518 Fagan St · Henderson, KY 42420

$34,500

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,028 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1914 4,000 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great Investment opportunity 2 bedroom home located in Henderson featuring large kitchen, covered front porch and newer water heater. Nice yard barn with electric, and alley access.

Key facts

• Covered front porch
• Alley access
• Large kitchen

Tags

• LARGE KITCHEN
• COVERED FRONT PORCH
• NEWER WATER HEATER
• YARD BARN
• ALLEY ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Concrete off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Aluminum siding
• Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $34k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($799 rent vs $34k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#114 in KY, #4,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Henderson County (suburban): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #29 of 165 in KY (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: South Heights Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #607 of 676 statewide, top 91%, 420 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Henderson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $239 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Henderson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $34,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.32% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 48.79%
• DSCR: 3.17
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 46.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.01×
• Total profit: $19,438
• Equity at exit: $5,144

10-year hold

• IRR: 52.1%
• Equity multiple: 6.09×
• Total profit: $49,189
• Equity at exit: $2,983

Cash invested: $9,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 42420

• Home prices YoY: -31.6%
• Active inventory: 228
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $799 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$181
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$43 /mo · $518/yr
• Insurance: −$14
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$168
• Net cashflow: $393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $302

Max offer price $34,500

Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,625
• Closing costs: $1,035
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
500 Fair St Henderson, KY	1.0–3.0	1.0	740	$799	$1.08	13d	9	0.82mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $34,500 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $34,500 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $34,500 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $34,500 Active 3 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   remarks 181-char remark
6. 2026-06-13
   listed $34,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $9,588
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,933
• − Property taxes: −$518
• − Insurance: −$172
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$767
• − Management: −$767
• − Depreciation: −$1,004
• Taxable income: $4,428
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,063
• After-tax cash flow: $3,651/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Henderson County
• NCES district ID: 2102710
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -19.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $41,772
• Composite: 34.13/100
• National rank: #5285
• State rank: #29 of 165 in KY

Livability — Henderson

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #114
• US rank: #4949

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Henderson, KY
• Population (ZIP): 38,434

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,910 people
• By 2030: 46,841 · -0.1%
• By 2040: 46,018 · -1.9%
• By 2050: 44,390 · -5.4%
• By 2075: 40,442 · -13.8%
• By 2100: 33,538 · -28.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+29.2) · D 34.7% · R 64.0% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -29.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+29.2 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+11.8 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -95.69%
• Current HPI: 207.5676
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-08 Listed $34,500 HABOR