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1259-1261 Market St Duplex
C+ Composite 62.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

1259-1261 Market St · Sunbury, PA 17801
6 bd · 0.0 ba · 3,600 sqft · MultiFamily · 58 Days on market
Built 1955 6,098 sqft lot Est $148k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Become an instant investor, remodeled, fully leased, solid 2 unit with current monthly income of $1620 (up to $1900 potential). Tenant pays all utilities including water and sewer. Call Wendy for a showing today 570-847-4773! prequalified buyers only, 48 hour notice required. Sq footage taken from county assessment card.

Key facts

  • Off-street parking
  • Fenced backyard
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

OFF-STREET PARKINGFENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $526/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 7.1% in Sunbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#374 in PA, #3,298 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Shikellamy SD (town): math 33% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #362 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.30%
Cash-on-cash
25.04%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,600
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1259-1261 Market St 0.00mi 6/— 3,600 (0%) 1mo $172,500 $48 100
49-51 S 7th St 0.43mi 6/2.5 4,110 (+14%) 9mo $140,100 $34 39
248 Arch St 0.74mi 6/4.0 3,804 (+6%) 17mo $150,000 $39 26
241-243 S 4th St 0.68mi 5/3.0 (-1) 3,196 (-11%) 18mo $130,000 $41 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$37,866
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$119,411
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17801

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,906 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$610
Net cashflow
$1,052

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,575
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 59%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,906

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-09
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-05
    historical
  4. 2026-01-14
    listed $180,000 Active
  5. 2022-10-11
    soldstatus $145,000 Closed 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Become an instant investor, remodeled, fully leased, solid 2 unit with current monthly income of $1620 (up to $1900 potential). Tenant pays all utilities including water and sewer. Call Wendy for a showing today 570-847-4773! prequalified buyers only, 48 hour notice required. Sq footage taken from county assessment card.

  6. 2022-09-21
    listed Active Under Contract 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Become an instant investor, remodeled, fully leased, solid 2 unit with current monthly income of $1620 (up to $1900 potential). Tenant pays all utilities including water and sewer. Call Wendy for a showing today 570-847-4773! prequalified buyers only, 48 hour notice required. Sq footage taken from county assessment card.

  7. 2022-08-15
    listed $149,000 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Become an instant investor, remodeled, fully leased, solid 2 unit with current monthly income of $1620 (up to $1900 potential). Tenant pays all utilities including water and sewer. Call Wendy for a showing today 570-847-4773! prequalified buyers only, 48 hour notice required. Sq footage taken from county assessment card.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,872
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,700
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,790
− Management
−$2,790
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$10,373
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,490
After-tax cash flow
$10,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shikellamy SD
NCES district ID
4221540
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$41,227
Composite
33.6/100
National rank
#5415
State rank
#362 of 539 in PA

Livability — Sunbury

Score
76/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#3298

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sunbury, PA
Population (ZIP)
16,229

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.78%
Current HPI
158.7449
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-11 Sold (MLS) $145,000 CSVBR
  • 2022-09-21 Listed CSVBR
  • 2022-08-15 Listed $149,000 CSVBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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