2166 Bronx Park East Street Unit 6J · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$153,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEWLY RENOVATED HUGE ONE-BEDROOM IN PELHAM PARKWAY 2166 Bronx Park East, facing East River Park, is an Art Deco-style elevator building situated in the charming Pelham Parkway neighborhood. The building features a beautiful lobby, a laundry room, storage, and a live-in super. Excellent location near Parks, Bronx Zoo, Botanical Gardens, Jacobi Hospital, banks, restaurants, and shopping on White Plains Road. Close to the 2 train, the BxM11, Bx12, Bx22 & Bx39 buses, and the Bronx River Parkway. This beautiful one-bedroom has been newly renovated. It boasts a large open living room, a separate dining room, a windowed kitchen with stainless steel appliances (microwave & dishwasher in
Key facts
- Storage
- Laundry room
- Near parks
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Video cameras
- Utilities: Electric service: Con Edison; Public sewer; Water connected; Public trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Entry on 6th level; 6 total stories
- Construction: Brick construction; Updated/remodeled
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Smoke detectors; Video cameras; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; No cooling system
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Formal dining area; Granite counters; Quartz/Quartzite counters; High ceilings; Double-pane windows; Accessible entrance; Updated/remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $153k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-785/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,390/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 7650% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.83%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-15,744
- Equity at exit
- $22,813
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $40,788
- Equity at exit
- $13,229
Cash invested: $42,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10462
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.4%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,390 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$802
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$191 /mo · $2,295/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$896
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $-65
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $-13 | +0% $-65 | +5% $-118 | +10% $-171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-254 | -5% $-160 | +0% $-65 | +5% $29 | +10% $123 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $12 | -0.5pp $-27 | base $-65 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-145 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,250
- Closing costs
- $4,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 Pelham Pkwy S Unit B Bronx, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,850 | $3.93 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $153,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $153,000
-
2026-02-20price $155,000
-
2026-01-24price $160,000
-
2026-01-24status Active
-
2025-12-01price $165,000
-
2025-11-02price $169,000
-
2025-10-04price $170,000
-
2025-08-11price $175,000
-
2025-07-16$179,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,570
- − Property taxes
- −$2,295
- − Insurance
- −$765
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,294
- − Management
- −$2,294
- − HOA
- −$10,752
- − Depreciation
- −$4,451
- Taxable loss
- −$2,745
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$659
- After-tax cash flow
- $-127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,320
- Household income
- $60,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7650.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 22% Asian 18% White 10% Two or more races 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 15%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 16% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.59%
- Current HPI
- 356.326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.43%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-14.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $153,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $155,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-24 Price Changed $160,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-24 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $165,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-02 Price Changed $169,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $170,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $175,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-16 Listed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…