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960 Cypress Rd
B Composite 71.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

960 Cypress Rd · St. Augustine South, FL 32086
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2000 1.13 ac lot $156/sqft · 24% below area Est $248k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable country charm with privacy, space, and unique extras all wrapped into one! Situated on 1.13 acres, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-wide manufactured home offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere with updates already in place and plenty of character throughout. Step inside to find laminate flooring throughout, an updated kitchen featuring beautiful cabinetry and warm wooden countertops, plus an updated living room centered around a charming wood-burning fireplace with an eye-catching stone accent wall — the perfect gathering space for family and friends. Washer and dryer are included for added convenience. Outside is where this property truly shines! Enjoy a fully fenced and very

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Updated kitchen
  • Beautiful cabinetry

Tags

1.13 ACRESLAMINATE FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENBEAUTIFUL CABINETRYWOODEN COUNTERTOPSWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on about 1.13 acres (1+ acres)

Exterior

  • Utilities: County water and well; Septic system
  • Home design: Single-story (ground level) entry; Vinyl siding exterior; On-waterfront location (pond)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; skirted
  • Exterior features: Fireplace; Full fenced yard; Pond on the property; Front porch approximately 13 x 6; Patio approximately 20 x 8

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes microwave, range, refrigerator; Kitchen roughly 15 x 9
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom approximately 14 x 11 (on ground level); Second bedroom approximately 14 x 9
  • Flooring: Laminate wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate wood flooring; Tub/shower combo in master bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.1% in St. Augustine South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Pedro Menendez High School (math 31% / reading 54%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,519 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 20% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-32 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Johns average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 400 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.76%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,475
List price
$190,000
Delta
-23.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2636 Juarez Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+7%) 10mo $250,900 $194 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-6,305
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$14,157
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32086

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
400
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,106 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $805/yr
Insurance
$79
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,530
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
890 Poinsettia Rd Unit B St. Augustine, FL 2.0 2.0 1032 $1,590 $1.54 23d 1 0.54mi
421 S Hidden Tree Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1344 $2,100 $1.56 23d 1 0.77mi
129 Moultrie Village Ln Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1384 $1,750 $1.26 20d 1 0.79mi
117 Ridge Lake Rd Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1471 $2,200 $1.50 7d 1 0.86mi
70 Ridge Lake Rd Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1470 $2,025 $1.38 23d 1 0.87mi
29 Buckley Ct Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1211 $2,300 $1.90 23d 1 1.09mi
105 Whitland Way Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1499 $2,300 $1.53 3d 1 1.11mi
93 Palma Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0–4.0 2.5 1506 $2,272 $1.51 3d 18 1.14mi
159 Beach Palm Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1354 $1,800 $1.33 17d 1 1.22mi
350 Laurel Dr , FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $2,099 $2.09 1d 13 1.23mi
113 Pamplona Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1273 $2,095 $1.65 23d 1 1.25mi
150 Silver Fern Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,900 $1.40 21d 1 1.31mi
10 Moultrie Creek Cir Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL 2.0 1.5 1078 $1,700 $1.58 23d 1 1.33mi
5 Moultrie Creek Cir Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 1.5 1078 $1,350 $1.25 20d 1 1.33mi
97 Ayamonte Rd Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1308 $1,775 $1.36 16d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $190,000 Active 924-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$805 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,577 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$772/yr (+$64/mo · 95.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,276
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$805
− Insurance
−$1,748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,022
− Management
−$2,022
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$2,510
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$602
After-tax cash flow
$4,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Augustine South

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
34,855
Household income
$76,512
Rent vs Own
20.8% rent · 79.2% own
Severe rent burden
634.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -278.21%
Current HPI
306.2813
Rent YoY
▲ 0.85%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $190,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $805 · +20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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