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4800 Westlake Pkwy #2003
D Composite 43.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$339,900

4800 Westlake Pkwy #2003 · Sacramento, CA 95835
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,288 sqft · Condo public records · 46 Days on market
Built 2005 $264/sqft · 7% below area Est $365k · 7% under $380/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move-In Ready Residence in Natomas Nestled in a well-established neighborhood in Natomas, this beautifully maintained home is clean, fresh, and ready to welcome its next resident from day one. Newly installed carpet throughout, complemented by interiors painted. Elegant crown molding and recessed lighting add a refined touch, while three ceiling fans and classic 2-inch blinds keep every room comfortable and polished. A charming half bath with a pedestal sink completes the thoughtful interior details. The kitchen is well-appointed with a GE gas range and matching microwave, alongside a newer Whirlpool dishwasher everything you need to cook and entertain with ease. A dedicated indoor laundry

Key facts

  • Move in ready
  • Gas dryer connection
  • Welcoming clubhouse

Tags

MOVE IN READYNEWLY INSTALLED CARPETDEDICATED INDOOR LAUNDRY ROOMGAS DRYER CONNECTIONFULLY EQUIPPED FITNESS CENTERWELCOMING CLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory association; Monthly HOA fee of $380; HOA includes exterior and grounds maintenance and pool; Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, exercise room/gym/course

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Irrigation supplied by public district; 220 volts available in laundry
  • Home design: Condominium (attached, planned unit development); Residential property; Built in 2005; 3-story
  • Construction: Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Auto sprinkler (front and rear); Private built-in, fenced pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Tile countertops
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Shower stall(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Dining and living areas combined; Living room with additional/other features; Tile countertops in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside (in-unit); 220V outlet in laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-676 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (35.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (24.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (35.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Natomas Unified (urban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #155 of 517 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: H. Allen Hight Elementary (802 students, 59% FRL); Natomas Middle (662 students, 65% FRL); Inderkum High (math 39% / reading 66%, grade C-, #289 of 1,170 statewide, top 25%, 2,266 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $232k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A99 (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,541 (35.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.94%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,262
List price
$339,900
Delta
-6.94%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

9.18% appreciation · 1.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$119,537
Equity at exit
$286,201
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$374,676
Equity at exit
$597,084

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95835

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
406
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,572 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax from tax record
$278 /mo · $3,342/yr
Insurance
$142
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$380
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$540
Net cashflow
$-676

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,428
Max offer price $220,541
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-483 -5% $-579 +0% $-676 +5% $-772 +10% $-868
Rent -10% $-879 -5% $-777 +0% $-676 +5% $-574 +10% $-472
Rate -1.0pp $-504 -0.5pp $-589 base $-676 +0.5pp $-764 +1.0pp $-853

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4800 Westlake Pkwy #3008 Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1304 $2,250 $1.73 45d 1 0.01mi
4800 Westlake Pkwy Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.5 1214 $2,250 $1.85 4d 3 0.07mi
5050 Trouville Ln Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1583 $2,950 $1.86 45d 1 0.23mi
301 Candela Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1541 $2,750 $1.78 16d 1 0.29mi
620 Candela Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,595 $1.54 45d 1 0.32mi
4450 El Centro Rd Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $2,348 $2.61 0d 11 0.37mi
130 Penhow Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1618 $2,400 $1.48 0d 1 0.46mi
4355 Adriatic Sea Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1763 $2,800 $1.59 0d 1 0.53mi
17 Hertford Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1511 $2,450 $1.62 25d 1 0.61mi
570 Wapello Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1697 $3,000 $1.77 45d 1 0.65mi
260 Wapello Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 3.0 1697 $2,650 $1.56 9d 1 0.70mi
3712 Bayou Rd Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1660 $4,000 $2.41 5d 1 0.79mi
3301 N Park Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1678 $2,672 $1.59 45d 2 0.79mi
4118 Adriatic Sea Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1593 $2,995 $1.88 19d 1 0.80mi
3766 Bayou Rd Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1660 $2,675 $1.61 45d 1 0.83mi
4470 Saone Walk Sacramento, CA 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.5 1846 $2,595 $1.41 0d 1 0.85mi
17 Advantage Ct Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1394 $2,595 $1.86 45d 1 0.85mi
4045 Neapolis Ln Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1811 $2,800 $1.55 4d 1 0.91mi
4032 Vittoria Ln Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1601 $2,695 $1.68 0d 1 0.93mi
4800 Kokomo Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1229 $2,922 $2.38 0d 24 1.02mi
5301 E Commerce Way #34103 Sacramento, CA 3.0 3.0 1774 $3,000 $1.69 0d 1 1.06mi
3301 Arena Blvd Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 952 $2,300 $2.42 0d 1 1.07mi
5301 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1334 $2,662 $2.00 25d 2 1.09mi
5301 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1334 $2,648 $1.98 18d 3 1.09mi
4200 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 812 $1,695 $2.09 0d 3 1.12mi
4200 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 812 $1,695 $2.09 6d 2 1.12mi
4200 E Commerce Way #1012 Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 958 $1,795 $1.87 45d 1 1.14mi
5301 E Commerce Way #58104 Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1315 $2,900 $2.21 3d 1 1.15mi
11 Long Warf Pl Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1708 $2,795 $1.64 0d 1 1.24mi
4190 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $2,675 $2.85 0d 20 1.31mi
3396 Shaker Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1815 $3,250 $1.79 14d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$380 · $4,560/yr
Likely covers
gaspool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $339,900 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $339,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $339,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,900 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,900 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $349,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $349,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,900 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $349,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $349,900 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $349,900 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $349,900 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $349,900 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $349,900 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $349,900 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2017-09-28
    soldstatus $232,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,342 · $278/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,342 · $278/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A99 · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,868
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$3,342
− Insurance
−$3,202
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,469
− Management
−$2,469
− HOA
−$4,560
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable loss
−$14,103
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,385
After-tax cash flow
$-4,723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natomas Unified
NCES district ID
0600036
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 13.00%
Median HH income
$67,969
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3457
State rank
#155 of 517 in CA

Livability — Sacramento

Score
71/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#6957

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sacramento, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
761,410
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,004
Household income
$114,468
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
1234.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 30% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 15% Black 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
66% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.18%
Current HPI
271.4823
Rent YoY
▲ 1.43%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2017-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $232,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,342 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…