long-term tenants in place and one unit currently renting at $600 while others achieve up to $900, there is built-in opportunity for rent increases to boost returns. Key updates provide peace of mind for investors: All units feature new water heaters New water softener serving all units Fresh paint, carpet, and flooring in Units 1 & 3 Updated electrical in Units 1 & 3 Every unit equipped with a washer & dryer hook up Tenants pay their own electric, cable, and internet, while the landlord covers city water/sewer, lawn care, snow removal, garbage, exterior maintenance, and insurance — keeping property management simple and predictable. The property sits in a prime Hill City location just 2 blocks from Hwy 169, one block from Hill Lake, and ½ mile from Hill City High School, ensuring consistent tenant demand and long-term value growth. Whether you're looking to add stable cash flow to your portfolio or seeking a turnkey property with built-in rent growth, this 4-plex checks all the boxes.

  21. 2022-05-27
    soldstatus $250,000 Sold 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Hill City 4-Plex in excellent condition with great rental history. Each unit has a full kitchen, 2 bedrooms, living room, dining area/room, 1 full bath, and laundry/storage room. One unit does have a half bath off the main bedroom. Vinyl siding, newer windows, and new deck and newer patio area re just a few of the features of these well-maintained units. All units are single level with 2 units accessed off the lower-level patio and two units from the upper-level deck. Located in-town near all amenities.

  22. 2022-05-27
    soldstatus $250,000
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Hill City 4-Plex in excellent condition with great rental history. Each unit has a full kitchen, 2 bedrooms, living room, dining area/room, 1 full bath, and laundry/storage room. One unit does have a half bath off the main bedroom. Vinyl siding, newer windows, and new deck and newer patio area re just a few of the features of these well-maintained units. All units are single level with 2 units accessed off the lower-level patio and two units from the upper-level deck. Located in-town near all amenities.

  23. 2022-05-19
    status Pending 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Hill City 4-Plex in excellent condition with great rental history. Each unit has a full kitchen, 2 bedrooms, living room, dining area/room, 1 full bath, and laundry/storage room. One unit does have a half bath off the main bedroom. Vinyl siding, newer windows, and new deck and newer patio area re just a few of the features of these well-maintained units. All units are single level with 2 units accessed off the lower-level patio and two units from the upper-level deck. Located in-town near all amenities.

  24. 2022-02-24
    listed $279,900 Active 511-char remark
    Show marketing remark (511 chars)

    Hill City 4-Plex in excellent condition with great rental history. Each unit has a full kitchen, 2 bedrooms, living room, dining area/room, 1 full bath, and laundry/storage room. One unit does have a half bath off the main bedroom. Vinyl siding, newer windows, and new deck and newer patio area re just a few of the features of these well-maintained units. All units are single level with 2 units accessed off the lower-level patio and two units from the upper-level deck. Located in-town near all amenities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,244 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,553 · $296/mo
Expected delta
+$309/yr (+$26/mo · 9.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,972
− Mortgage interest
−$19,320
− Property taxes
−$3,244
− Insurance
−$1,724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,438
− Management
−$3,438
− Depreciation
−$10,033
Taxable income
$1,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$426
After-tax cash flow
$6,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hill City Public School District
NCES district ID
2714010
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,766
Composite
35.83/100
National rank
#9612
State rank
#366 of 467 in MN

Livability — Hill City

Score
69/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#8412

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hill City, MN
City population
1,429
Population (ZIP)
1,429

Population outlook (Aitkin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,340 people
By 2030
13,514 · -5.8%
By 2040
11,928 · -16.8%
By 2050
10,804 · -24.7%
By 2075
9,555 · -33.4%
By 2100
8,380 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Aitkin

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.8% · R 64.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+25.9 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.22%
Current HPI
241.4653
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $344,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-20 Listed $365,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Coming Soon $365,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-19 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-24 Listed $279,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,244 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…