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391 Park St
D Composite 44.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

391 Park St · Bristol, CT 06010
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,139 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1900 4,791 sqft lot $202/sqft · 20% below area Est $286k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

391 Park St offers the perfect blend of classic New England charm, functionality, and affordability in the heart of Bristol. This inviting home features a spacious living room, formal dining room, eat-in kitchen, full bathroom, and a convenient back entry mudroom with laundry area on the main level. Upstairs, you'll find a generously sized landing ideal for a small office, sitting area, or flex space, along with two bedrooms and an additional full bathroom. The home also offers additional finished space in the basement, perfect for a recreation room, home office, gym, or extra storage. Enjoy the enclosed front porch, detached garage, private driveway, and a side carport that can be utilized

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as single family for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Carport; Driveway parking; Total of 8 parking spaces; 2 garages
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family home; Frame construction; White exterior siding
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Concrete and stone foundation; Built with frame construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Private driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating fueled by natural gas; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full, partially finished basement; Attic with access via hatch; Window air conditioning units
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (10.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (22.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Bristol School (math 19% / reading 32%, grade F, #418 of 553 statewide, top 76%, 819 students, 65% FRL); Bristol Central High School (math 25% / reading 55%, grade F, #106 of 194 statewide, top 54%, 1,246 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 37% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,331 (22.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$286,120
List price
$230,000
Delta
-19.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28 Tulip St 0.39mi 2/1.5 1,084 (-5%) 4mo $237,500 $219 70
176 Rockwell Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+5%) 5mo $419,900 $350 65
19 Steele Rd 0.51mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,109 (-3%) 4mo $235,000 $212 63
46 Cherry St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,201 (+5%) 8mo $325,000 $271 56
67 Judson Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+1%) 4mo $356,000 $309 54
28 Talmadge St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,093 (-4%) 14mo $310,000 $284 53
1 Ridgewood St 0.47mi 2/1.5 1,250 (+10%) 14mo $262,000 $210 50
63 Sherman St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,139 (0%) 18mo $270,000 $237 45
115 South ST EXT 0.71mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,200 (+5%) 8mo $320,000 $267 43
13 Benjamin St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 974 (-14%) 2mo $285,000 $293 37
87 Magnolia Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 988 (-13%) 16mo $255,000 $258 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-41,596
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-28,312
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06010

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,793 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,032/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$-138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,968
Max offer price $205,634
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-8 -5% $-73 +0% $-138 +5% $-203 +10% $-268
Rent -10% $-280 -5% $-209 +0% $-138 +5% $-67 +10% $4
Rate -1.0pp $-22 -0.5pp $-79 base $-138 +0.5pp $-198 +1.0pp $-258

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 MacArthur Ct Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 950 $2,300 $2.42 3d 1 0.35mi
171 Newell Ave Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1040 $2,300 $2.21 3d 1 0.38mi
174 Newell Ave Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $3,000 $2.73 12d 1 0.38mi
72 Colony St Apt 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.40mi
193 Newell Ave Unit 2nd Floor Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,950 $1.95 12d 1 0.42mi
182 Greene St Unit 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 45d 1 0.47mi
66 Talmadge St Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 1232 $1,350 $1.10 45d 1 0.53mi
66 Talmadge St Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 1232 $1,350 $1.10 25d 1 0.53mi
50 Hillside Pl Unit 3 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 858 $1,600 $1.86 45d 1 0.60mi
25 Pratt St Unit 3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,375 $1.29 25d 1 0.68mi
218 West St Unit B2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 25d 1 0.75mi
218 West St Unit B1 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,525 $1.52 25d 1 0.75mi
403 West St Unit 1st FL Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1044 $1,375 $1.32 46d 1 0.78mi
407 West St Unit 2nd Floor Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,425 $1.30 45d 1 0.79mi
34 Center St Unit 2 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 45d 1 0.81mi
57 Kelley St Unit 3 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 952 $1,550 $1.63 12d 1 0.83mi
44 Kelley St Unit 1 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 762 $1,400 $1.84 25d 1 0.85mi
46 Woodard Dr Bristol, CT 2.0 1.5 912 $1,556 $1.71 3d 2 0.86mi
5 Franklin St Unit 2nd Fl Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 18d 1 0.92mi
484 West St Unit 3rd Floor Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1256 $1,850 $1.47 45d 1 0.94mi
484 West St Unit 2nd Floor Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1256 $1,900 $1.51 45d 1 0.94mi
130 Church St Bristol, CT 3.0 1.5 1422 $1,900 $1.34 13d 1 0.96mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-310 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1101 $2,300 $2.09 45d 1 0.96mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-411 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,600 $1.98 45d 1 0.96mi
130 N Main St Unit 107 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1383 $2,600 $1.88 16d 1 0.96mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-409 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 866 $1,950 $2.25 45d 1 0.96mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-211 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 45d 1 0.96mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-209 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 866 $1,900 $2.19 25d 1 0.96mi
130 N Main St Unit 130-206 Bristol, CT 3.0 2.0 1441 $2,700 $1.87 25d 1 0.96mi
7 Upson St Unit 5 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 700 $1,190 $1.70 25d 1 0.97mi
5 Upson St Unit 5 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 4d 1 0.97mi
100 N Main St Unit 105 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1441 $2,600 $1.80 21d 1 0.99mi
100 N Main St Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 840 $1,900 $2.26 3d 1 0.99mi
100 N Main St Unit 211 Bristol, CT 2.0 2.0 1310 $2,500 $1.91 45d 1 0.99mi
34 Terryville Ave Unit 1 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1176 $1,350 $1.15 25d 1 0.99mi
411 N Main St Unit 8 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,595 $1.58 45d 1 1.01mi
411 N Main St #15 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 875 $1,595 $1.82 25d 1 1.01mi
425 N Main St Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,595 $1.77 45d 1 1.02mi
435 N Main St Unit 5 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 23d 1 1.02mi
431 N Main St Unit 8 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 850 $1,595 $1.88 45d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $230,000 Under Contract 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-05-16
    listed $230,000 Active 1173-char remark
  7. 2026-05-15
    historical $230,000 1173-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,032 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,977 · $331/mo
Expected delta
+$945/yr (+$79/mo · 31.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,520
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,032
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,722
− Management
−$1,722
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$5,680
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,363
After-tax cash flow
$-292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bristol School District
NCES district ID
0900510
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,953
Composite
32.07/100
National rank
#5814
State rank
#109 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bristol

Score
81/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1585

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bristol, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
61,684
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
61,684
Household income
$79,314
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 10% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -293.55%
Current HPI
255.5419
Rent YoY
▲ 5.41%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $230,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $230,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,032 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…